📌 ridethepig | Homerun for BTC Here the choice is between another sweep and marking a bottom. The first results in a discovered temporary pullback which allows early buyers to start getting excited... but the second moves involves a slingshot, automatically through the pivot. A quick review of the initial charts we have been tracking ↳ This was the...
📌 ridethepig | Bitcoin Finally Breaking Down The goal of this swing as you all know by now is to test $28.000/$27,000 and show a real seizure of control from sellers. After another -8% today, it's clear in the ST sellers are doing their duty as we approach the first targets. The defence here is very feeble, fresh weakness should be considered indirect fruits...
📌 ridethepig | Euro for ECB In some chart annotations, we have already covered the need for a pullback yesterday and to either use that to build the position centrally or lines aimed at mapping the flow for those covering on the pullback. The main point was to gain momentum for the slingshot after the 1.207x bids held. > Global inflation is starting...
📌 ridethepig | BTC Market Commentary 20.01.2021 In this position (from the $39,000) highs it's time to protect our portfolio as we try a third time to get the breakdown. This has happened in drastic fashion and a great live example of good position management. The pullback came surprisingly close to our trail, before the old shorts started cheering again at...
📌 ridethepig | AUDNZD Market Commentary 20.01.2021 This chart illustrates the remaining crumbs in AUDNZD which is worth further study. The position from the previous diagrams continues and we are set for taking the next main target at 1.089x/1.090x. Now, buyers have overcome their difficulties in development, the base is optimally protected from AUD...
📌 Oil for the Yearly Close Making the rounds...this time onto Oil and we are going to learn from it by firstly tracking our previous 'before' and 'after' the 2020 fact charts to see how the birth took place. A single glance at the Monthly and Daily is sufficient, from mapping our MT and LT charts, our ancestors, we are able to workout the directional flows in...
📌 ridethepig | Gold Market Commentary 19.01.2021 A basing formation with Gold, which does not require to create a 'double bottom' pattern, is undergoing a direction change. It advanced as far as our $1,960 target and has found cramps. Finally, there is the opportunity for a breakthrough. As an example of this, let us turn to the well know diagram ' Gold...
📌 Play continues with the next hole ... as in the previous ( with GBPUSD ) we will keep it to three main targets initially. Now in Tesla's case, buyers are having to overcome some difficulties in development; the highs are optimally set with an island reversal, and so the tables can be turned. Timing wise this hole could not be better placed as sentiment...
📌 ridethepig | EUR Market Commentary 18.01.2021 Here to kick the week off with the first moves we have buyers choosing to defend the 1.207x bids, protecting the support level and relieving the channel structure of this duty so that it can become a bit more appealing possibly for a slingshot. The next moves higher in EURUSD can be the start of a swing that...
📌 ridethepig | Teeing Off in GBPUSD After an interesting Asian session the unlikely looking manoeuvre is preparing to unfold. Why? Because sharp speculators are already beginning to outguess the dovish BOE and directionally are flooding back to USD. A very similar setup to the one we traded in the middle of December flows: Large macro players have been...
📌 ridethepig | BTC Flirting to Break Lower Here buyers are giving up the highs as expected and opening up a retracement back towards +/- $27,000 which will put pressure on the late lagging retailers. A more solid floor can be formed below the 4th Jan lows, if sellers can hold below $40,000 for the weekend then best is to cover. Showing a lack of momentum!...
📌 Endgame in the economic cycle and illustrating a painful recession Yields had the opportunity to move and successfully played the 'elastic band' rejection from the inversion in 2019, which despite the length of the global CB combination, can be expressed in no other terms than reckless. FED was obviously aiming for the ideal position (the frontal defence from...
📌 Bitcoin Market Commentary 14.01.2021 It is sellers turn to move, we are hitting the main target for this third wave as widely expected since before the yearly close. The lows are clearly still mobile and the leg lower should now be safe to play. After much thought, and completely recognising stepping against the train, this should be a decision for ...
📌 The beauty of Korea is revealing itself right on time... the breakout is difficult to maintain as can be seen on the yearly close, the slingshot which turned out to a correct play for buyers has unlocked the potential for a major rally in 2021. Capital has its eyes on Korea (and a few others) for the advantage in its currency (KRW) and economic mobility across...
📍 A quick update here on the elements of EUR and USD Ending the 'C' part in the swing down has been a hard struggle and with such a problem a surprising retreat is expected. Buyers are threatening to bottle up their opponent. A pullback in EURUSD towards 1.15/1.14 will make things a lot easier: Inflation is demanding a return, after sufficient...
📌 @ridethepig XBT Market Commentary 19.12.2020 So we have the following picture; the prince slowly approaching his city after slaying the dragon, rescuing the princess and conquering the treasure. All the ministers and advisers are wanting to meet for a hearty breakfast and consider the correct way to balance the rewards. This picture is intended to convey how...
📌 @ridethepig Gold Market Commentary 04.01.2021 This is illustrating the notion of 'total mobility', and also touched on a problem which we have not discussed in depth yet, trailing stops. Here... we can quickly review the text book flows, firstly when you think of development and secondly because Buyers are threatening to become very strong now in the open...
📌 @ridethepig VIX Market Commentary 18.12.2020 A good time to update the VIX chart for the traditional Quad witching flows....After an exchange in Q1 2020 with VIX exploding to the topside as widely expected for all those following, there is now what follows, an opportunity for a panic cycle next week (21st December) followed by another window in January...