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NaughtyPines NaughtyPines CSX, D,
CSX: OPENING: CSX JULY 28TH 50.5/53/56/58.5 IRON CONDOR
26 0 4
CSX, D
OPENING: CSX JULY 28TH 50.5/53/56/58.5 IRON CONDOR

... for a .99 credit. Metrics: Probability of Profit: 50% Max Profit: $99/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $151/contract Break Evens: 52.01/56.99 (Slightly wide of expected move) Delta: -3.55 Theta: 4.77 Notes: Will look to manage at 50% max.

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines IBM, D,
IBM: OPENING: IBM JULY 28TH 145/148/160/162.5 IRON CONDOR
26 0 4
IBM, D
OPENING: IBM JULY 28TH 145/148/160/162.5 IRON CONDOR

... for a 1.10 credit. It announces earnings today after market close. Metrics: Probability of Profit: 54% Max Profit: $110/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $190/contract Break Evens: 146.90/161.10 (Wide of expected move, both sides) Delta: .37 Theta: 6.08 Notes: The strikes were pesky on the call side. It was either go five-wide or 2 1/2 wide on the ...

Turbo_Tech Turbo_Tech IWM, D,
IWM: Iron Condor IWM
15 0 5
IWM, D
Iron Condor IWM

Added a new Iron Condor on IWM last week. Devils details are on the chart. Looking to exit around 50% max profit.

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines EWZ, D,
EWZ: OPENING: EWZ JULY 21ST 26/28/38.5/40.5 IRON CONDOR
23 0 8
EWZ, D
OPENING: EWZ JULY 21ST 26/28/38.5/40.5 IRON CONDOR

... for a .61 credit. With EWZ caving heftily here and implied volatility popping, I'm going back to the Brazilian well narrow and small, since I can foresee this having some volatility in it for a bit, in which case I may want to add to the position. Metrics: POP%: 63% Max Profit: $61/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $139/contract BE's: ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines SPY, D,
SPY: OPENING: SPY SEPT 1ST 238/241/249/251 IRON CONDOR
30 0 6
SPY, D
OPENING: SPY SEPT 1ST 238/241/249/251 IRON CONDOR

... for a .95 credit. I really wanted to go with the highest implied volatility broad index exchange-traded fund (SPY, IWM, QQQ, DIA), 45 days until expiration, but the bid/asks were wide on both IWM and QQQ in the Sept 1st expiry, so went with SPY instead, which had a much tighter bid/ask. The short options here are set up around the 30 delta, so I'm somewhat ...

Turbo_Tech Turbo_Tech KRE, D,
KRE: Iron Condor on KRE
30 0 4
KRE, D
Iron Condor on KRE

Entered an Iron Condor in KRE (Regional Bank ETF) on June 26th to try to strangle the price between 50.00 and 56.00 for 71 cents in credit. Break even in the trade is below 49.29 and on the high side above 56.71. Two days after the trade the Fed came out passing all banks that were involved in stress tests giving them a green light to add to dividends and start ...

Turbo_Tech Turbo_Tech XBI, D,
XBI: Iron Condor on XBI with a slight negative assumption.
57 2 8
XBI, D
Iron Condor on XBI with a slight negative assumption.

Decided to deploy a slight negative to neutral bias August18th Iron Condor option on XBI. 30 Day IV rank 84.952% The strikes are as follows. The Sell side is a 10 point spread of 74(.24 delta) Put / 84 (.30 delta) Call. The buy side options at the 72 and 86 strikes respectively. Premium collected was .90 cents per share which and will look to cover position ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines QQQ, D,
QQQ: OPENING: QQQ AUG 25TH 131/134/143/145 IRON CONDOR
39 2 9
QQQ, D
OPENING: QQQ AUG 25TH 131/134/143/145 IRON CONDOR

... for a 1.10/contract credit. QQQ still has the highest implied volatility of the four "majors" (SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA). Going with the expiry nearest 45 DTE. Metrics: Probability of Profit: 51% Max Profit: $110/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: $190/contract Break Evens: 132.90/144.10 Delta: -1.38 Theta: 1.12 Notes: Will look to manage at 50% max.

DavidCkChoo DavidCkChoo IWM, D,
IWM: Monthly Income Series IWM
34 0 5
IWM, D
Monthly Income Series IWM

Our IWM has been sideway for many months. In view of market situation currently, we should have a last wave of uptrend and the heading south. So for now, I will still stand my view for IWM as slight uptrend will stronger sideway for short term view. From the chart, as usual i will most based on my Ta analysis, by drawing channel trend line, as well as Fib ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines QQQ, D,
QQQ: TRADE IDEA: QQQ AUG 18TH 132/135/145/147 IRON CONDOR
54 1 7
QQQ, D
TRADE IDEA: QQQ AUG 18TH 132/135/145/147 IRON CONDOR

It's got the highest implied volatility among the broad-index exchange traded funds. Going delta neutral here to get some theta on and decaying. Metrics: Probability of Profit: 51% Max Profit: $102/contract Max Loss: $198/contract Break Evens: 133.98/146.02 Theta: .98 Delta: .59 Notes: Will look to manage at 50% max.

