Harmonic Pattern with Multiple Confluence for Point X and DThis is an example of regression channel with harmonic pattern.
By using Simple OHLC Custom Range Interactive, we able make confluence point (blue) to get Point X of Bullish Butterfly.
There are many confluence points (orange flag and teal table), which shows Point D of Butterfly starting to complete.
For Point D, best to monitor price changes using RSI or other similar RSI (Cyclic RSI, etc).
Indicator used :
1. Regression Channel Alternative MTF
2. HH-LL ZZ
3. XABCD Harmonic Pattern Custom Range Interactive
4. Simple OHLC Custom Range Interactive
5. Cyclic RSI High Low With Noise Filter
Parallel Channel
Channel Up and M Pattern (Bullish Bat)This is an example of Channel Up and M Pattern (Bullish Bat).
Found that M Pattern (Bullish Bat) within Channel Up.
Pattern already touches PRZ (orange) and completed TP1 and TP2 (lime).
Indicator used :
1. Regression Channel Alternative MTF
2. HH-LL ZZ
3. XABCD Harmonic Pattern Custom Range Interactive
Channel Down and W with Fail PatternThis is an example of Channel Down and W with Fail Pattern.
Found that W Pattern (Bearish Crab) within Channel down.
Fail pattern occurs after Point C, thus RSI need to be reviewed.
Indicator used :
1. Regression Channel Alternative MTF
2. HH-LL ZZ
3. XABCD Harmonic Pattern Custom Range Interactive
Depth of corrective waves. Elliott Wave.Elliott Wave Guidelines:
Depth of Corrective Waves
Understanding Elliott Waves is much more then the basic rules and 3s and 5s. A largely underused aspect of Elliott Waves is the Elliott Wave Guidelines. These go beyond the guidelines for each specific pattern and are meant to assist in determining the most probabilistic wave pattern. This is just the primary guideline of this larger Elliott Wave guideline.
If you have found this inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Also, check out the links in my signature to get to know me better! Cheers!
HOW-TO : Auto Chart Patterns UltimateHello All,
I have made this video which covers briefly on following points for Auto-Chart-Patterns-Ultimate-Trendoscope
1. Indicator components
2. Detailed settings
3. Few key features
4. Info about trading different patterns included
I could not cover alerts in the video due to time constraints. But, alerts is same as that of HOW-TO-Customize-Alerts-in-Auto-Harmonic-Scripts
Let me know if you have any question. For trial access and subscription please look at the script page - 'Author's Instructions' section.
A refreshing look at technical analysisConventional technical analysis is based on the combination of two methods for predicting price movements: one method attempts to "clear" them of noise in order to track their direction, and the second method attempts to predict changes by detecting obstacles in its path and evaluating the momentum of a current direction. In addition to these two methods, it is common to rely on patterns that are signs of things to come. These are mainly patterns based on Japanese candlestick arrangements that can indicate a trend reversal, such as a head and shoulders pattern, etc.
The problem, which is familiar to everyone, is that with any security or currency pair, you can also see shorter periods of decline in a period of rise and vice versa. That is, the price chart has fractal properties (fractal is the name coined by mathematician Benoit B. Mandelbrot in 1975 to describe repeating or similar geometric shapes).
Classical or Euclidean geometry fits perfectly into the world that man has created. However, it is less suitable for the structures found in nature. Clouds are not perfect spheres, mountains are not symmetrical cones, and lightning does not travel in a straight line. Nature is not smooth but rough, and until recently it was not possible to measure how much. Mandelbrot developed a mathematical representation of complex patterns that repeat at any scale, and thanks to the invention of the computer, he proved that fractal geometry can represent patterns even under conditions of irregularity in the natural world. In his book: "The (Mis)Behaviour of Markets: A Fractal View of Risk, Ruin and Reward" he shows that fractal geometry can also represent market movements.
The idea can be understood without mathematical knowledge by looking at the course of a river. A river does not flow in a straight line, but in a channel where the resistance to water flow is lowest. The actual length of the river divided by the air distance is defined as the coefficient of curvature, and its average value for rivers in the world is 1.94. The coefficient of curvature is also a special case of the fractal dimension. The curvature coefficient 1 of a straight line is actually one dimension, while the curvature coefficient close to 2 is actually almost two dimensions. In the general case of two- and three-dimensional shapes, the less smooth the contour of a shape, the greater its roughness - its fractal dimension is greater.
Mandelbrot claims that the "noise" - the fluctuations of the price around the general trend - is not random ("white" noise) and therefore cannot be suppressed by a moving average that smooths it out while ignoring the fractal properties.
