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Wave Analysis

ELLIOTT WAVE STRUCTURE BASICShere is some basic principles to discern between Corrective and Impulse. For corrective waves, it helps contextually to have a wave prior to measure the timing and retracement to. A simple way to tell the two apart is their retracements either do or do not intersect each other. A trending impulse wave will never have wave 4 enter wave 1's territory, and never surpasses 2. Otherwise the wave count is incorrect. The left-most corrective waves (ABC) are generally classed as 2nd wave structures, and the corrective waves on the right (ABCDE) are generally wave 4s. important to actually do the homework and chart the waves, and the waves within the waves. With many revisions, will notice that waves in whole are congruent within the structures within, and so forth. aka fractals.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by jjbuttersnaps
The Power of Volume: Understanding Volume Analysis in TradingIn the dynamic world of financial markets, successful traders know that understanding volume analysis is crucial for making informed trading decisions. Volume, the number of shares or contracts traded during a given period, provides valuable insights into market dynamics and helps identify potential trends, reversals, and the strength of price movements. In this Educational article, we will explore the power of volume and its significance in trading, uncovering the key principles of volume analysis, practical strategies for incorporating it into your trading toolkit. 📊 The Basics of Volume Analysis 📊 Volume analysis is the study of trading activity represented by the volume of shares or contracts traded within a specified time frame. By analyzing volume alongside price movements, traders gain insights into market sentiment, liquidity, and the overall strength of a trend. Here are some fundamental concepts to consider: Volume and Price Relationship: Volume often accompanies significant price moves. When volume surges during an uptrend or downtrend, it suggests increased participation and conviction from market participants. Conversely, low volume during consolidations or indecisive periods can indicate a lack of interest or involvement. Volume Patterns: Patterns in volume can reveal important clues about market dynamics. For example, a gradual increase in volume during an uptrend may suggest a healthy and sustainable trend, while a sudden spike in volume near key support or resistance levels could signal potential reversals. 📊 Analyzing Volume in Different Market Scenarios 📊 Volume analysis can be applied across various market scenarios to gain insights into the underlying dynamics. Here are a few examples: Breakouts: When a stock or asset price breaks out of a key resistance level with high volume, it suggests strong buying interest and potential continuation of the uptrend. Reversals: A significant increase in volume accompanied by a sharp price reversal may indicate a trend exhaustion and potential reversal. Volume analysis helps validate potential reversal signals. Divergence: When the price is moving in one direction while volume is moving in the opposite direction, it can indicate a weakening trend. Divergences between volume and price can provide valuable early signals of trend reversals. Example: FINPIPE _ breakout with huge volume & reversal candle at retest (at support) of breakout with huge volume 📊 Integrating Volume Analysis into Your Trading Strategy 📊 To effectively incorporate volume analysis into your trading strategy, consider the following tips: Confirmation: Volume analysis can act as a confirmation tool for other technical indicators or chart patterns. For example, if a price breakout occurs with high volume, it confirms the strength of the breakout. Relative Volume: Compare current volume to historical averages to gauge the intensity of trading activity. Unusually high or low volume relative to average volume can highlight potential trading opportunities. Multiple Time Frames: Analyzing volume across different time frames can provide a broader perspective on market dynamics. Higher time frames can reveal long-term trends, while lower time frames offer insights into intraday trading activity. 📊 Volume Indicators 📊 To assist traders in analyzing volume effectively, several technical indicators have been developed. These indicators help visualize and interpret volume data in meaningful ways. Here are a few commonly used volume indicators: Volume: The most basic volume indicator, volume bars represent the volume traded during each price bar or candlestick. By comparing the height of volume bars across different periods, traders can identify anomalies or significant shifts in trading activity. Moving Average in volume indicator: Moving Average calculates the average volume over a specified period. It smoothens out volume data, making it easier to identify volume spikes. On-Balance Volume (OBV): OBV measures the cumulative volume by adding or subtracting the volume based on whether prices close higher or lower. It helps identify periods of accumulation or distribution and can provide early signals of trend reversals. Wave Volume Divergence: A unique addition to volume indicators, this indicator enhances volume analysis by providing wave volume divergence and cumulative volume information. Traders can utilize this indicator to identify potential divergences between volume and price, as well as observe the cumulative volume trends. If you found this article helpful, please give it a like and feel free to share your observations in the comments section. Your support and feedback are highly appreciated, as they keep me motivated to write consistently. Thank you for your support, likes, follows, and comments! For more articles and trade setups, don't forget to follow me on TradingView: in.tradingview.com Keep exploring the power of volume analysis, and remember: 🌟 "Success in trading comes to those who diligently study the market and adapt their strategies." 🌟 📊🚀📈 #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #VolumeAnalysis #MarketInsights
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by AfnanTAjuddin
75
