Here we are tracking the completion? of an ABC sequence. This should attract buying interest in usual circumstances however alarm bells are ringing after the ECB could only go one month with the tap turned off.
Tracking these lows very carefully over the coming days with risk from Brexit, Meuller and Turkey around the corner.
All the best.
Yield curve finally inverting. Have been waiting for this moment for awhile now. With the price of long term bonds skyrocketing with the fear of econ slowdown in euro this morning, the outlook is looking even bleaker. Ive been saying this for a long time now and it seems to be confirming faster and faster. The recession is at the gates, and investors (who have so...
US10Y BUCKLE UP 3M-10Y Yield Curve Inverted already, 1st time since 2007, this is one of the most reliable signs of a recession coming soon. It looks like the global slowdown worries have been confirmed and the market is beginning to price in Fed easing, potential recession down the road, so it’s clearly a sign that the market is worried about growth and moving...
I've presented a cross comparison between the S&P 500, the 10-2 Treasury Yield Spread, and the FED Funds Rate. The yield curve has been effective at predicting recessions in the past. I think the next will be no different.
There is a lot of fear at the present moment that we may be on the verge of a market crash. We have seen a large correction that is likely...
The Dow Jones Top 30 is preparing for take off.
Daily pinbar closure
H4 3 inside up pattern, hidden bullish divergence with RSI(14), finding support along the 200EMA
H1 Bearish exhaustion and buying pressure through wicks
M15 Wyckoff accumulation cycle, currently looking at the BU/LPS phase with a sign of strength. Spring and Test confirmed after NFP soft data....
This trading strategy is based on using the TAD System.
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Looking to LONG by placing a BUY STOP pending order, in case the price breaks above 25790 level or higher.
Whereas also placing a STOP LOSS level in case price goes down to 25464 level or lower.
And this we conclude with the entry of a BUY...
Charting the LOG of the US 2y yield (blue line) compared to that of the US 10y yield (red line) here shows the heavy move up in the 2y compared to the 10y. This, in my opinion, is very important because a 2y yield at or above 3% will likely drive short-medium term market reaction.
Some of my thoughts on the 2y, 5y, and 10y points of the curve for context:
I have been following this chart for months now. I still believe US 5y/10y steepener is going to be one of the big trades in 2019, and as I see some further improvement on the weekly chart, I'd like to give some update:
- Ichimoku setup is still neutral (Price is in cloud) but it's developing further bullish bias ahead as we have an early bullish cross in Senkou...
The inside week breakout for SPX500 was AWESOME!!
Here we got a inside 4hr for us30.
If it breaks to the upside, it will be a simple trend-following inside bar breakout;
while if it breaks to the downside, I'll be also interesting in the demand zone long!
Let's see how it goes!