The US10Y will drop to 0 % soon. Otherwise the world economy will crash due to the amount of debt. The central banks will continue to print untill the system breaks down.
This chart shows the relationship between the 03 M Y on American treasury bonds and S&P 500. It shows a clear relationship during the last two crises and also shows that the downturn has just started.
Dollar interest rate cut by 50 basis points. 2020.március.18. www.cmegroup.com My analysis charts the market expectations of a dollar cut in interest rates. The reason I like to use the US02Y chart is because it gives you a much clearer idea of what the market is doing. With a fractal analysis, the future movement of the interest rate path becomes foreseeable in...
I will try to keep this one relatively short, a very important update to the German 10-year benchmark yield. This is one to track as it is coming after a fresh attempt of a breakdown in EURUSD for the NY open. Here we can see important macro forces in play with extreme risk on the radar via Coronavirus with large sharks being forced to reposition and rebalance...
There's no surprises today. However, keep in mind this is the first rate cut in a decade, a modest and widely expected move that is meant to keep the economy healthy in the face of head winds from trade war between U.S and China and the slower global growth. Now, the problem is the word "healthy", because at the end of the day we're looking for more inflation and...
With the pop above 52.20 on 4h charts this morning Oil has fulfilled criteria for a simple flat a-b-c correction from recent 49+ lows and ready to head lower again shortly
This aligns with other signs for risk off imminently
JPY crosses have rebounded into decent Fib retracement zones
SPX looks to be out of steam and more interestingly China A50 has met Fib...
So finally it looks like we will go to zero and very soon. huge spike lower, now we need to go and test it, I can imagine some kind of emergency cuts and QE starting just around the corner
Interest cut? Let's look at this chart. It can be seen that the current dollar interest rate and the two-year forward interest rates the market is slowly losing their relationship. The market is already forecasting two 25 basis points of interest rate cuts.
Triple bottom has been breached and this is an indicator of economy enter into the downhill.
Governments across the globe are already ready or has started pumping money into their economy to support the impact of the virus.
Strong resistance line of the triple bottom formed by US 10Yr Yield has been breached, mainly fueled by economy greatest enemy - fear....
Play may go as far a 1.115%. A counterattack from FED needed to save Equities... BTFD always wins? Not this time...When major forces on both sides come together, it comes down to a sort of exchange case 1, which we shall call:
" Selling life as expensive as possible "
Buyers play ... Sellers happy to exchange at the resistance line, but since FED is...