Learn The Market Volatility | The Double-Edged Sword Have you ever wondered why the certain trading instruments are very rapid while some our extremely slow and boring? In this educational article, we will discuss the market volatility, how is it measured and how can it be applied for making smart trading and investing decisions. 📚 First, let's start with the definition. Market volatility is a degree of a fluctuation of the price of a financial instrument over a certain period of time. High volatility reflects quick and significant rises and falls on the market, while low volatility implies that the price moves slowly and steadily. High volatility makes it harder for the traders and investors to predict the future direction of the market, but also may bring substantial gains. On the other hand, a low volatility market is much easier to predict, but the potential returns are more modest. The chart on the left is the perfect example of a volatile market. While the chart on the right is a low volatility market. 📰 The main causes of volatility are economic and geopolitical events. Political and economic instability, wars and natural disasters can affect the behavior of the market participants, causing the chaotic, irrational market movements. On the other hand, the absence of the news and the relative stability are the main sources of a low volatility. Here is the example, how the Covid pandemic affected GBPUSD pair. The market was falling in a very rapid face in untypical manner, being driven by the panic and fear. But how the newbie trader can measure the volatility of the market? The main stream way is to apply ATR indicator, but, working with hundreds of struggling traders from different parts of the globe, I realized that for them such a method is complicated. 📏 The simplest way to assess the volatility of the market is to analyze the price action and candlesticks. The main element of the volatile market is occasional appearance of large candlestick bars - the ones that have at least 4 times bigger range than the average candles. Sudden price moves up and down are one more indicator of high volatility. They signify important shifts in the supply and demand of a particular asset. Take a look at a price action and candlesticks on Bitcoin. The market moves in zigzags, forming high momentum bullish and bearish candles. These are the indicators of high volatility. 🛑 For traders who just started their trading journey, high volatility is the red flag. Acting rapidly, such instruments require constant monitoring and attention. Moreover, such markets require a high level of experience in stop loss placement because one single high momentum candle can easily hit the stop loss and then return to entry level. Alternatively, trading a low volatility market can be extremely boring because most of the time it barely moves. The best solution is to look for the market where the volatility is average, where the market moves but on a reasonable scale. Volatility assessment plays a critical role in your success in trading. Know in advance, the degree of a volatility that you can tolerate and the one that you should avoid. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
11
👻The Movers and Shakers: Meet the Big Forex Players👻 🍀The forex market is a dynamic and complex marketplace, with billions of dollars changing hands every day. At the center of this volatile financial landscape are a handful of key players who wield immense power and influence over the direction of global currencies. In this article, we'll introduce you to some of the biggest and most influential forex market players. 🌸The Central Banks: "We set the tone for the entire forex market." Perhaps the most important forex market players are the world's central banks. These powerful institutions have the ability to control the supply and demand of their respective currencies, through interest rate policies and other monetary maneuvers. Whenever a central bank makes a move, traders around the world sit up and take notice. 🌺The Big Banks: "We are the gatekeepers of the forex market." Big banks are another major group of forex market players, and they play a critical role in providing liquidity to the market itself. These institutions act as intermediaries, buying and selling currencies on behalf of their clients and helping to facilitate trades between different market players. 🌼Hedge Funds and Trading Firms: "We thrive on volatility and uncertainty." Hedge funds and trading firms are a relatively new entrant to the forex market, but they have quickly become some of the most important players. These firms are often staffed by experienced traders and analysts who use complex algorithms and trading strategies to capitalize on short-term market movements. 🌹In conclusion, the forex market is a complex and ever-evolving landscape, but understanding the key players involved can help investors and traders make more informed decisions. Whether you're following the moves of central banks, working with big banks, or leveraging the insights of hedge funds and trading firms, the forex market is full of opportunities for those who are willing to take the risk. Please cheer me up with a like and a nice comment😸❤️ Please, support my work with like and comment! Love you, my dear followers!👩‍💻🌸
Education
by AnabelSignals
7
today we will talk about 5 TYPES OF ELLIOTT WAVE PATTERNStoday we will talk about 5 TYPES OF ELLIOTT WAVE PATTERNS ( FIRST SOME BASIC INFO ) What is Elliott Wave Theory? The Elliott Wave Theory suggests that stock prices move continuously up and down in the same pattern known as waves that are formed by the traders’ psychology. The theory holds as these are recurring patterns, the movements of the stock prices can be easily predicted. Investors can get an insight into ongoing trend dynamics when observing these waves and also helps in deeply analyzing the price movements. But traders should take note that the interpretation of the Elliot wave is subjective as investors interpret it in different ways. (KEY TAKEAWAYS) The Elliott Wave theory is a form of technical analysis that looks for recurrent long-term price patterns related to persistent changes in investor sentiment and psychology. The theory identifies impulse waves that set up a pattern and corrective waves that oppose the larger trend. Each set of waves is nested within a larger set of waves that adhere to the same impulse or corrective pattern, which is described as a fractal approach to investing. Before discussing the patterns, let us discuss Motives and Corrective Waves: What are Motives and Corrective Waves? The Elliott Wave can be categorized into Motives and Corrective Waves: 1. Motive Waves: Motive waves move in the direction of the main trend and consist of 5 waves that are labelled as Wave 1, Wave 2, Wave 3, Wave 4 and Wave 5. Wave 1, 2 and 3 move in the direction of the main direction whereas Wave 2 and 4 move in the opposite direction. There are usually two types of Motive Waves- Impulse and Diagonal Waves. 