Many attempts have been made to find the regularity of market movements using fractal properties. What I do is to form multiple channels:
Within the "game board" whose boundaries are defined, I sketch the longest parallel channel, and within that channel I sketch an intermediate parallel channel, and on top of that I sketch the optimal parallel channel for trading in a time frame that provides the best balance between too early and too late, and between too painful fluctuation intervals and insufficient trend lengths.
Andrew's Pitchfork TradingThe Andrews Median line or Pitchfork is a form of tool that is used to identify potential reversals or continuation of trends. The median line tool is one of the standard charting tools available with most trading/charting platforms.
The Andrews pitchfork tool or median line comprises of trend lines that are drawn connecting three price points. Swing high/Swing low/Swing high or Swing low/Swing high/Swing low. The median line comprises of three lines, the median line which dissects the two Swing highs or lows, and the upper and lower median lines. It is the appearance of the median lines which gives it the popular name of Pitchfork.
After identifying the swing high/low points, the Median line should be adjusted in order for the median line to make some sense. The chart below shows the pitchfork plotted which is adjusted to the swing high and low points to make sense of the price action.
The Andrew’s Pitchfork is based on the concept of Action/Reaction and Newton’s law of “Every action has an equal and opposite reaction”.
There are different elements of the Pitchfork tool, they are:
Median line, Upper median line, Lower median line, Upper/lower Trigger line & Upper/Lower Warning line
Andrew’s Pitchfork Trading Rules:
The following is a summary of the Andrews Pitchfork Trading rules.
80% of the time, price reaches the Median line
When price reaches the median line, it can either reverse to the upper or lower median line, or cut through the median line
Failure to break reach the upper or lower median lines, after the median line is cut through indicates a reversal back to the median line
When price reverses before reaching the median line, there is a high probability of price will continue to move in the direction, reaching the upper or lower median line, opposite to the median line
When price breaks the upper or lower median line, they are most likely to reach the upper or lower warning lines
When price cuts through the upper or lower warning lines, they indicate consolidation or the start of a new trend.
Andrews Pitchfork Trading – Conclusion
To summarize, the Andrew’s Pitchfork tool is a versatile trading tool that can be used in any market and in any timeframe. It is best when used with other trading systems or method, but can be traded as a standalone tool as well. Trading with Andrew’s pitchfork requires quite a bit of practice and more importantly patience and with good experience the possibility of developing your own custom trading system based on Andrew’s pitchfork tool should be quite simple and rewarding.
Trendline and Channel Tutorial: Part 4All traders are different but I personally find it difficult to use standalone channels to consistently initiate profitable trades against. Not the least of the problem is that the channel continues to either rise or fall, making a secure place to hide a stop above/below more difficult.
But I find them particularly useful in three aspects. The first, and by far the most important, is that a channel allows one to quickly visualize the ebb and flow of supply and demand. As described earlier in this series, the relationship of price to the channel boundaries and the median line offer insight to the strength of the underlying trend (increasing or decreasing). The second is in the use of channels to rebalance existing positions against. I find tremendous value in trading around conjunctions with other support/resistance techniques. In other words, zones of support or resistance provided by the confluence of channels, horizonal patterns, fibonocci, momentum, and chart patterns result in more reliable entries than simply trading the width of the channels. In this piece we concentrate on finding suitable trading confluences.
Finding a confluence:
After the late March 2022 pivot (point A), the initial supply line A-C could be drawn along with a parallel initial projected oversold line from point B.
By early August the channel top (supply line) intersected price in the area around 4330. In the Wyckoff perspective, the downtrend represented the stride of supply and represented a significant chart reference.
In late May, price exceeded the initial projected oversold line, requiring a redraw from point D.
Between early Jan and mid July 2022 SPX declined from 4797 (A) to 3640 (D). The .618% retracement of the entire decline bisects around 4313.
From the low (1) on July 14, SPX rallied for 22 trading days. From July 26th an initial demand (uptrend line) could be projected. By the 29th an initial supply line (channel top) could be drawn. These two lines defined the minor channel.
By the middle of August, the minor channel intersected with the major channel in the area around 4332.
Price was also scraping across the top of the rising Bollinger band and the daily stochastic oscillator had been pinned in overbought since early August.
Levels:
4330 - Major channel top
4313 - .618% Fibonacci retracement
4336 - Upper channel (supply) line in the shorter perspective channel.
4332 - Bollinger Band top
Stochastic and other momentum indicators pinned in overbought.
As price moves into a confluence zone, I typically move to the chart of one lower degree and begin monitoring for a potential trade entry setup.
