Semis

Bulls need $1,040...Bears need $970 I'm leaning bearish currently based on the short term moving average rolling over, clearly losing momentum, as well as price approaching the 100sma. If price can jump back up to 1,040 and hold those levels for a few days, I could see a bullish case. If price falls below 970 and does not immediately find a relief rally upward, then I think this Micron trade is losing steam and I'd be buying puts.

by MonetaryRebel

Is it finally time to short semiconductors? I think so If we look at the chart here, we can see that we've now formed a higher low. If we can break above $48.50 that should start the move higher. If price can decisively break the $63 range, then it's pretty much clear skies up to the top resistance area for a potential 10x from these levels. Note: This is a 3x leveraged ETF so it's risky to trade if you don't know what you're doing. Look for a clean breakout first.

$MCHP: Wave (5) Completed — False Breakout, Triggers Pullback 📉 📉 📉 The semiconductor sector has enjoyed an incredible run, but sophisticated capital tracks when the trend exhausts. If you are looking for an aggressive momentum pivot to compound capital, Microchip Technology Inc. #MCHP is presenting a textbook structural short setup. The daily chart shows a clean, completed macro 5-wave Elliott structure. Friday's aggressive breakdown volume has officially confirmed a structural bull trap. 1. The Technical Setup: False Breakout & Liquidity Sweep Look

NQ Weekly Outlook – Week 34 of 2026 (24-28 AUG)NQ WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK NQ Weekly Recap Outlook We didn't take any trades on NQ futures this week because none of the key levels or scenarios we had mapped out were triggered. (For reference, I have included last week's outlook on the right.) UA CAPITAL Trading Desk Weekly Execution Metrics Total Trades Taken: 13 Winning Trades: 10 Losing Trades: 3 Win Rate: 77% Index Options: 0 Trades Futures Desk: 3 Trades (3 Wins — ES) Equities / Stocks: 10 Trades (7 Wins / 3 Losses) Result:

TSM — The Business Kept Strengthening While Price Consolidated TSM — Business Strengthening, Price Catching Up Post: TSM has spent months digesting a major run while the business kept strengthening underneath it. Advanced-node demand, AI/HPC exposure, margins and capex remain strong. I’m watching whether this current area becomes acceptance for the next leg.

QQQ / NDX Weekly Outlook – Week 33 of 2026 (17-21 AUG)QQQ WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK QQQ Weekly Recap Outlook Price first rejected from the Flip Zone at Wednesday's open, activating the Short Scenario. We took the short setup and captured a 3.6-point, 0.5% move to the downside. We took three partial profits according to the plan, with the remaining position stopped at entry. Then, on Thursday, price broke out above the Flip Zone and activated Long Scenario 3 after retesting the Flip Level. The retest entry delivered a 2.5-point, 0.34% move to th

NQ Weekly Outlook – Week 33 of 2026 (17-21 AUG)NQ WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK NQ Weekly Recap Outlook Price tapped the Flip Zone and activated the Short Scenario. The short trigger came around 10 AM on Wednesday, allowing us to capture a 152-point, 0.5% move to the downside. We took three partial profits according to the plan, with the remaining position stopped at breakeven. On Thursday, the Flip Zone was broken exactly as planned with a 4-hour candle close above the level. Following the 1-hour candle retest, we entered Long Scenario 3 on T

QQQ / NDX Weekly Outlook – Week 32 of 2026 (10-14 AUG)QQQ / NDX WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK QQQ Weekly Recap Outlook The QQQ weekly analysis delivered two winning trades last week. A total of two trades were taken, and both finished as winners, resulting in a 100% win rate. The breakout of the Pivot Zone resulted in a 41.5-point move, representing approximately a 6% upside move. The retest of the Swing Zone then generated an additional 11.5-point move, representing approximately a 1.60% upside move. (For reference, I have included last week's ou

NQ Weekly Outlook – Week 32 of 2026 (10-14 AUG)NQ WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK NQ Weekly Recap Outlook We took a total of three trades last week. Two were long setups and one was a short setup. All three trades finished as winners, resulting in a 100% win rate and a highly profitable week. 1. Key Level Breakout Long Scenario: Generated a 1,550-point move, representing approximately a 5.5% upside move. 2. Supply Short Scenario: Captured a 650-point downside move, representing approximately a 2.2% decline. 3. Flip Level Bounce Long Scenario:

AMD beats on revenue but Q3 guidance miss AMD | 4H Technical Analysis — Aug 10, 2026 AMD reported Q2 revenue of $11.54B, up 50% year-over-year and above the $11.3B consensus, with adjusted EPS of $1.66 beating the $1.62 estimate. Data center revenue more than doubled to $6.7B, with CEO Lisa Su guiding for further doubling by 2027. However, stock fell 8.8% in after-hours trading as Q3 revenue guidance of $13B disappointed expectations. The market reaction reflects a valuation problem Bloomberg identified clearly: up 132% year-to-date a

by inkicho_exness

QQQ / NDX Weekly Outlook – Week 31 of 2026 (03-07 AUG)QQQ / NDX WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK NASDAQ:QQQ Weekly Recap Outlook Long Scenario 2: Price found support almost to the exact tick at Key Level 2 (663) before reversing sharply higher. Performance: Rallied +33.4 points (+4.9%), delivering a textbook execution of our macro map. (For reference I have included last week's outlook on the right.) UA CAPITAL Weekly Execution Metrics Total Trades Taken: 7 Winning Trades: 6 Losing Trades: 1 Win Rate: 85.7% Index Options: 4 Trades (3 Wins / 1 L