2. Corrective Waves: Waves that counter the main trend are known as the corrective waves. Corrective waves are more complex and time-consuming than motive waves. Correction patterns are made up of three waves and are labelled as A, B and C. The three main types of corrective waves are Zig-Zag, Diagonal and Triangle Waves. Now let us come to Elliott Wave Patterns: In the chart I have mentioned 5 main types of Elliott Wave Patterns: 1. Impulse: 2. Diagonal: 3. Zig-Zag: 4. Flat: 5. Triangle: 1. Impulse: Impulse is the most common motive wave and also easiest to spot in a market. Like all motive waves, the impulse wave has five sub-waves: three motive waves and two corrective waves which are labelled as a 5-3-5-3-5 structure. However, the formation of the wave is based on a set of rules. If any of these rules are violated, then the impulse wave is not formed and we have to re-label the suspected impulse wave. The three rules for impulse wave formation are: Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. Wave 3 can never be the shortest of waves 1, 3, and 5. Wave 4 can never overlap Wave 1. The main goal of a motive wave is to move the market and impulse waves are the best at accomplishing this. 2. Diagonal: Another type of motive wave is the diagonal wave which, like all motive waves, consists of five sub-waves and moves in the direction of the trend. The diagonal looks like a wedge that may be either expanding or contracting. Also, the sub-waves of the diagonal may not have a count of five, depending on what type of diagonal is being observed. Like other motive waves, each sub-wave of the diagonal wave does not fully retrace the previous sub-wave. Also, sub-wave 3 of the diagonal is not the shortest wave. Diagonals can be further divided into the ending and leading diagonals. The ending diagonal usually occurs in Wave 5 of an impulse wave or the last wave of corrective waves whereas the leading diagonal is found in either the Wave 1 of an impulse wave or the Wave A position of a zigzag correction. 3. Zig-Zag: The Zig-Zag is a corrective wave that is made up of 3 waves labelled as A, B and C that move strongly up or down. The A and C waves are motive waves whereas the B wave is corrective (often with 3 sub-waves). Zigzag patterns are sharp declines in a bull rally or advances in a bear rally that substantially correct the price level of the previous Impulse patterns. Zigzags may also be formed in a combination which is known as the double or triple zigzag, where two or three zigzags are connected by another corrective wave between them.‘ 4. Flat: The flat is another three-wave correction in which the sub-waves are formed in a 3-3-5 structure which is labelled as an A-B-C structure. In the flat structure, both Waves A and B are corrective and Wave C is motive having 5 sub-waves. This pattern is known as the flat as it moves sideways. Generally, within an impulse wave, the fourth wave has a flat whereas the second wave rarely does. On the technical charts, most flats usually don’t look clear as there are variations on this structure. A flat may have wave B terminate beyond the beginning of the A wave and the C wave may terminate beyond the start of the B wave. This type of flat is known as the expanded flat. The expanded flat is more common in markets as compared to the normal flats as discussed above. 5. Triangle: The triangle is a pattern consisting of five sub-waves in the form of a 3-3-3-3-3 structure, that is labelled as A-B-C-D-E. This corrective pattern shows a balance of forces and it travels sideways. The triangle can either be expanding, in which each of the following sub-waves gets bigger or contracting, that is in the form of a wedge. The triangles can also be categorized as symmetrical, descending or ascending, based on whether they are pointing sideways, up with a flat top or down with a flat bottom. The sub-waves can be formed in complex combinations. It may theoretically look easy for spotting a triangle, it may take a little practice for identifying them in the market. Bottomline: As we have discussed above Elliott wave theory is open to interpretations in different ways by different traders, so are their patterns. Thus, traders should ensure that when they identify the patterns. This chart is just for information Never stop learning I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section. Thank you
Education
by moneyhacksrwanda
1
Why do Patterns fail so often?To answer this question, let's try to take a classic Pattern as an example: the "Head and Shoulders" . Typically Traders take short position (in this example) on neckline breakout and place stop loss above right shoulder or head. If we only take these elements into consideration, it often happens that pattern fails. Why does this happen? Because these elements are not enough and we need to use some "filter". One of these filters, and perhaps the most important, is the "placement". For example, the Head and Shoulders is considered a Reversal Pattern that should only appear at the end of a Trend, and this is where the "Elliott Waves" come into play. In fact Elliott claims that a Trend is formed of 5 waves (3 + 2) and often the first signal of the end of the trend is the first bearish leg after wave 5 (Wave A). Another important filter could be RSI indicator because often some divergence also appears in wave (5). In conclusion, the Patterns work very well on the market but you also need to learn how to use them correctly, trying to use some filters to get some more confirmation and limit losses as much as possible. Naturally these considerations are personal and come only from my experience, but they are absolutely subjective and therefore open to criticism. ...I hope I was helpful.
