US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield
The yield curve has inverted to the most extreme degree ever, which is a warning that a recession is coming. In this video, I analyze the charts for the AMEX:SPY S&P 500, NASDAQ:NVDA Nvidia, NASDAQ:AAPL Apple, and the yield curve on U.S. Treasurys to see what they're telling us about future price action. In the video, I mention that the bull rally following...
During market crashes yields plummet along with equities in flight for safety and also they tend to lead in the decline. But here as we see 10-year yield divergence is suggesting equities can retest ATH once more before the crash. This also aligns with previous market behavior where equities rally on rate pause leading to recession - a "Sucker Rally" essentially.
Still kicking since beginning of 2022. Higher for longer
US 10-year bond yields have been trending lower since Oct 2022 after touching high around 4.250%. The rise in the 10-year yield from the past two weeks saw yields stop just short of the blue 61.8% Fibo level of 3.885%. Yields are currently testing the 200-day MA rate of 3.649% and a break below will allow bonds to rally further towards the 50-day MA rate of 5.525%...
10 Year German bond yield topped. Lower yields ahead. Buy bonds.
During the previous week the US Treasury yields were under influence of both debt-ceiling ongoing negotiations without an actual deal, and posted PCE data. As officially released data on PCE shows higher than expected monthly output of 0.4%, it heated expectations of market participants that the Fed will most probably continue with further rate increases of 25 bps...
The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) is approaching the top of the (blue) Channel Down pattern, which was our bullish target on our last trade ten days ago (see chart below): Despite not having hit it yet, we decide to close this long trade as we see more value in starting a sell-near-highs approach now. There is also a diverging Channel Down (dotted...
Looks like the bart is a real possibility here. This pattern is famous by now, you all know what it is.
the detail is shown in the above Idea. I made this Idea based on Candlestick Analysis and Harmonic patterns. US10Y BAT has captured the area between the monthly Fibonacci level
TVC:US02Y Failed Bear Flag on the weekly chart, the best moves come from failed moves. Expect this move to break through the horizontal line,.
Very simple chart showing parallel channel of the UK bond market trending down since the 1980s with the yellow line at 4.2% seeming to be a key line of historic resistance. Back in October 2022 the UK bond market had a severe problem which ultimately led to the resignation of the Prime Minister Liz Truss. The issue was causing pension funds to experience extreme...
Hello Traders! The FED's monetary policy is not convincing the markets, but Powell seems very determined to meet his inflation targets. In near term, market seems to want to counter this hawkish monetary policy, but that could change going forward. In short term, yields remain at high levels and I don't exclude that this rally could continue for the last bullish...
Good opportunity to buy emerging market bond, there is a miss price due to turkey election
This chart depicts bearish concerns by the bond traders. They have been considered the smartest traders on the street for many decades. This chart pattern is undergoing a major test This chart eventually controls the direction of the stock market.
The 3 Month Bill is currently breaking down and backtesting a Rising Wedge after Bearishly Diverging at some extreme highs while the DXY has also broken below a long term trend line and is backtesting the S/R Zone and Moving Averages as Resistance. I have expectations that both of them will crash majorly in the coming weeks to months.
bond prices just recently broke their downtrend they are in since dept limit irritations came up. That means money is just flowing back into bonds again and this could be bottom.