SPX Hourly:
In this perspective the channel becomes clearer. It is important to note that after August 8th, price never again approached the supply line and instead hugged the median line (inside the oval). This offered a clear indication of waning demand.
On August 11, I moved the supply line (red dashed channel top) lower, providing yet another layer of resistance.
Once price moves into a resistance confluence you may use your preferred method of trade entry and stop placement to initiate a trade.
Finally, most price action is only noise and there are only a few points on any chart where behavior becomes meaningful. Confluences, channel tops and trend lines represent one of instances. If no confluence exists, move your attention to a different chart. There is always a tradable confluence somewhere.
And finally, many of the topics and techniques discussed in this post are part of the CMT Associations Chartered Market Technician’s curriculum.
Good Trading:
Stewart Taylor, CMT
Chartered Market Technician
Taylor Financial Communications
Shared content and posted charts are intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only. The CMT Association does not offer, and this information shall not be understood or construed as, financial advice or investment recommendations. The information provided is not a substitute for advice from an investment professional. The CMT Association does not accept liability for any financial loss or damage our audience may incur.
Trendlines and Channels Tutorial: Part 3Before we get started on trendlines and channels I want to share a quick thought on the current market environment and how, at least in my opinion, the technical environment has changed.
I believe that the weight of the evidence suggests that we are in the early to mid-stage of a primary bear market. If that is the case, momentum and sentiment extremes, breadth thrusts, and other conditions that have reliably produced tradable lows over the course of the recently completed primary bull market are far less likely to create meaningful/investable lows. For a low to be trusted for more than a quick trading turn will require multiple techniques and confirmations, while shorts into rallies and interim highs can be sold much more safely than at any time since the 2008 lows.
If global central banks, and in particular the Federal Reserve, continue to tighten policy, markets are at significant risk. In particular I believe that QT is the more important driver of asset prices. I don't foresee a pivot anytime soon unless there is a financial accident. Even then, it’s not likely that the pivot will include a long term reversal of policy. If inflation remains high, pivots are likely to pauses in the tightening cycle and not a lasting reversal.
Ten Year Yields: For clarity and simplicity I will treat this uptrend in yield as a bull market (although it is actually a bear market as higher yield = lower price). To keep it simple I will label the uptrend in yields as if it were a bull market and use that terminology.
The hourly chart of US Ten Year Treasury Yield offers another example of a consistent demand line coupled with a clear supply line. As discussed in parts 1 & 2, trendlines and channel tops evolve over time and are typically messy.
Construction: Yields began inflecting higher in very early August (A) and over the next few weeks began making higher highs and higher lows.
The first significant low occurred August 10, and soon after, the initial demand line (A-B) could be drawn. This demand line did an excellent job of defining the stride of the trend for the next two months.
At that point there was a solid intervening high pivot between the two low pivots that could be used to draw the initial supply line. After the late August pivot, I moved my initial supply line lower.
From September 13- 22 the market traded in the upper portion of the channel for an extended period (period in the oval). Downside reactions began consistently holding in the area around the channel median/central line. This is typically a sign of strength. Note that this was the third time during the sequence that price had held in the upper portion of the band for an extended period. Granted, there were two periods where price was below median, but both periods were relatively short and the totality of time spent above median was far greater. This was clearly a market where demand is outstripping supply by quite a lot (remember that since this is yield, we are treating the uptrend as if it were price, so in actuality, holding in the top portion of the channel represented superior supply).
Soon after this show of strength, the market pushed above the top of the supply line. Overthrows of this nature are often terminal, ending the trend. Often, breakouts find fresh supply at roughly 1 channel width above the breakout. This one exceeded that modestly.
Often (as is the case here) once the original channel is reentered, it will again begin to act as support and resistance.
In the next installment we will talk about combining channels with other chart and oscillators and some notes about using channels to trade against.
And finally, many of the topics and techniques discussed in this post are part of the CMT Associations Chartered Market Technician’s curriculum.
Good Trading:
Stewart Taylor, CMT
Chartered Market Technician
Taylor Financial Communications
Shared content and posted charts are intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only. The CMT Association does not offer, and this information shall not be understood or construed as, financial advice or investment recommendations. The information provided is not a substitute for advice from an investment professional. The CMT Association does not accept liability for any financial loss or damage our audience may incur.
3 FIBONACCI TOOLS YOU MUST KNOW 💡
Hey traders,
In this article, we will discuss 3 classic Fibonacci tools you must know.
1️⃣Fibonacci Retracement
Fib.Retracement is my favorite fib.tool. It is aimed to identify strong horizontal support and resistance levels within the impulse leg.