Education
by TheAnonymousBanker
4
Easiest Way To Trade Forex Directions: 1) Wait For Pullback 2) Wait For PA to Break Top of Structure Left 3) Buy When PA Hits Left Structure 4) Set Stop Loss To Below Pullback 5) Stops & Targets Can Be 1:1 RR or higher, but ALWAYS control risk If you understand the Elliot impulse waves in Forex, then you can trade the easiest way in Forex. Just wait for pullbacks in the major trade of the day on the hourly TF (if scalping or day trading), or on higher TFs if swinging or position trading. Noted on AJ pair for Friday was two buy trades, which would have been easy to spot and to set up, before pa hits your entry, you should have your stops and targets set & already have calculated the risk associated in this trade.
Education
by Anbat
3
Every man and his dogI have seen more and more Wyckoff posts recently, well - here's another one! I was trading Wyckoff methodology when it wasn't cool. Unfortunately for the masses, it's not as easy as an 'influencer' will have you believe, from seeing their posts - they clearly lack the understanding and are simply joining the 'HYPE' club for view count. A few years back I went into some depth on Bitcoin's phases as you can see below; Here you would expect the mark up and straight into a Point and Figure forecasted level, which then became 'Re-accumulation' As the price moved up, you could see as clear as day a nice AR move; I'll go into that shortly. But this was the sign of professional involvement. This chart was posted on the 18th of March to highlight the BC (also cover in a second) Why was it so obvious? It was smacking us in the face with the fact it had it's re-accumulation phase earlier - although many said the 60+ thousand level was the accumulation. Point and Figure analysis had the range mapped out and as we neared the zone, the AR come into play. To understand this, I have drafted the help of my good friend Chat GPT to explain this like we are 10 years old. Imagine you have a jar filled with your favorite candies, and you really want to collect as many as possible. Here's how the stages of a Wyckoff accumulation schematic can be related to this candy scenario: Stage 1: Markdown Phase In this stage, you notice that the candies are on sale and their price has been reduced. This makes you excited because you can buy more candies with the same amount of money. So, you start buying some candies, taking advantage of the lower prices. Other people also notice the sale and start buying candies too. This is like the first stage in Wyckoff accumulation, where prices are falling, and smart investors start buying. Stage 2: Absorption Phase In this stage, you and other candy lovers continue buying candies, but you start to notice that even though you're buying a lot, the price doesn't go down as much as it used to. It's like the candies are getting harder to find on sale. This means that there are fewer candies available at the lower price, and more people are buying them. You and others keep buying as many candies as you can, but you start to realize that the sale might be ending soon. Stage 3: Markup Phase Now, the sale is over, and the candies are back to their regular price. However, you notice that the candies you bought during the sale are now worth more than what you paid for them. You feel happy because you made a smart decision to buy them when they were cheap. Other people who missed the sale also want to buy candies now, but the price is higher. You may decide to sell some of your candies at a higher price to those who want them. This is like the third stage in Wyckoff accumulation, where prices start to rise, and the smart investors who bought earlier can sell for a profit. So, to summarize, in the Wyckoff accumulation schematic, we have the markdown phase where prices fall, the absorption phase where prices stabilize, and the markup phase where prices rise. Just like buying candies on sale, smart investors try to buy assets when their prices are low and sell them when prices go up. ===================================================================== So now you got the basic idea of Wyckoff phases; this is still a very hard thing to spot. It helps if you have a bias and of course background as to where the price has been. When I posted the "Rocket call" in March 21, we had seen the Buyers Climax which can be defined like this; A major panic that occurs at the end of a steep ascent in prices. In its classical form it is typified by large range reversal in prices accompanied by large volume. However to simplify this further; contrary to popular 'influencer' belief - Large operator don't go chasing 100x returns, their seeking to make money in all environments and often over a much longer time frame than retail would like. So think of a buyers climax like the bigger players have reached a target that they are comfortable with, the level of returns are sufficient. They sell off as retail are buying every little dip on their 15 minute chart. An AR is an Automatic Reaction to either a buyers or sellers climax (for more, read the post below - Wyckoff basics explained) Once we dropped to the 4 level marked up in March. The move away was ugly, it was low volume from the get go. Meaning a lack of overall interest (at the time) But under the surface, there was more to it. A lot more to it to be honest! I covered the Wyckoff Distribution in this educational post; So, we dropped "exactly as predicted" into a range that was measured only to rise on low, depleting volume. You would then expect a re-accumulation and the measurement for the extension is again mapped out. Re-read the Chat GPT section above. You see, Wyckoff can be useful if you know how to use it properly... People often