NQ Weekly Outlook – Week 31 of 2026 (03-07 AUG)UA CAPITAL Weekly Execution Metrics Total Trades Taken: 7 Winning Trades: 6 Losing Trades: 1 Win Rate: 85.7% Index Options: 4 Trades (3 Wins / 1 Loss) Futures Desk: 2 Trades (2 Wins — ES & NQ) Tactical Equities: 1 Trade (1 Win — NASDAQ:AAPL ) NQ WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK This Week's Scenarios / Prediction Risk Index This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL and remains the primary indicator I us

QQQ / NDX Weekly Outlook – Week 30 of 2026 (27-31 JUL)QQQ / NDX WEEKLY MARKET OUTLOOK UA CAPITAL RECAP | WEEK 20–24 JUL 2026's 29th week ended slightly green after the combination of the trades taken throughout the week and the profits generated following the loss we experienced midweek. Although this was not a deep green PnL week, we continued to maintain our no red week since YTD record through disciplined risk and position management. (For reference I have included last week's outlook on the right) Markets spent the week caught between

AVGO: Speculative Topping Scenario — Tracking The Chip Trade 📉 🖥️ 🇨🇳 📊 🚀 1. The Fundamental Shift: Broadcom’s Cautious Guidance Shock While the retail crowd continues to buy every single technology dip under the assumption that AI infrastructure spending is an infinite money printing press, the smart capital is watching corporate guidance closely. The semiconductor sector suffered a massive, historic shock when Broadcom reported its fiscal Q2 earnings. While the headline numbers beat consensus, management's Q3 AI chip sales guidance of $16 billion fell

MRVL obviously different traders with different perspectives can come up with various ways to use this info. However for myself I've been using this mainly for placing scalps on the SHORT side of things. I have also played it long a few times as well as scalped a few options trades. As for this evening i ran one short scalp since the close and am watching for a over night pop with the main idea being another short scalp. Obviously if it breaks out and begins to run you'll want to adjust accordingl

Intel Corporation | INTC | Long at $44.26 Entered Intel NASDAQ:INTC after-hours at $44.26. The US government is too heavily invested in this one to let it truely slide. The earnings / EPS projections show a likely major turnaround. Any dips are purely programmatic for entry (watch insiders and politicians . I may sound like a conspiracy theorist here, but a $8.9 billion investment from the US government is absolutely going to lead to major returns by 2028/2029. There is a major price gap a lot of people aren't seeing all the wa

by WorthlessViews

NVTS: Uptrend from April lows may be complete Putting my late‑October NVTS update into a separate idea. From the way the corrective structure off the October highs is developing, it increasingly looks like the entire advance from the April lows may be complete, with price likely having formed a mid‑term top. The ideal macro support zone to complete this full corrective cycle sits at 5.20–3.90. In the near term, a move into the 6.97–5.70 area has a high probability of generating a bounce, but that bounce would most likely only create a lar

by BelFed_Analytics

GlobalFoundaries | GFS | Long $33.62 GlobalFoundaries NASDAQ:GFS Technical Analysis: The price is currently trading below the historical mean (see lines on chart). Given the "newness" of this stock on the market (IPO in 2021), I would often avoid an entry here until more data are gathered to better understand if the downside trend is reversing. However, in an era where AI integration is the future of tech, the growth prospects of NASDAQ:GFS make it undervalued in the semiconductor space. The current fair value is near $20.

by WorthlessViews

Is Intel a Tech Stock or a Weapon?In 2026, Intel Corporation is going through a major transformation. It is moving away from being just a company that makes chips for personal computers and is becoming a critical partner for the U.S. military. The United States government has officially recognized Intel as a "National Champion," which means the company is now seen as essential for the country's safety and defense. This change is happening because the government wants to ensure it can make its own advanced computer chips at home

by TradeThePool

Ultra Clean Holdings | UCTT | Long at $27.32 Like Ichor Holdings NASDAQ:ICHR , Ultra Clean Holdings NASDAQ:UCTT is a prominent developer and supplier of critical subsystems, high-purity components, and specialized services, primarily for the semiconductor industry. I believe this is a very undervalued area in the semiconductor industry. Growth Earnings per share expected to more than triple between 2025 and 2028 and revenue is expected to be on the rise. Health Debt-to-equity: 0.9x (healthy) Quick Ratio: 1.9 (great) Al

by WorthlessViews

Ichor Holdings | ICHR | Long at $20.41 Ichor Holdings NASDAQ:ICHR is a major supplier in the semiconductor industry, specifically focused on the semiconductor capital equipment sector rather than directly manufacturing chips themselves. I believe this is a very undervalued area in the semiconductor industry. The other major competitor is Ultra Clean Technologies NASDAQ:UCTT . Insiders Buying between $14 and $17 share. Growth Earnings per share expected to more than double between 2026 and 2028 and revenue on the r

by WorthlessViews

Direxion Semiconductor 3x Bull | SOXL | Long at $30.00 So many semiconductor companies... which one to choose? Enter AMEX:SOXL - not for the faint of heart. Losses and gains triple compared to most semiconductor ETFs, so stay away if high-risk plays aren't your thing. The top three holdings are NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:AVGO , and NASDAQ:NVDA - two of which are at all-time highs... I wouldn't be shocked if AMEX:SOXL enters the low $20's to test the base of my historical simple moving average area, but I don't think we are done hearing about AI an

by WorthlessViews

MU: one more leg down potential I would prefer to see one more leg down into the deeper mid-term support zone at 180–170, as long as price remains below the December highs. Chart: Previous analysis on NASDAQ:MU trend structure (Jul-Oct):

by BelFed_Analytics

MU Trade idea I am waiting for next target 309 to take short position targeting 257, this crazy stock will keep moving upward for sure and correction happens with high %, lets see this week if reached 309 only 5% far.