After complying with the 161 topping tendency, VTI has now made a break of the 161 of the topping swing and held a retest. These are things often seen in macro reversals.
It honestly just makes sense. This should end around 35%. The market will be at its fair value once again.
This post is personal. We all have strategies on trading and the most important things for any trader in my opinion is to finally discover his/her strategy which suites there emotional temperament (pessimist / optimist). intellectual capacity ( children with a few simple rules trade better then many seasoned smart adult analysts/ proven back-testing results) , and...
This Friday 8/19 is August monthly options expiry. Technically, the risk:reward and probability are to lean short now at this entry point. I'm thinking the market goes sideways at best this week. Here's a Mega Triangular Trend Channel MTTC2.0 (beta) set to 200SMA with 19 levels. And my tickerTracker MFI Oscillator set to 20 with SPY, VTI, QQQ, IWM & DIA. Do your...
The Vanguard Total Market ETF on a monthly timescale already highlights an ongoing correction downfall in the ETF marked-to-market net asset value. In the coming months, the Vanguard Total Market ETF could well fall another -26.15% down to 144 points, where the ETF price trendline would test the IKH Senkou A/B support, which would match up the support line of...
Medium to long-term entry is reasonable here, but the 200 week MA is not a precise timing mechanism. If we are in a secular bear market, moving averages could reverse and no longer be reliable, as seen in 2007 - 09. Hopefully we are closer to the end than the beginning.
On an analysis earlier that I published, the DXY may be ready for a retracement to the previous wave low. Now reeling back in on the VTI Looks like we may be close to being done with the C phase on this timeframe. Wave C has so far retraced Wave B up to 161%. I don't want to get too greedy until we see economic indicators start to peak out. However, I would like...
Quantitative Tightening started last Wednesday, June 1st, 2022. FOMC will be undertaking a “phased approach” of quantitative tightening measures beginning with a 3-month period of unwinding $30 billion of Treasuries and $17.5 billion mortgage-backed securities beginning on June 1, 2022. By September, 2022 these caps would increase to $60 billion and $35 billion,...
A bullish swing trade? Bouncing of EMA10. Target is 1.2x
Please, for the love of goodness, do not trade based on this analysis. This is only the median trajectory angle of the entire US Equity Market the past 13 years. I put trendlines separated equally apart according to this angle. Also, the year dated text on top represents the total market capitalization at that year's end & the corresponding GDP numbers are below....
Where are we VTI? Here's a Mega Triangular Trend Channel MTTC2.0 (beta) set to 200SMA with 19 levels. And my tickerTracker MFI Oscillator set to 20 with SPY, VTI, QQQ, IWM & DIA. Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with...
US Equity Market 2022 Timeline based on the 1-day chart 730SMA TTC - trend channel to get a very accurate trajectory over time. Plus, tickerTracker - MFI Oscillator set to 45 with VTI, DIA, SPY, QQQ and IWM. LEAPS 1/21 FOMC 1/26 MONTHLY 2/18 FOMC 3/16 QUAD WITCHING 3/18 FOMC 4/27 FOMC 6/16 QUAD WITCHING 6/17 FOMC 7/27 QUAD WITCHING 9/16 FOMC 9/21 FOMC 10/1 FOMC...
Since 3/15/2020 total FOMC Quantitative Easing (+$8,970,000,000,000) + Congress Stimulus (+$4,500,000,000,000). Now, in 2022 FOMC Quantitative tightening started (-$95,000,000,000/month) & Congress stopped stimulus in mid 2021. This equals a macroeconomic liquidity event on the way up and on the way down. Here's a 15-year VTI chart with US market cap figures on...
Hi All, Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. This is something that is of great interest to me, the future of finance. So I decided to make an update on a few interlinked markets: Gold (XAUUSD), DXY (value of the Dollar), VTI Index...
VTI is an ETF that includes the entire US equity market with 4,128 holdings. It's a great way to check the general overall tone of the United States stock markets. Here we have a 1 week chart, 4 year view, with my MTTC2.0 (still in beta) 17 levels set to SMA4 +-1% deviation per level, with the slow moving average envelope set to SMA50 with a +-8% deviation support...
Here's a VTI 1 hour chart, 3 month view, with Pivots HL, MTTC2.0 (beta) & tickerTracker MFI Oscillator indicators. Pivots HL is set to 13, MTTC2.0 is set to 32 and tickerTracker is set to 26. The tickers input are VTI (white), SPY (orange), QQQ (blue), IWM (yellow), DIA (red), cryptocap TOTAL (green). Here's support & resistance levels on the 1hr chart: R3 =...
back to all-time highs, vix is back down, and I think Ukraine is small potatoes and will resolve itself in Q2.
US Equity market perspective 2018 - present. This is a VTI 1 day chart with my personal Mega Triangular Trend Channel set to SMA365 and a 4-level trend channel inlay set to EMA200. This perspective can be used by a long-term investor to plan capital deployment and/or risk management. I set my tickerTracker MFI oscillator to 100 with VTI, SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA etf's...