say things like "it's over 100 years old, it can't work in these markets" Or they try and make patterns out of every move, clearly lacking the understanding. As I explained in August 21 on the way to the current All Time High - the price could be plotted as the image above shows. Volume and COT intel plays a major part here, the sell off was going to be quick to the 40k level - why? Well, it was re-distribution in play. And just like that January 22 through to May was also mapped out... Once we got that break down lower, you could assess the Point and Figure regions. And just like that, we are back into Accumulation. To the MOOOOON!!! ... Not so fast, as this is a much bigger cycle you have to look out for volume, what the bigger players are manipulating and assess the overall situation, being a bigger schematic it is likely to be a slower burner. Refer back to the Chat GPT section above. ======================================================================== Wyckoff, Elliott and Dow Theory still works today as it's not a study of technical charts to be honest, they understood the depth of psychology, retail sentiment based on an individuals own mindset. I have covered the psychology around this in several posts including the Simpsons one! Here's a quick look at the cycle. Now, place these retail sentiment analysts together. You see, things don't have to be complex to work. Zoom out and if you have read this post well enough, you might spot the next clue as to where exactly we are. If you already know me or follow my posts and educational content, you might spot not only where we are, but why. Anyways, I hope this helps at least one person out there! Have a great week! Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years’ experience in stocks, ETF’s, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
10
Positive NFP Data for the USDNFP May 2023 - 339,000 jobs have been created. While this sounds like a good thing, it’s also a bad thing. The entire point of the Federal Reserve hiking interest rates was to ‘slow down inflation’ by making people lose their jobs, in turn leaving them with less disposable income to flood back into the economy. What this NFP data shows is that the current interest rate hikes aren’t working, so this will now be another excuse for the Federal Reserve (really the US government) to be more aggressive with rate hikes, which will end up destroying the economy. This’ll create higher unemployment rates, higher mortgage rates (people default & lose their homes) & higher poverty. This’ll have a knock on effect on the global economy such as the U.K. World Economic Forum - “You Will Own Nothing & Be Happy”
TVC:DXYEducation
by BA_Investments
How to pick winning stockswhen it comes to market analysis there would be an intense argument on what type of aalysis works for the market. While there is no correct answer for this since it all would depend on the individual trader. Some traders prefer technical analysis for several reasons. One key advantage of technical analysis is its focus on price action and market behavior. Technical analysis examines historical price patterns, trends, and chart formations to identify potential trading opportunities. It helps traders understand market sentiment, supply and demand dynamics, and investor psychology. By analyzing price charts and using indicators, technical analysis allows for more precise entry and exit points, helping traders manage risk and maximize profits. Additionally, technical analysis can be used in various timeframes, making it suitable for both short-term and long-term trading strategies. Another advantage of technical analysis is its ability to provide real-time insights. Price movements are reflected in charts and can be analyzed immediately, allowing traders to adapt quickly to changing market conditions. In contrast, fundamental analysis often requires extensive research into financial statements, economic factors, and industry trends, which may not provide immediate or accurate information about price movements. Ultimately, the choice between technical analysis and fundamental analysis depends on individual preferences and trading styles, and many successful traders employ a combination of both approaches. Introduction: Technical analysis is a crucial tool in the arsenal of successful stock traders. It involves analyzing historical price and volume data to make informed decisions about future price movements. By studying patterns, trends, and indicators on price charts, technical analysis helps traders identify potential buying and selling opportunities. This article serves as a comprehensive introduction to technical analysis, covering its basic principles, key components, and its significance in the stock market. What is Technical Analysis? Technical analysis is a method of evaluating securities by examining historical price and volume data. Unlike fundamental analysis, which focuses on factors such as company financials and industry trends, technical analysis is primarily concerned with price action. It assumes that historical price patterns and trends can provide insights into future price movements. Key Principles: Technical analysis is built on several key principles. The first principle is that market prices reflect all available information, including fundamental data and investor sentiment. Technical analysts believe that market participants act rationally, and this behavior is reflected in price patterns. The second principle is that price movements are not random; they follow identifiable trends and patterns that can be analyzed and predicted. Lastly, technical analysts believe that history repeats itself, and patterns that have occurred in the past are