As an extension to our recent post on the US Materials Sector, we have identified 8 US stocks which we think could strengthen in the coming months. Of particular interest is Mosaic (MOS): Mosaic is showing signs of base completion, as prices pressure the USD31.10 range highs. Improving studies anticipate a break towards the USD34.15 retracement, with scope for...
Within the US sectors space, we are seeing continued strength and outperformance (relative to the SP500 Index) in Energy, Financials and Industrials. However, there are early signs of improvement now appearing in the Materials sector, as prices extend the break above the 310.18 high of August. Focus is now on the 327.33 contract high of 2015, and whilst...
There is no real change in the dominant bear trend, as prices pressure $110.00. Stochastics and sentiment continue to weaken, highlighting further downside risks into the coming weeks. In tandem, Healthcare is also weakening and, along with JNJ, further underperformance relative to the SP500 Index is highlighted.
Eyes are on Boeing at the moment, following President-Elect Trump's remarks on the possible future of Air Force One. It is worth noting that Boeing is already looking overstretched at current levels - momentum studies are overbought and prices are now trading in the historic distribution top from 2015-2016 - and risk/reward is turning lower. Could Trump's...
BAC is about to retrace to 18.2. Sell on Breakout. Good Luck!
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has made a quick and powerful bounce from 17883 to 18873 points (Thursday). It represents a 5.5% increase in only one week. The victory of Donald Trump has apparently raised the idea that the new policies might spark a stronger economic growth. After that short term progression, we can clearly see that the underlying trend...
The S&P 500 has just broken its support area at 2119 points ; before that, we would have expected a bounce because that area prevented two bearish attemps. On a break out of a support like that, we usually search an opportunity to enter short. But here is the problem : - The previous peak (2154.80 points) seems too far to put a stop above it. The first obstacle...
Exxon Mobil, major oil company, has just published its quarterly results. Its profits went down (2.7b$ vs 4.2b$ the previous year). Its cost reduction has not compensated the lower margins due falling oil prices. Due to this, the stock has opened today with a bearish gap and has drawn a shadow at 85.50$ which is the lower bound of the flag. Technically, we can...
The VIX, also known as the fear index, is calculated from the price of options, in other words the cost of insurance against shifts in the market. When investors are willing to pay more to protect themselves, it means they are worried about the near future. Currently, and since a few months now, the evolution of VIX can be described on the following two points...
Amazon is in a fast upside trend since early February (+72% in less than 9 months). The stock is making new historical highs frequently. On that situation, we are looking for short term regress in order to get long. Here is exactly what is happening : - Beginning of a bounce at a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement - Matches with neutrality area on the RSI (bounce at 50...
Trendline support was broken. Now the price is making a pullback to the broken trend. Risk trade to sell closer to trendline. Less risky to sell on break of the first trigger. Target 38.
Hey Traders! Keep an eye out for the completion of this triangle and potential continuation of bearish movement on the S&P. May start looking for short opportunities if we see a bearish impulse after wave-E of the triangle completes. Updates to come as the tide rolls. Happy trading!
As I see it four possible levels with the use of moving averages, trend lines and fib levels. First level is at ~17900, next level is between 17558 and 17460, next level is at ~16468 and next level is ~15476. It possibly might go lower if September rate hike is announced. Good luck. In any case, with the current strong momentum after a coiling of the price, I...
Don´t be fooled by dem doomers & gloomers depicting race wars and what not. US stocks will keep on being bullish for at least the rest of 2016. Much Love...
It seems only volatility in Utilities can truly threaten equity , so that this might be the ultimate indicator for going short equity . Right now the danger level is very low, because Utilities are through the roof.
It seems to have been rejected by the primary downtrend line (purple) on 4/20/2016. We need to watch it closely.