Some are surprised that the "flight to safety" from the recent equity market slide has not occurred. Market instruments often follow their own beat. Soon though TLT may be exhibiting a surge, possibly seemingly caused by further stock market weakness. The waves however indicate that a powerful third wave of a larger third wave may be ready to propel TLT prices...
This might now be an exciting play, but we really like the play with the struggles that the bond market is showing. We have bought some puts on this Treasury Bond ETF TLT. We entered around $118.58 and this is what we're seeing: -Bond market is struggling overall as of late -Weekly Squeeze has fired to the downside, which can cause large moves -Volume has...
Finally formed a base and broke trend line. With major equity markets painting a engulfing bar, fly to safety will push rate down.
TLT treasury bonds are at a huge support, potentially forming a massive top... A break below the neckline would possibly have huge bearish implications.
Looks like TLT is forming a round bottom pattern. I will be buying a couple calls with a march 16 expiration. Target 121. Have a nice trade!
While a regular bar chart shows TLT holding firm at the neckline on a monthly chart, a simple line chart shows that TLT in fact has broken below the head and shoulders neck line. A rally to the neckline and subsequent failure indicates that price can fall below 100 over the long term
With US rates rising significantly in the past couple of months - how should a trader play this Being structurally short $TLT offers significant upside with a Put Butterfly Spread We have outlined trade which can be accessed on profile however a summary is provided 2 Month Put Skew is 3.62 standard Deviations above its 1 year mean 2 Month Volatility is 1.58...
I'm adding to my short bonds position here now that I have another favorable stop above consolidation available. Short TLT via 115/124 put Diagonal for $6.07. Max Risk: $607 Max Win: As of now, it's $293 Target: Price at $115 Stop Loss: Price at $119.50 long 124 put: 80 delta short 115 put: 22 delta I'll likely continue to roll the short 115 put against to...
Treasury bonds are falling of a cliff following a bearish breakdown (see in the chart) Now testing an important support zone - Structure and also the neck line of a weekly H&S pattern That's a critical support zone! In case that it will fail to hold, we can see massive selling in bonds.
Let me warn you now, this is not a fundamental or technical analysis based trade. This is a speculation on my behalf based on a simple theory. As the US Federal Reserve continues to rise interest rates up to 3x this year, is it time that a true bear market in fixed income has come to fruition? Are the "safe" government bonds becoming one of the worst asset...
This monthly chart of the 20 year US T-bonds has printed a nice H&S pattern. If price breaks below neckline TLT could get very bearish for a while, reflecting a heavy supply of T-bonds and a continued increase in demand for equities.
This monthly chart of the 20 yr treasury bonds shows a H&S pattern formed. We are currently near the neckline of this head and shoulders pattern. If neckline is breached TLT could get very bearish for some time, which would reflect continued selling of the 20 yr T-bonds and a continued increase in demand for equities.
Hi guys. I'm still messing around with a meek long idea on TLT. I just can't believe nobody wants this stuff. Thank you for looking up. Please look with caution.
Hi guys. I've been following TLT for about 2 weeks now. In my humble opinion we can consider a cautious long entry at these levels. Thank you and have a nice weekend.
Hi guys. I'm going to watch TLT for a long entry in the next 2 weeks. The slope needs to change. The levels are fine. I'll try to meekly update this idea if I don't get distracted by my other hobbies. Good luck and stay safe.
On December 20th I posted an idea for a long position in AMEX:TBF based on the likelihood of the asset breaking out of its long-term downtrend and short-term wedge pattern. Here is the link to the original idea: Today this breakout is taking place and I am initiating a long position in TBF. Given the technical backdrop and the fundamental/economic drivers, I...
Although short term bond and gold looks bullish, TLT is now at breakdown NL resistance + cloud. If it does not breakout NL then, the whole short term bullishness for bonds and gold are bull traps. TP: 103.23 as calculated from fake breakout