likely to occur again in the future. Components of Technical Analysis: Price Charts: Price charts are graphical representations of historical price data. They provide a visual depiction of price movements over time, helping traders identify trends, support and resistance levels, and chart patterns. Common types of price charts include line charts, bar charts, and candlestick charts. Candlestick charts are particularly popular as they provide more detailed information about price action within a given time period. Support and Resistance Levels: Support levels are price levels at which buying interest tends to outweigh selling pressure, preventing prices from falling further. Resistance levels, on the other hand, are price levels at which selling pressure tends to outweigh buying interest, preventing prices from rising further. Identifying these levels is crucial as they help traders determine entry and exit points for their trades. Chart Patterns: Chart patterns are recognizable shapes formed by price movements on a chart. These patterns provide insights into potential future price movements. Common chart patterns include head and shoulders, double tops, double bottoms, flags, pennants, and triangles. By understanding these patterns, traders can anticipate price breakouts, reversals, and continuation trends. Indicators: Indicators are mathematical calculations applied to price and volume data to provide additional insights. There are two main types of indicators: trend-following indicators and oscillators. Trend-following indicators, such as moving averages, help identify the direction and strength of a trend. Oscillators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), help identify overbought and oversold conditions and potential trend reversals. Significance in Stock Trading: Technical analysis plays a crucial role in stock trading for several reasons. Firstly, it helps traders identify entry and exit points for trades, optimizing profit potential and minimizing risk. By studying chart patterns and indicators, traders can spot potential breakouts or reversals and make timely trading decisions. Secondly, technical analysis helps traders gauge market sentiment. Price charts reflect the collective actions of market participants, providing insights into supply and demand dynamics. Lastly, technical analysis can be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis, such as fundamental analysis, to enhance decision-making and validate investment strategies. Conclusion: Technical analysis is a powerful tool in stock trading, enabling traders to make informed decisions based on historical price and volume data. By studying price charts, support and resistance levels, chart patterns, and indicators, traders can identify potential opportunities and manage risk effectively. While technical analysis does not guarantee accurate predictions, it provides a systematic approach to Follow us over the next weeks as we explore topics that will guide you become a better trader and enable you choose the best stocks for your portfolio.
NASDAQ:CROXEducation
by thesharkke
2
Decoding Wedge PatternsThere is a strong bias about chart patterns and their interpretation in the technical analysis space. It is a very common belief that a rising wedge forms bearish sentiment and a falling wedge forms bullish sentiment. Is that really true and how much we can rely on such bias? In order to understand this, we need to dig a little bit about how such concepts could have come into the picture. The best I could get on the internet is an article from Investopedia that explains few technical reasons and constraints of using these patterns. Through the Lens of Diagonal Waves But, when I was studying the concepts of waves, this is what I found from one of the sources I referred to about diagonal waves: ewtaf.com Details are summarised and explained in the below diagram The summary here is, Diagonal waves of contracting types are the same as that of Contracting Wedge patterns. And the diagonal waves of Expanding types represent expanding wedge chart patterns. Diagonal Waves can appear as sub-waves in multiple parts of the entire Elliott Wave. And here are our scenarios Leading Diagonals Leading diagonals are diagonal waves that can appear towards the start of a trend. This can be Wave 1 of an Impulse Wave - This is the start of a new trend. Avoid trading these wedges as they can be short pullbacks. Or better look for pullback and trading opportunities in the direction of the wedge. Wave A of a Zigzag Wave - This can lead to a possible bull trap or bear trap. The corrective wave is likely to continue after a small pullback Ending Diagonals Both expanding and contracting types can be ending diagonals. Can appear as Wave 5 of an Impulse Wave - Meaning the trend is coming towards possible exhaustion. Wave C of zigzag or flat - Correction or pullback is coming to an end and the trend is likely to continue Wolfe Wave Wolfe wave is a rule built on top of wedge patterns to identify time-bound targets. The idea of generating targets and stops based on the Wolfe Wave is as shown below:  Further, here are a few indicators developed in Pinescript that can help do them automatically. Wolfe Scanner Wolfe Strategy Takeaways Here are a few things we learnt from our study. When you are looking for wedge patterns on the chart, look for wedge formations created by 5 pivots. You can learn more about this from this post Fitting Patterns To Your Bias? Before trading a wedge pattern, try to identify if the pattern fits in a bigger scheme of things. Check if they are towards the end/start of a trend or pullback Concepts such as Wolfe Wave can help setup rules for trading wedge patterns for pullbacks.
