Good Morning Update
Unless this reverses it looks like it is getting stronger.
Thought #interestrates were supposedly going down?
10Yr #yield looks very good & the 30 Yr has been pumping for a bit.
2Yr stopped falling, is it bottoming here?
US #Dollar pumping as well - TVC:DXY
We've been warning.......
Recent history has shown the 10 vs 2 year yields unwinding as favorable for gold, silver and miners.
Will definitely be a rocky road, with full of turbulence.
#gold #silver #miners #inflation
The US Treasuries ended the previous year with investors expectations on the forthcoming rate cuts, which was reflected in the Treasury yields which took the downtrend. This year, the 10Y US Treasury benchmark started by testing the $4.0% short resistance level, which ended in a short reversal further to the downside. During the previous week yields were moving...
Currently US30Y is in the selling zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the buying phase.
Currently US10Y is in the selling zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the buying phase.
CurrentlyGB10Y is in the selling zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the buying phase.
Currently JP10Y is in the selling zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the buying phase.
The US10Y is being rejected on the 1D MA200 after a HL rebound at the bottom of the 1 year Channel Up. The 1D technical outlook turned bearish again (RSI = 42.660, MACD = -0.055, ADX = 36.524), same with the 1W timeframe (RSI = 43.184), so this is still an early buy opportunity for the long term. The 1D RSI patterns among the three bottoms so far are similar and...
The 10YR Yield is retracing up with a strong bullish div on the RSI and momentum wave.
The SPX is on the opposite side.
- strong bearish div on the RSI and momentum wave.
- blue pivot point indications
- price is trading outside the BB and is closing back inside.
The SPX is ready for a big retrace.
Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 126/61.80%
Chart time frame : C
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress : B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) Hit the bottom
D) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance....
Currently FRANCE GOVERNMENT BONDS 10YR FR10Y is in the selling zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the buying phase.
Currently DE10Y is in the selling zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the buying phase.
before you read any further, read my post from april:
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it has been awhile since i've given a public update on the us10y and my general theory about where i believe these rates are headed.
back in april of 2023, i gave an upside target of 5.9% for the us10y.
as of today, i'm raising the range for that upside target into the window between 6-9%, going...
Long the 10y for rising rates, this means bank stonks. This isn't a perma long as I expect Q3/4 to slow down on the YoY comps. Ultimately I see a lower high from the past high we saw. Lots of inflation bulls here and I am one of them, but this inflation is printer induced. Forget to restock the printer and inflation disappears real fast. The pair trade here into...
The first half of the year 2023 was marked with continuation of Fed`s aggressive rate hike due to quantitative tightening in order to fight elevated inflation. During October last year the 10Y US Treasuries reached the highest yearly level of 5%. Considering that following months brought some relaxation in Fed`s rhetoric, the yields returned to the lower grounds....
On this Weekly chart I add the lines of key support and resistance levels for the US 10 Year Treasury. It's at a pivotal point right now hovering around 4%. What i'm watching for is to see if it's going to reclaim 4% for 2 consecutive weeks at a minimum and move higher to re-test that 4.25 to 4.28 range or if it will stay below 4% for 2-3 consecutive weeks and...
Unveiling the High-Stakes Dance of US Inflation and the 10-Year Yield: Critical Levels and Market Anticipation"
A slew of US inflation data is scheduled for release on Friday, prompting our attention towards the US 10-year yield. Initially holding ground at 3.79, it has recently broken its short-term downtrend and is undergoing an upward correction. The market has...