We draw this tool based on the high and low of the impulse (from wick to wick) and it shows us POTENTIALLY strong structure levels determined by Fibonacci numbers.
Common Fib.Retracement levels are: 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786.
Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions.
2️⃣Fibonacci Extension
Fib.Extension indicates strong horizontal support and resistance levels beyond the impulse. Similar to Fib.Retracement tool, Fib.Extension is drawn relying on impulse's high and low (from wick to wick) and it shows POTENTIALLY strong structure levels where the consequent impulses may complete based on Fibonacci number.
Common Fib.Extension levels are: 1.272, 1.414, 1.618.
Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions.
3️⃣Fibonacci Channel
Fib.Channel shows strong vertical supports and resistances (trend lines) within the channel. The tool is drawn based on the trend line of a valid parallel channel (based on wicks) and it shows POTENTIALLY strong trend lines from where the market may retrace.
The trend lines within Fib.Channel rest on 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786 Fib.Levels.
Once one of the levels is reached, wait for a confirmation before you open a trading positions.
Remember that Fibonacci's are simply tools in a toolbox. In order to use them properly, you need to build a trading system around them, test it and confirm its efficiency.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Trendline and Channel Tutorial: Part 2In part 2 we discuss how to construct and utilize sloped trendlines (TL) and Channels in order to better understand the ebb and flow of supply and demand. Like most other charting techniques understanding supply and demand and its relationship to trends and channels depends on you staring at hundreds and thousands of bar charts. Unfortunately, there just isn't a shortcut. It's hard work.
Uptrends represent the "stride of demand." They are a graphic representation of the willingness of the composite investor to enter new longs at consistently higher prices. The parallel channel top is the overbought or supply line. A point in the trend where the composite investor might be reliably expected to reduce their long positions. The median line represents (roughly) the center of the channel. At times (as in the commodities example) the median line may have a basis in the chart pattern, but more generally is simply scribed roughly in the center of the channel. The median line is useful in gauging supply and demand relative to the channel boundaries.
TLs need to be constantly adjusted and often are messy. Most of the time these adjustments occur with a significant lag, but even with the delay the channel helps to define and visualize the aggresiveness or lack thereof of the supply or demand. In the markets that I am most interested in, I constantly adjust the channel elements to best reflect the latest pivots and chart elements.
In my analysis I also use volume, Wyckoff principles and other techncial methods to build the viewpoint. TLs and channels are like any other technical pattern in that they are much stronger and more understandable when combined with multiple methods and tactics.
These patterns are fractal. They occur in all time perspectives from 1 minute to decades and are generally analyzed in the same manner.
Generally Speaking:
-The relationship of the market to the demand line and the supply line relate to the aggresiveness of the demand.
-Ideally a reaction higher from a demand line should cover the entire distance to the supply line. A failure to push to the overbought line (the channel top) is often a sign that the trend is weakening.
-A modest overthrow of a supply line is generally a sign of demand, but if the overthrow occurs late in the trend and represents a significant acceleration, there is potential that it is terminal (see the commodities chart).
-A failure to decline completely back to the supply line is a sign of relative strength.
-How markets relieve overbought conditions within the channel is important. A move to the supply line with an overbought RSI (or momentum oscillator of your choice) that subsequently moves laterally is a bullish show of demand or strength.
-A modest violation of an uptrend would suggest a weakening in the underlying trend while an inability to fully decline to the uptrend would suggest a trend gaining strength.
Bloomberg Commodity Index Daily:
The channel in commodities that has defined trading for most of the last two years displays many of the concepts. Note that like most other TLs and channels the process can be messy. Adjusting demand, supply and median lines as the market evolves takes practice.
-From the pandemic low in late March 2020 commodities began an extended daily/weekly perspective bull market. At the end of September (B) the market formed a pivot that allowed the projection of an initial demand line. It also allowed the projection of an initial supply line from point A.
-As the channel progressed, the markets behavior made it clear that demand was strengthening. Highs were overthrowing the initial projected supply line, reactions from the initial supply line were finding support ABOVE the demand line and when momentum (RSI) became overbought, it was being relieved through mostly lateral to higher prices. All represented strong underlying demand.
-While the initial supply line proved inadequate it did provide a median line to the eventual channel. The median line offered important support or resistance on multiple occasions.
-Soon after point C, a new supply line could be projected.
-From March through September 2021 the market held solidly above the midpoint of the channel. This is clearly a sign of strong demand and bodes well for additional gains.
-After testing the demand line in late 2021, the market once again moved back to the supply line. The easy move higher (no notable counter trend reactions) suggested a lack of sellers. Combined with the prior long lateral move above the midline, it was obvious that buyers were in complete control.