Education
by Trendoscope
9
How to know where you areThe markets are fractal. Fractal : each part of which has the same statistical characteristics as the whole. This means that there are patterns within patterns on all degrees which can look identical from the macro to the micro. Just like the veins on your hands, to the rivers on earth. Although in terms of trading with take profits and stop losses, you need to know exactly which degree/fractal you are trading on because it can get confusing if you don't know where you are. The best way to learn how to approach this situation is to start from the macro and work your way down to the micro. My favorite way is, Daily 4hr 1hr 15min ( I personally stop here ) 5min 1min This is the easiest way to start and then once you find your time frame for setups, you will get flexible with these principles and use them in alignment with your time horizon for trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by optimizedtrading
2
Introducing the Dual Dynamic Fibonacci Retracement IndicatorHey there, Stock Justice here. Today, I walked you through using the Dual Dynamic Fibonacci Retracement Levels Indicator on TradingView. This powerful tool calculates pivot points and determines Fibonacci retracement levels based on your position in the market. I explored every input, from lookback periods to toggling extra levels, to shifting and extending lines. We also delved into the use of two sets of Fibonacci levels to identify areas of confluence for more robust trading decisions. With vivid colors marking each retracement level and the flexibility to modify the lookback period, this indicator is a game-changer for pinpointing support, resistance, potential reversals, and continuations. Remember, the magic is in the details. Happy trading!
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by FadingExtremes
1
Mastering Elliott Wave Theory with Renko ChartsElliott Wave Theory is a popular technical analysis tool used by traders to predict market patterns and trends. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s, this method is based on the idea that financial markets move in repetitive cycles or waves. In this comprehensive guide, we will discuss the fundamentals of Elliott Wave Theory and explore how Renko charts can be used as a supplemental tool to enhance your analysis. By combining these two techniques, you can gain a deeper understanding of market movements and improve your trading strategies. I. Understanding Elliott Wave Theory Basic Principles of Elliott Wave Theory Elliott Wave Theory is built on the premise that markets exhibit specific patterns, known as waves, that reflect investor psychology. These patterns can be broken down into two types: 1. Impulsive waves: These waves move in the direction of the larger trend and consist of five smaller sub-waves. These waves are marked in green below and are numbered 1,2,3,4, and 5. 2. Corrective waves: These waves move against the primary trend and consist of three smaller sub-waves. These waves are marked in red below and are numbered A, B, and C. The 5-3 Wave Pattern The complete Elliott Wave cycle consists of eight waves, with the first five forming an impulsive pattern and the last three forming a corrective pattern. This 5-3 wave pattern repeats itself, creating fractal patterns in the market. Below we have taken the main Elliot wave listed above and broken it down into the first subset. The impulse waves are labeled i, ii, iii, iv, and v and the corrective waves a, b, and c. Applying Elliott Wave Theory to Trading To utilize Elliott Wave Theory in your trading, start by identifying the primary trend and its wave count. Analyze the price action to determine if the market is in an impulsive or corrective phase. By understanding the current wave pattern, you can predict probable future movements and make informed trading decisions. II. Renko Charts: A Supplemental Tool for Elliott Wave Analysis What are Renko Charts? Renko charts are a unique type of price chart that only consider price movement and disregard time. Each block, or "brick," on a Renko chart represents a fixed price increment. When the price moves by the predetermined amount, a new brick is added to the chart at a 45 degree angle from the previous. This results in a clean, easily readable chart that highlights significant price trends. Benefits of using Renko charts By eliminating the noise of insignificant price fluctuations, Renko charts can help traders: -Identify trends more easily -Spot support and resistance levels -Recognize chart patterns and potential reversal points -Filter out false breakouts and whipsaws How to incorporate Renko charts into Elliott Wave analysis Renko charts can be a valuable addition to your Elliott Wave analysis by helping you confirm wave counts and identify high-probability trading setups. Here's how you can incorporate Renko charts into your analysis: 1. Confirming wave counts: Use Renko charts to validate your wave count by comparing the impulsive and corrective waves on both the traditional and Renko charts. If the wave count is consistent across both chart types, it increases the likelihood of a correct analysis. 2. Identifying high-probability trading setups: Renko charts can help you spot high-probability setups by highlighting significant price trends and potential reversal points. Combining this information with your Elliott Wave analysis can increase the accuracy of your trades. Indicators such as oscillators and moving averages can be useful to help identify these set-ups. Renko charts should not be used solely to make decisions as they are a synthetic chart but are a highly useful tool for identifying the underlying trends. 3. Managing risk: Utilize Renko charts to set stop-loss and take-profit levels based on support and resistance levels. This can help you manage risk effectively and protect your trading capital. Conclusion Elliott Wave Theory and Renko charts, when used together, can provide a powerful framework for analyzing market patterns and making informed trading decisions. By understanding the basic principles of Elliott Wave Theory and incorporating Renko charts as a supplemental tool, you can enhance your technical analysis skills and increase your trading success. As with any trading strategy, remember to practice and refine your techniques before applying them to live markets.
