White House Economic Adviser Larry Kudlow has really changed his tone on the scale and sustainability of American debt. Remarks country isn't nearing its borrowing limits. Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product (GFDEGDQ188S) was first constructed by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis in October 2012. It is calculated using Federal Government...
This was the first chart that signaled a recession in April of 2020 when the curve first inverted last year in May. This was pure luck, by simply drawing a fractal of previous yield curve inversions from past recessions from May, which was around 360 days from the TA that suggested the market would recess in April of 2020. Obviously covid is a...
5-Year-Y Index Bond% vs. Gold for August 2020
Gold (Inverted) vs. 10 Year Indexed
DISCLAIMER: As a trader you should consider your own risk:reward ratio and do proper lot sizing according to your margin and leverage level. Not every idea is a valid trade. This analysis is a trading idea, not a trading signal for you. My own trend direction estimation, entry point, stop loss and take profit levels are on the chart. Please like, comment,...
As the value continues to devalue, those who've been long treasuries (face-values) and short treasuries yields--specifically the us10y year yield-- we've been getting paid nicely for 13 months straight. Keep in mind these bond market's predicted the recession last year, before covid was known to humans. The bond gods are speaking yet once more, and we need to keep...
With A -194 bp stoploss, my second added TLT long position form 73/30 is approaching in on +1%. while my primary position from the 23rd of june remains 975 bp or 6.04% in profit from the publicly given signal. Positions are both open are floating.
DISCLAIMER: As a trader you should consider your own risk:reward ratio and do proper lot sizing according to your margin and leverage level. Not every idea is a valid trade. This analysis is a trading idea, not a trading signal for you. My own trend direction estimation, entry point, stop loss and take profit levels are on the chart. Please like, comment,...
📌 This diagram portrays the final stages in the economic cycle which I called in 2019. The position arose after Equities began extending beyond reality; all sellers needed was an intending cause. The construct of the ingredients here are clear and simple, after Fed cleared the runway till 2022 you can see the risk coming out of bonds. Of course now it...
I been researching for hours and hours on google trying to figur out when it is right time to make a trade because on google it tells me many things about double top that can be trap move??? I am scared that if i do it wrong i will mess up my trades?? I know google tells me that when price bounce off the support level, it is a sell. BUT i also saw that it broke...
US30-year bond yields are following the uptrend that we forecasted in the post of April 28. It is currently in the final stages of minor wave 1 which is part of the 5 impulse waves that should lead yields to the area surrounding 2.44%, where intermediate wave 3 should be completed. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
US30Y finished intermediate wave 2 down and it started its way up to the most probable first stop at 2.44%. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
Negative rates are finally here for the US with the 6mo t-bill ticking below -2bps (feed is slightly delayed here). Simply meaning that you will now need to pay the US government for 6mo cash deposits. This is the only way they can continue in the "end game" strategy. It is a well known phenomenon that the US 2's 5's was ringing alarm bells last year , those...
We face an ongoing Rally betweene US stock market and Goldprise. Which will win and gain the most? Last rally was 2008 :D