I'm currently viewing US10 years bond yield as a "gauge" for negative correlation for Gold market instead of equity index e.g. SPX . As their correlation efficient rate now is about 80% ...And we might see 1 more leg up in US10 years Bund toward around 2.000 to complete last leg of tripe zig zag wave which is wave (Z) (Cyan /Light Blue)... So we might have 1...
Inflation prints coming in hot(short term) because of a stalled reopening. Rumors of vaccine FDA approval in the next week. A large infrastructure package in the works, putting more money into the system sparking inflation fears.
US10YEAR yields have bounced strongly off the 50% fib level at 1.13% for the second successive time and looks to be forming a possible double bottom. A move above 1.30% and back above the 200dma will be an important milestone for the 10 year yields, which could see it move up another 20bp..
Interesting level that price touched 50% Fibo for based on 2 Fibo level. Coming week Fed rate decision is crucial. Looking for further retracement unless 50% show strong support Trade safe.
Looking at the weekly chart we can see that current levelis below both, MBB (@ 1.5630%) and Kijun Sen (@ 1.3851%). Wait for weekly closing for confirmation ! In the meantime, the expected target of 1.2890 % (38.2% Fib ret) has nearly been reached with a low so far @ 1.30 % ! Pressure remains to the downside , next significant supports levels being respectively @...
See attached analysis.
I believe there will be 1 last rally in the equities market, specifically the NASDAQ and S&P before the crash. I see yields returning to 1 before shooting again to 2.
Hello trenders, Investing in bonds after looking this chart...hmm nah. We need the bottom catcher here, there may be some potential reverse on long term but then, why would the US gov give money to medium class! Rich getting richer right. M.M.M Make Motherfuc.in Money Be wise: don´t work for the money, make your money work for you.
Idea for US10Y: - Cup and Handle with bull flag. - TP1: 2.8 Interesting stat: since 1985, 10Y yields have never been below 4% with a 3% Core CPI y/y% GLHF - DPT
This has meaningful implications on equity markets and tech. It looks increasingly likely that blow out earnings will mark near term highs for FAANG. As a quick reminder, higher yields increase the discount factor suggesting future earnings, which are important for high growth tech, are worth less today. That argues for a lower multiple and points to relative...
... Government Digital Currency the solution? Something greater than 2009? The great wealth transfer? Adoption of Flare Network? ...
Speculation for US Government Bonds: "If you want to learn how to trade, go down to the beach and watch the waves." - Ed Seykota After reading this, I went down to the river and watched the waves for a bit, and came up with this model. If you think of a river, the riverbanks are made of sand and pebbles... Each pebble and grain of sand are underlying...
Watch the key treasury yield events on Wednesday and Thursday, might cause macro movements for Bitcoin price.
I have never been in the inflation camp, simply bc of the following 2 reasons 1. Money chases yields, thus any kind of yield US bond offer will be eaten up quickly! 2. Household income/dissasvaving = Profi/Savings. What does that mean? Helicopter money that one receives for the vast majority of the 95% will be spent. normally that would be a good thing under...
The US10 Yr was on an uptrend followed by a correction setting a possible bullish flag Watch out for any break of the resistance line to announce the debut of the uptrend Long after the confirmation of the break Trade responibly
If price action remains in Uptrend channel.