Education
by LeafAlgo
2
[Viking Pattern] Whales' Favorite Trap#Viking #Whipsaw #bulltrap #beartrap Recent financial market seems to be distinctively perplexing and bizarre, often leaving us traders in a state of confusion. Ultimately, our job as traders is to structure market fluctuations, which occur with certain probabilities, into trends and Price Actions based on time and price. The so-called scam moves and abnormal trends that have been frequently observed recently also tend to have patterns and can be somewhat formalized. Today, I would like to introduce a pattern that I have deducted and modeled based on insights of recent data. Those of you who have been trading a lot recently will probably be quite familiar. Interpreted from the perspective of Wyckoff Theory and the Master Pattern, this model ultimately intends to derive Price Action by distinguishing Accumulation and Distribution Phases in terms of horizontal Volume Profile. To systematize this pattern, various technical elements such as LVP (Low Volume Peak), HVP (High Volume Peak), Fibonacci Extension & Projection, Time Fibonacci Extension, trend lines, and parallel channels were utilized. Let me briefly explain features of the periodic phases that compose this model. 1. First and foremost, a significant volume structure forms in the horizontal level as various patterns including triangles (Ascending, Descending, Symmetric triangles, and Wedge, etc.), parallel channels, and diamonds, etc. It would consist of upper and lower bounds derived as either horizontal line (LVP) or sloped line (Trend line). Make sure to clearly mark these lines to later spot the meaningful breakout. 2. A strong breakout through upper or lower LVP (horizontal line) will take place, leaving the volume structure as consolidation zone or sideway channel above or below. Now the market has entered a distribution phase where the direction of a market trend clearly shows. We can target this level with Fibonacci Projection and Extension tools, but I find it quite risky entering against the trend, which would be a counter-trend strategy. In this study, the extension and projection levels utilized are 1, 1.13, 1.272, 1.414, and 1.618. 3. The impulsive momentum, whether bullish or bearish, eventually loses strength at some point forming a significant high or low. After, a new volume structure is generated again at a different level above or below the first structure. If this new structure shapes as relatively rounded or forms potential trend-reversal pattern, such as Cup with Handle, Adam and Eve, or Head and Shoulders, the probability of Viking pattern increases. Typically, the range of the second volume structure tends to be shorter than the first structure both vertically(pricewise) and horizontally(timewise). 4. Another breakout of the second consolidation, with the direction towards the first volume structure appears. According to the textbook, the confluence area where the LVP (which has been SR Flipped) and the trendline of the first volume structure overlap, is most likely to show retest support or rejection. However, if the price breaks through this very spot, which is defined as a POR (Point of Recognition) in this theory, a further impulsive trend is highly likely to follow. The essential part of this model is to spot potential PORs and apply trading setups using this very price momentum. 5. Fibonacci time zone extension tool were applied based on the periodic range of the first volume structure. Most of the time, the horizontal range of the first structure is longer than the length starting from the first breakout to the POR (Second breakout). In other words, if the second volume structure extends the previous one, the probability of occurrence decreases. The periodic extension levels used for targeting POR in this model are 1.13, 1.272, 1.414, 1.618, and 1.818. Here are some examples from various commodities and timeframes. - Bitcoin - Tesla - Microsoft - DXY (US Dollar Index) - ECOPRO 4hr Further studies and reviews of this model are to be updated later. Your subscription, comments and likes are huge motivation for me. Thank you.
Education
by Tommy_Trader
2
Unlock the Secrets of Doji, Hammer and Dragonfly DojiHello, Candlesticks have been there longer than most of us can imagine. They are a unique way of looking at things because they normally have four price points. Candlestick patterns are formed by the combination of one or more candlesticks, which are graphical representations of the price action of a financial asset during a particular time period. Doji, hammer, and dragonfly doji are three common candlestick patterns that traders use to identify potential trend reversals or continuation. A doji is a candlestick pattern that forms when the opening and closing prices of an asset are nearly identical. This results in a candlestick with a very small body and long wicks on both ends. A doji indicates indecision in the market and suggests that buyers and sellers are evenly matched, which can lead to a potential reversal in trend. A hammer is a bullish reversal pattern that forms at the bottom of a downtrend. It consists of a small body with a long lower wick and little to no upper wick. A hammer indicates that sellers have pushed the price down but buyers have stepped in and pushed the price back up, suggesting a potential reversal in trend. A dragonfly doji is a candlestick pattern that forms when the opening and closing prices are at or near the high of the day, with a long lower wick and no upper wick. It resembles a hanging man pattern but is considered bullish rather than bearish. A dragonfly doji indicates that sellers have pushed the price down but buyers have stepped in and pushed it back up, suggesting a potential reversal in trend. When looking at the doji, hammer, and dragonfly doji candlesticks, traders often analyze the price action surrounding these patterns. For example, if a doji forms after a strong uptrend, it may indicate that the buyers are losing momentum and a reversal could be imminent. Conversely, a hammer or dragonfly doji forming at the bottom of a downtrend may suggest that buyers are stepping in and a trend reversal could be on the horizon. Traders use these patterns in combination with other technical indicators to gain insight into the market and make informed trading decisions. These key candles will be very key in determining the direction of our next move on any asset class analysis.
NSEKE:SCOMEducation
by thesharkke
1