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines QQQ, D,
QQQ: TRADE IDEA: QQQ AUG 18TH 127/130/145/147 IRON CONDOR
48 0 8
QQQ, D
TRADE IDEA: QQQ AUG 18TH 127/130/145/147 IRON CONDOR

The Q's have the highest implied volatility rank among the four major index exchange traded funds. That being said, I generally look to bring in one-third the width of the widest wing with these with the short options set up at the 20 delta, and I'm not getting that here, so it's less than ideal ... . The metrics: Probability of Profit: 62% Max Profit: ...

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines COST, D,
COST: TRADE IDEA: COST JULY 21ST 155/158/175/178 IRON CONDOR
107 0 12
COST, D
TRADE IDEA: COST JULY 21ST 155/158/175/178 IRON CONDOR

After news of AMZN's acquisition of WFM, COST's implied volatility has popped here, with its implied volatility rank ramping up to the 67th percentile over the preceding 52-week period, and with background implied volatility at 21%, making a premium selling play potentially worthwhile. Metrics: Probability of Profit: 64% Max Profit: $93/contract Max Loss/Buying ...

DavidCkChoo DavidCkChoo IWM, D,
IWM: Monthly Income Series - IWM Iron Condor
49 0 3
IWM, D
Monthly Income Series - IWM Iron Condor

IWM Last month our Iron Condor has expired worthless after the repair and gain the full profit for the 3rd consecutive month, except with repaired commission cost. This month, IWm again looks to be positioned nicely in side way, but volatility is higher this time. So trade with care, and prepare to repair anytime, do ensure we only trade up to 10% of our margin ...

DIA: Neutral trade on DIA (double double)
115 0 10
DIA, D
Neutral trade on DIA (double double)

DIA IVR 33.8 Sold the 211/215/201/188 Iron condor for $4.70 Target 50% of credit received Ratio 3x the calls spreads for every 1x Puts spreads The trade: Sold (3x) 211 Calls Buy (3x) 215 Calls Sold (1x) 201 Put Buy (1x) 188 Put for $4.70 Max profit $470 Max loss $830

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines IWM, D,
IWM: OPENING: IWM JUNE 16TH 128/131/141/142 "DOUBLE DOUBLE"
41 0 8
IWM, D
OPENING: IWM JUNE 16TH 128/131/141/142 "DOUBLE DOUBLE"

This is basically an iron condor variation where you double up the number of contracts on the call side while going narrower with the call side spread. Due to "the math" of that, there is no additional buying power effect, but you collect some additional credit ... . Metrics: Probability of Profit: 57% Max Profit: $76/contract Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: ...

XLE: Neutral trade on XLE (Iron Condor)
65 1 13
XLE, D
Neutral trade on XLE (Iron Condor)

With IVR at 26 sold the Iron condor 70/73/66/62.5 on XLE with 37 Days to expiration The Trade: Short 70 Call Long 73 Call Short 66 Put Long 62.5 Put Credit = $1.11 55% probability of profit

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines FXE, D, Short ,
FXE: OPENING: FXE JUNE 16TH 102/103/105/107 IRON CONDOR
51 0 8
FXE, D Short
OPENING: FXE JUNE 16TH 102/103/105/107 IRON CONDOR

Basically, a synthetic short FXE position with some put side flexibility in the event that I am totally wrong ... . Metrics: POP%: 46% Max Profit: $95/contract Max Loss/BPE: $105/contract BE's at 102.04/105.96 Theta: .38 Delta: -22 Notes: Shooting for 50% max ... .

NaughtyPines NaughtyPines NVDA, 240,
NVDA: NVDA MAY 19th 94.5/95.5/110/113 IRON CONDOR (PRELIM)
112 0 8
NVDA, 240
NVDA MAY 19th 94.5/95.5/110/113 IRON CONDOR (PRELIM)

A high implied vol rank/implied vol, earnings volatility contraction play with no downside risk ... Metrics: POP%: 72% Max Profit: $101/contract Max Loss/BPE: $199/contract BE at 111.01 (no downside risk). Notes: A good finish remains between the short strikes (95.5/113). Attempting to avoid getting "AMD'd" here ... . Will look to take profit at 50% max. ...

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