Although earnings are set to grow by 75% this year, AMD has rallied roughly 30x off the 2016 low into the highs in 2018. There is currently a disconnect between perception and reality with p/e at 75 and p/b at 19.
WARNING: Investing in single equities comes with balance sheet risk, if you want to invest in single equities make sure you understand the volatility of the asset, catalysts, your portfolio is in some way diversified and you have strong risk management.
Last July I put out a video suggesting that Brazil was a great opportunity to allocate capital (linked below). At the time the business cycle had turned from contraction to expansion and from a technical standpoint, we were sitting on support.
Today, +48.6% higher the risk is rising, the cycle is still relatively strong but our technicals are suggesting we...
Time horizon, risk management, and your chart perspective should prevent you from making any irrational decision with leverage. Day trading is not a successful strategy I would suggest having more patients in the trade with a smaller position size.
Technicals are one component that a lot of people have great success with, I like to overlay a framework using the...
Good afternoon all,
This is the part of the cycle that most traders misinterpret, the data will weaken until it contracts while asset prices push higher on the fumes of liquidity. Follow the CYCLICAL FACTORS affecting the business cycle and that will prepare you for the recession likely coming later in 2019 or early 2020.
No call this week. The Breadth readings on the indicators I follow are all still rising. The Sentiment indicators I follow are all beneath an extreme reading. The Technical indicators I follow are all showing resilience despite their overbought levels which only confirms the trend. The Economic indicators I follow are quite mixed, some are turning from bearish to...
looking at the RTY/IWM index to hit 1532 this week according this time and price analysis. Additionally this lines up with the 1.27 Fib extension of the prior price swing. however there is resistance at the 1519 level to keep an eye out for.
It seems everyone is bearish on this market (including myself..) and for good reason. It looks like a diamond top.. or maybe even a broadening formation (i.e megaphone- that would have one more higher high just above 3000)..and with a drastic drop coming over the next couple of years.. But DO NOT dismiss other possibilities. If this is a 9 year cycle (mid) top,...
Trend is up still until we lost that lower trend line. We are more than 50% back from the ATH and the sell off reversal area. Love that little doji that formed on Friday. We most likely break in the direction of the high or low with strength. My upper target on RTY is 1530.7 then 1560 area.
Lower areas of support 1498-1500, lower 1478-80, and 1465 (and 18 day...
Next week will be perhaps the most important week of the year. Given the number and size of companies reporting, I can't emphasize enough to keep your seatbelts on. Thursday is the biggest earnings day.
Important Economic Events that happened last week:
1. The Economic Forum in Davos was downright pessimistic. Maybe a little bit overdone, but still these are...
After an abysmal earnings report and subsequent drop of over 25% today, shares of TUP are becoming a potential takeover target.
Who might buy? It could make sense for several companies: P&G (PG) could expand its portfolio of product offerings, as could Colgate-Palmolive (CL), but it could also make sense for Amazon (AMZN), as their endeavor in to fresh foods...
Shares of CPRI (formerly KORS) have esatablished a new uptrend (white line) after breaking out of a downward trend (red line)... That downward trend has also served as support, which bodes well.
The OBV is improving and demonstates buyers are gaining control, and technical indicators like RSI and MACD seem to validate the bullish thesis.
I'm long both shares...
Shares of PayPal (PYPL) appear to be breaking out of the triple top around $93. Should buyers remain involved, this thing is going higher. It's broken the downward trend of the RSI, has a rising OBV, and the MACD supports further increases. It successfully tested and held rising trend support (bold red line) and looks primed to break out.
Long shares and...
This is the most spectacular rally I've ever traded.
We cruised above last week's $46 expected move. Actual Move? $74
So we broke outside the expected move, and yet this coming week's expected move is only $41? What's the deal?
Well it's only a 4 day trading week. So the options market did increase their volatility. $41/4 days = $10.25 vs. $46/5 =...
