12 years of doubts before the actual recession OR 12 years that the trend is going to change?
Good afternoon. This is the chart that everybody yelling about. May this year price close below monthly support. Today (Aug 2019) we have a green 9 and doubts. The importance of this level is significant, but first let's compare 1991 vs 1995 vs 2000 vs 2008 vs NOW(2019) You can do it yourself and come to any conclusion you will, but I want you to know that...
When the interest rate cuts, we are to short S&P in long-term.
Look at the beautiful and powerful bubble index I made.
A few weeks ago we got some nice yield inversion in the US treasury market, just like we did in Canada. I'm thinking the Fed will keep the Federal Funds Rate stable around here before cutting when bad nGDP data comes rolling in.
Looks like we can anticipate another impulse wave on US treasury yields as we follow our thesis that the US10 yield will kiss the upper boundary historical trendline before we see a reversal. Implications here will likely result in a rebounding/consolidating stock market and a strengthening of the USD against many major currencies while markets undergo major...
Long time without having this ratio at positive. Flattening/Inverse at some bps.
First Inversion of the 5/2 spread. This is no less important than the well-known 10-2 spread.
Hi guys, thank you for the support! I will have this analysis out each weekend as well as daily updates throughout the week, if you guys like what I'm doing hit the "follow" button and you will get a notification each time I post a video or chart! Have a great day everyone!
Do not forget Yields are nothing other than yield to maturity and pre-tax based on the ask side of the market and is not messing around! Learn how to beat the market as Professional Trader with an ex-insider! Have a good Trading Week! Cream Live Trading, Best Regards!
Charting the LOG of the US 2y yield (blue line) compared to that of the US 10y yield (red line) here shows the heavy move up in the 2y compared to the 10y. This, in my opinion, is very important because a 2y yield at or above 3% will likely drive short-medium term market reaction. Some of my thoughts on the 2y, 5y, and 10y points of the curve for context: • The...
US 2y yield (blue line) vs GER 2y yield (red line)...The spread is immensely wide as the FED has been in a hiking phase wile the ECB still continues to apply a "whatever-it-takes policy". Eventually the ECB policy will have to roll back and front-end yields will react by backing up. I believe the German 2y yield will eventually move higher and lead the...
The yield curve (spread between the 30 year and 2 year spread) just broke below 1%. All indicators suggest this trend to continue. It has been encroaching the lower Bollinger Band of the Kovach Reversals Indicator, with no retracement in sight. A retracement will be confirmed by a green triangle, if an when it happens. The Federal reserve should be very ...
The yield found support at 1.28% (former channel resistance) yesterday and has staged a rebound to 1.33%. The major averages - 50-DMA, 100-DMA and 200-MA are all sloping upwards and nicely aligned (one below the other) suggesting the long-run view remains bullish.