-In February 2022 price exploded above the top of the supply line as the demand that had been evident for months completely overwhelmed the available supply.
-Often a significant overthrow of the supply line is terminal. In this case the market produced a three drives pattern before beginning a steep decline. The break below the pattern trendline is a good example of a type 3 trendline.
In Part 3 we will look at another example (Ten year Treasury yields) and explore using demand and supply lines as a trading vehicle.
And finally, many of the topics and techniques discussed in this post are part of the CMT Associations Chartered Market Technician’s curriculum.
Good Trading:
Stewart Taylor, CMT
Chartered Market Technician
Taylor Financial Communications
Shared content and posted charts are intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only. The CMT Association does not offer, and this information shall not be understood or construed as, financial advice or investment recommendations. The information provided is not a substitute for advice from an investment professional. The CMT Association does not accept liability for any financial loss or damage our audience may incur.
Trendlines & Channels Tutorial: Part 1This will be a multi part series on trendlines and channels, what they represent, how to draw and use them, and how I design trades around them.
For the sake of simplicity this series will focus on uptrends. Importantly, the principles are roughly the same for both uptrends and downtrends except that downtrends often develop more quickly.
I see many TL tutorials, but I don't see much attention paid to what a TL or a channel top represents. Whether a long-term pattern or a shorter-term pattern like a key reversal or a gap, being thoughtful and understanding the supply/demand dynamic that forms each pattern will make you a better analyst/trader.
Trendlines represent the willingness of the composite investor to follow price higher/lower. In other words, uptrends represent the stride of demand and downtrends represent the stride of supply. As long as the composite investor is willing to buy/sell at consistently higher/lower levels, demand/supply remains consistent and the existing uptrend/downtrend is intact.
Channel tops are known as supply lines and represent areas where supply, generally profit taking, should be expected to develop.
The relationship between price and the TL and the channel top can offer important insight into the strength or weakness of the underlying trend. Failures to push to either the trendline or the chanell top potentially warn of a change in the underlying trend. We will cover this in part 2.
What trendlines don't offer, at least in my approach, are standalone trading opportunities. Automatically buying trendline touches or selling trend line breaks must be combined with tactical entry techniques in order to build a safe trade. Most specifically, TLs don’t offer reliable sell signals when they are broken. Tests, both of TLs and channels are simply "get ready" warnings.
A break of an uptrend does not change the underlying trend from up to down but to neutral. More work is typically needed to turn the trend.
A TL is two or more points connecting support or resistance pivots of roughly the same magnitude. A trend channel is formed by building a parallel trendline connecting an intervening pivot on the opposite side of the pattern. The channel top in an uptrend is the overbought or supply line.
It bears repeating, proper trendlines are drawn between intervening lows of roughly equal magnitudes and should never be forced. A TL is not tradable or informative if it does not conform to the natural path of the market. “Trendlines should be pretty.”
Trendlines evolve. Initial projected trendlines are consistently inconsistent. More often than not they will have to be adjusted as price action evolves.
In my estimation there are three primary types of trendlines:
Type (1) These trendlines are shallow and take a significant number of bars to resolve themselves. They are more useful for defining the trend than for trading.
Type (2) These trendlines are typically very steep and run along intraday or daily price lows or highs. These trendlines are very useful as entry triggers and become important as existing type 1 trendlines and channels are tested.
Type (3) These trendlines define the bottom/top portion of a tradable pattern or formation including rectangles. A pattern TL is more apt to provide tradable support or resistance, particularly if the market is overbought or oversold during a testing phase. The horizontal lines along the top of lateral congestion fall into this classification.
In part 2 I will cover how to utilize these sloped TLs and Channels to help understand the ebb and flow of supply and demand.
And finally, many of the topics and techniques discussed in this post are part of the CMT Associations Chartered Market Technician’s curriculum.
Good Trading:
Stewart Taylor, CMT
Chartered Market Technician
Taylor Financial Communications
Shared content and posted charts are intended to be used for informational and educational purposes only. The CMT Association does not offer, and this information shall not be understood or construed as, financial advice or investment recommendations. The information provided is not a substitute for advice from an investment professional. The CMT Association does not accept liability for any financial loss or damage our audience may incur.
DESCENDING CHANNEL - Range Trading StrategyHello my Fellow TraderZ,
Today this is not any Trade idea but a TUTORIAL on how to Trade the RANGE or the CHANNEL.
This is simple, safe, profitable and straight forward Price Action strategy.
Here we are taking the chart of US Govt. Bond 10Y-yield. This is the perfect setup of DECENDING CHANNEL on MONTHLY chart. No time bound you can trade at any TIMEFRAMES, but Higher Time Frames are more reliable.
