I haven't updated my 10Y Bond Yield outlook in almost a month, ever since calling the top and the potential of a bearish reversal:
The top successfully took place and the rejection gave way to the reversal on which the price has been trading until now. The similarities with the...
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The US10Y has reached (and so far got rejected on) the 1.707 Resistance (1), which last time rejected the price on May 13. With the 1D RSI on a Bearish Divergence (is on Lower Highs while the actual price is on Higher Highs), similarities can be made with the February 25 - March 30 sequence, which after an RSI Bearish Divergence got rejected on the 1.775...
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The best timeframe for this strategy is Daily, Weekly and Monthly...
Bonds all across the world, across all different spectrums (from gov bonds to junk bonds) have been rising (their yields falling). This is a signal that there are deflationary pressures and that people are searching for yield in an environment with few opportunities. There are other reasons too, but overall this isn't the best signal. Clearly big corporations and...
The Dow Jones (IA) / Gold Ratio and the U.S. 30-year Treasury Bonds / Russell2000 Index Ratio are coinciding at key levels. Both ratios are at historic turning points, foreshadowing their respective Phase Transitions! (and as such, indicating highly volatile, multi-standard deviation moves in the global equity indexes.) The title chart is an extended (120 years)...
M1 : Long term picture is showing a failure to breakout the 50 % Fibonacci retracement
@ 1.8060 % , high seen being 1.7740 %
Price action seen during February and March is showing, first of all, a breakout of the Mid Bollinger
Band, which was at that time @ 1.1460% in February which has been confirmed by a second breakout of the Kijun-Sen line
which was at that...
Pattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Buy once the price approaches the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) which has been the most consistent buy entry since mid August. Also based on both the 1D RSI and MACD, the August leg is currently repeated.
Target: 1.250 (just under the Outer Higher Highs trend-line and the 0.382 Fibonacci extension).
** Please support this idea...
just a consideration:
In the first six months of this year alone the world's second-largest holder of US debts (China) dumped some $106 billion worth of US Treasury bonds (annualized) - source: Global Times
China may gradually reduce its holdings of US Treasury bonds to about $800 billion from the current level of more than $1 trillion, as the...
US10y : Series on Bonds - Sept 20th 2019(7-8 minute read)
For the past couple of month yield curves, particularly the 10 year vs the short term maturities have been a popular topic in the mainstream media, mostly because of the yield curve inversion . This analysis aims to provide a well detailed approach to some of the crucial factors regarding the US...