As we have high record inflation on U.S. and the surging rate hike expectation. This will definitly bring the the US10Y up. As it is have negative correlation to expansionary monetary policy.
First 2022 trading day, triggered, yesterday a nice move; indeed, we say, on a daily basis, three important things : 1) breakout of the daily clouds resistance 2) Crossover of the Tenkan-Sen 3) Chikou-Span crossover of cluster Still one resistance level to break which is the ongoing downtrend line resistance and the former highs, respectively @ 1.7050% and...
Last week price action triggered an "Harami" pattern, which is likely to trigger further sideways price action over the coming days ! Indeed, usually such kind of pattern, following a long black candle is normally bullish if the last candle is very small in comparison with the previous one, which is not the case now as the last weekly candle is pretty "big"...
I am expecting US 10Y short term downtrend to complete head at 0.88 area. If that marking complete then our analysis will working as we predicted 1.66 area is critical to watch if breaks then it may go up For more additional information check in chart TVC:US10Y
Things are still looking rather shaky across the board. Not much has changed since my last update but we are definitely starting to see a confluence of things taking place. The one thing that I am still very bullish on is GOLD. Whilst everything else takes a hit I believe GOLD will be repriced based on some underlying macro causes. I believe that this time...
The Yield US10Yr is on the rise as The Fed is reducing its QE program.
I noticed the treasury bond yields are almost identical to the bitcoin/usd chart for 2020 and 2021 ever since the black swan event in March '20, but not in any other period prior to this cycle. Anyone have any insight into why this is and why this wasn't before?
Hello Traders US 10Yr sounds interesting in next few weeks. Right now it formed an inverse head and shoulders but stuck in monthly resistance. Either Upward or Downward, this move will be big and can affect USD. Thanks for Reading Team Fortuna -RC
It appears the US 10 yr is temporarily topped out. With Gold and Silver holding up despite very bearish outlook sentiment, this catalyst could be the final barrier in the way for further upside of PMs. DXY also seems to be breaking down from weekly chart bearish ascending triangle. *first shared idea… please forgive the lack of technical viewpoint. Just my...
Looks like rates should be rising, I'm sure the overnight REPO/reverse REPO from the FED is fueling it.
WEEKLY : Double bottom (@1.1270) gives a technical target @ 1.65 %; it has nearly been filled with a high so far @ 1.6150 Interesting to note that current level coincides with the former congestion top seen early this year between April and May. Therefore, this 1.6000/1.6500 area may this time trigger the second top and should be watch at very carefully ! DAILY...
Price is well supported at 50% fibo retracement and spike higher. May reach $1.7 or recent high. Break and closed above recent high $1.774, may see $1.9 next
US10Y 1-2-3 bearish reversal or 2B bearish reversal? Short term broke red down trend line to head higher, but, eventually a later year bearish 1-2-3 reversal pattern or 2B reversal pattern?
Back in August I posted a Descending Broadening Wedge setup where we were at a potential bottom and today it would seem that we have successfully broken out of said wedge and back tested as support and are looking to finish the measure move that will take us to a minimum target of 1.77. If you look on a timeframe like the weekly we have potential to go all the...
Flattening for the close. Getting a couple of questions re; flattening after the hints in previous idea, for those following 10s30s you will notice the test of 55/54bps is underway. ↳ The latest breakdown is implying we are at the minimum here in an ABC expectation leg towards support ↳ Inflation readings will be key to drive this one, this is signalling a...
Based on the updated chart formations, I expect the US10y to fall out of this rising channel with a floor of around 1.0, then rapidly rise to at least 1.95. This should begin to play out over the next 1-2weeks. The theory becomes invalid if yields continue to rise in the channel to above 1.36.
A similar pattern to 2020 is happening, but it appears elongated. I used colored arrows to divide this chart into segments. The blue arrows represent the yields falling to a base. The yellow arrows are the rates rising phase. The red arrows are the yields dropping in a unique curved pattern. It seems to break that curved pattern and start an upward channel. Last...