You see, to draw any Trendline we need minimum 2/3 touch points.
Whenever the price touches the Trendline, never open any Trade in RUSH, wait, see the kind of candles forming at Touch Points (at LOWER TL = BULLISH PA, at UPPER TL = BEARISH PA). PA = Price Action. This should be coupled with the VOLUME.
Notice the S/R areas, where price gives multiple hits before bounce or rejection. This will give you extra boost as these horizontal S/R are more reliable than Dynamic S/R. Also these areas could be your Pivots to make ENTRY(incase price doesn't hit the channel Trendlines) or TP Targets.
Look at the Percentage(%) wise gains simply following the channel(BUY THE LOW, SELL THE HIGH). Well I've just mentioned the BUYS, you can add the short positions also.
Until the price is in channel you can take Multiple Trades both LONGing and SHORTing the market, unless the channel Breaks. This is the beauty of Range Trading. Similarly you can trade ASCENDING CHANNEL/WEDGES as well.
NOTE : PRICE ACTION is majorly important in the Game of Trading.
If you like this content, kindly give a FOLLOW & BOOST to me. Also COMMENT to bring more such #educational contents.
Sorry if its a bit Lengthy post.
Happy Trading . CHEERS!!!
The Heiken Ashi Algo Oscillator (Range Trading technique)You're watching this video because you keep getting stop-hunted. You feel like every time you enter a trade to the market it immediately goes the other way and you get this little spike out the top or the bottom of a candle that knocks you out of your position and takes out your stop loss. This is most likely due to Market manipulation on your charts which is making you think that price is moving up or down and instead you have just entered a trade at the beginning of the consolidation or distribution phase. Don't worry you're not alone this happens to a lot of novice and intermediate Traders. I really wish there was an indicator that would tell you as soon as you have entered into a ranging Market but usually you can't tell that until you've looked at your charts for a couple of hours and realize that price hasn't moved above or below a certain number.
Well you're in luck because I just finished coating an indicator that will tell you that you have entered into a consolidation or distribution phase at the beginning.
In today's video I'm going to show you how to do range trading using the Heiken Ashi Algo Oscillator available for free on Tradingview.
Usually after price makes a big rally to the upside or to the downside you can expect that price is going to go into either consolidation or a distribution phase.
On your charts this will look like where price runs flat for what could be an extended period of time. The rule of thumb is that after a very strong move to the upside or downside the consolidation period can be lengthy. If there is a short rally to the upside or downside then the consolidation or distribution phase would be a short period of time.
So lets get into adding the indicator, and setting up your chart to trade in ranges using alerts from the Heiken Ashi Algo Oscillator.
Open up TradingView
Go to your indicators tab and search for Heiken Ashi Algo Oscillator and add it to your chart.
In the settings make sure you've turned on the following:
Range
Range Break Long
Range Break Short
Support Levels
Resistance Level
There are a number of other alerts available in the Oscillator but we don't need them for this purpose. And as always, use the default settings.
When you get a RANGE signal (Which looks like a line between two left and right arrows.) You want to grab your Parallel Channel Tool.
You should have already set your support and resistance levels when you opened your chart for the day so look left of your candle. There should be a support or resistance alert right there. On my chart I have a Resistance level.
So I'm going to use this line at the top of my parallel Channel
Take your parallel channel tool And place it on that support resistance level just left of the candle .
I'll drive it far to the right and make sure it's straight and click again.
now drag it down to the closest support level and click again.
You have just drawn your range.
Also on my chart you can see here that I have 1 range indication and then just after it I have a second range indication. When you get a second one you disregard the first one because price has now entered into a new range.
What you are looking at is the Centerline of your range. In this particular instance the first Range Line is lower than the second one so to correct this I have to take the top of my parallel Channel and drag it up until the dotted line is at the close of the candle with the new Range signal. do this by driving the top of the box and not changing the bottom of a box. In this case you can see how the bottom of the parallel channel is still sitting on my support and resistance level to the bottom but the top of the parallel Channel is above my support and resistance level And this is fine.
The way you use this is by imagining your parallel channel has three levels.
Level 1 = The top line
Level 2 = The midline
Level 3 = The bottom.
Also you must respect any Support and Resistance levels traveling THROUGH the Parallel Channel
What you are looking for is any candle that closes its majority size across one of these lines here are some examples:
Please watch the video for a perfect visualization of how to do this.
Directions of Trades in Range Trading. Follow the arrows.
You ONLY trade to the INSIDE from the top or bottom of the channel.
You also trade either up or down FROM the midline, depending on the majority close of the candle.
Again also respect your support or resistance levels when a candle is crossing them.
The concept of trend lines, support and resistance Today, I am going to explain the concept of trend lines, support and resistance.
Above is the weekly chart of the EUR/USD, period between 2017 and 2022.
The resistance or support level is where the price gets rejected at least twice. After that, traders can draw a line connecting those swing highs/lows, which later turn to be the resistance or support. This line can be horizontal or sloping, thus called trend line.
A trend line connecting 2 lower highs or more is called descending and considered a resistance.
A trend line connecting 2 higher lows or more is called ascending and considered support.
Broken resistance becomes a support level and vice versa.
Let's take the example chart above and explain the drawings for a better understanding:
1) In January 2017, EUR/USD bottomed at 1.0350 and has been trading above that level since then, until 2022. In the current year, the pair tested the mentioned price more than twice and bounced again. But eventually, sellers were able to break through this support, which later on in July, turned to be a resistance. Buyers tried to break through that level but failed to do so, and the price kept on going further down.
2) During the pandemic in March 2020, demand for safe assets surged, causing the Euro to trade as low as 1.0630 where buyers were met and made a quick rebound. In 2022, the Russia-Ukraine war has put a huge pressure on the EUR/USD, resulting in a strong bearish move. Sellers were able to break the 1.0630 level successfully, which later turned to a resistance level.
3) I highlighted the main 3 parallel trend lines/channels throughout the 2018-2022 period
1: A very clear lower highs/lower lows pattern indicating a bearish trend.
2: Once the 1.0630 support was met, buyers were able to create a higher highs/higher lows pattern indicating a bullish trend reversal.
3: However, in summer 2021, the pattern was broken and we started to notice trend exhaustion indicated by a failure to make higher highs and the market entered a bearish trend again inside a descending channel till present.
I hope the drawings and explanations are clear. Will be happy to answer any question.
Thank you
Identifying a Trend — #Forex for BeginnersA trend is the general direction of a market. Unless something happens to change the trend, a currency or commodities price tends to move within a channel. A channel is formed by a Support level and a Resistance level. The Support level is the trendline for the Lows and the Resistance is the trendline for the Highs. Adding in additional Trendlines, between Support and Resistance, using the Ray Tool builds addition points of interest.
Trendlines (how to draw)
Identify 2 Lows or 2 Highs
The Support Trendline can be identified as soon as 2 Lows are formed and Resistance Trendline can be identified as soon as 2 Highs are formed.
Traders use the Ray Tool instead of the trendline tool to extend trendlines into infinity (Check off “extend right” in the settings by double-clicking on the ray). This is important because traders use trendlines to assist them with locating future trade opportunities as well as locating important areas in current trades.
Traders always draw trendlines from candle wick to candle wick. By using the magnet tool in TradingView, this allows locking on to the candle wick to be much more easy and accurate.
A best practice is to touch as many points as possible even if other candle wicks are cut through along the way.
Always draw multiple trendlines for Lows and Highs on different time frames.
A minimum of 2 touches is required for a valid trendline. The more touches the better.
Using the @alphamindfx Method with the AM All-In-One Indicator
2 Steps in Drawing a Downtrend Channel A buying strategy in a downtrend.
How to identify buying opportunity in a downtrend?
Not my preference to buy in a downtrend, but that does not mean we should avoid it when buying opportunity arises.
Recognizing it is a downtrend, we keep our buy position short-term; as we are going against the trend.
Discussion: Rules in constructing a downtrend parallel trendline
Rule 1 – First the downtrend line
Rule 2 – Then, its parallel
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
wheat & oil, 50 years channelIf you have access to historical data, you see correlation in commodities macro trends and especially same time cycles.
this chart is a small sample (which now affects the whole world) and we see same channel, same time sycle, same macro trends and same target for this trend...
Wyckoff trading using the example of ADA/BTC Accumulation schemePay attention to the phases and letter designations on the graph that I showed on the ADA / BTC pair. (Cardano). A diagram of the accumulation phases is shown. Which are relevant for trading now. Several trading methods are combined on the chart:
1) Trading by the Wyckoff method.
2) Trade in horizontal channels.
3) Trade from important areas (price reversal points).
4) Trading in secondary local trends.
Now the price is at the important zone of the mirror level which, from the development of the situation, can act as support or resistance. Channel pitch 30%. You can work in two directions.
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About Wyckoff's trading method.
The forerunner of volume analysis (VSA) is Richard Wyckoff. Roughly speaking, the whole point of the method can be expressed - trade for a major market player. The creator of this technique himself was a man who had a system-forming influence on stock trading. It was not a poor theorist who got rich after publishing books! He was a very successful trader and earned impressive capital in his day. The very method that he was allowed to achieve and the entire 40 years of experience in trading, he published in his book in the public domain is already closer to his death Wall Street Ventures and Adventures Through Forty Years. At the end of his life's journey, Wyckoff became more altruistic, and decided to share the knowledge that led him to wealth. He died in 1934.
The Wyckoff trading method was developed in the early 1930s. It consists of a number of principles and strategies originally developed for traders and investors. Wyckoff devoted much of his life experience to studying market behavior, and his work still has an impact on much of modern technical analysis (TA). Currently, the Wyckoff method is applied to all types of financial markets, although initially it was focused only on stocks.
During the creation of his work, Wyckoff was inspired by the trading methods of other successful traders (especially Jesse Livermore). Today, he enjoys the same respect as other key figures such as Charles Dow and Ralph Nelson Elliott . But for example, unlike Elliot’s theory, which is good in theory, but not always applicable in practice, the Wyckoff method is many times more effective for making money not in theory, but in practice.
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According to Richard Wyckoff's trading method, there are 3 laws:
1) The law of supply and demand .
2) The law of causation.
3) The law of communication efforts and results.
The first law states that the value of assets begins to rise when demand exceeds supply, and accordingly falls in the reverse order. This is one of the most basic principles in the financial markets, which does not exclude Wyckoff in his work.
We can represent the first law in the form of three simple equations:
1) Demand> supply = price increases.
2) Demand
Lines, trendlines and channelsLines are one-dimensional figures that extend endlessly into a future and which connect the price segments on a chart. They are often used to determine a trend and particular support and resistance levels. Lines are easy to draw and use as technical tools. Over time, lines became implemented into various trading systems such as Andrews' Pitchfork and Gann Fan Lines. However, lines have countless more uses. For example, lines can be used to section particular parts of a price pattern. Additionally, they can be used to draw horizontal support and resistance levels. Lines also find utility in measuring the speed of the price ascend or descend. Furthermore, they can be deployed in various trading strategies and used to identify a trend.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the daily chart of Microsoft Corporation stock. A simple dashed line (white) measures the percentual decline between 22nd November 2021 and 8th March 2022.
Trendline
The trendline is a simple line that connects prices across a chart. It reflects a primary trend in the prices of stocks, commodities, etc. Trendlines can be used to construct channels and numerous different bodies. In addition to that, trendlines can also act as resistance or support.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows Lockheed Martin stock on the daily chart. It also shows the trendline (white) pointed to the upside as it cuts through a substantial portion of lows.
Channels
Channel can be constructed by two parallel trendlines, which act as support and resistance levels. A channel can be sloped upward or downward depending on the general trend of prices. When a channel is correctly determined and drawn, the price often moves between the two boundaries. However, occasional breakouts occur. As a result, they establish a new trend or validate a current one once the price returns to a channel.
Illustration 1.03
The image above shows the daily chart of gold. The channel (white lines/boundaries) can be observed as well. False breakout took place on 27th January 2022. However, the price retraced back into the channel on 9th February 2022.
Resistance and support levels
Often, a line or trendline acts as a particular support or resistance level. The function of these two levels is to halt price rise or decline. Typically, it is considered bullish when resistance is penetrated to the upside. Contrarily, when support fails to hold selling pressure and breaks, it is usually a bearish sign. Resistance and support can be drawn by a simple horizontal line. However, resistance and support can be at a slope. That is common, for example, for channels in a strong uptrend or downtrend. Generally, the significance of support or resistance grows with an increasing number of successful halts being put to a price rise or decline.
Illustration 1.04
Illustration 1.04 portrays the daily chart of Bitcoin. Major support and resistance levels are indicated by white horizontal lines. The first top also acts as the resistance of utmost significance as the price previously halted its rise at this level.
Speed lines
Speed lines are three consecutive lines used to estimate future support and resistance levels. In an uptrend, speed lines are constructed by creating a box connecting a low point in the lower-left corner and a high point in the upper-right corner. Next, a vertical line connecting these two points is sectioned at each third and in the middle. Then a speed line is drawn from the actual low in the lower-left corner through the right side of a box where sections were marked. These speed lines are extended into the future and considered to estimate natural support and resistance levels. Modern techniques include creating speed lines, such as sectioning a box according to Fibonacci ratio numbers.
Illustration 1.05
The picture above shows Tesla stock on the daily chart. It also shows the unconventional construction of speed lines from a box cut into four equal sections.
Disclaimer: This content serves solely educational purposes.