Small Account Challenge Day 14 Update - +$1,788, 675% SPX WinToday was great, had some awesome short setups earlier in the morning and I was able to capitalize. Thankful to have $3k profit after the first 14 days. I'll be taking MIL:1K out so I'll be trading with profits from now on.05:20by AdvancedPlays0
Fair Value Gaps With Fibonacci Has Changed My Trading ForeverGave yall this one last night for FREE When we get the 618 Fibonacci in a fair value gap the win rate can dramatically increase Got $3k on this trade in 15 mins I plan to share more PLEASE DROP A LIKE AND FOLLOW!by tradingwarzone1
#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 5.28 - 5.31Last Week : Last week Market opened over VAH and spent all week building Supply over it, as discussed in Sunday Prep since we were at ATH with no over hang we needed to wait for Supply to build up for any meaningful back fill of previous areas and that 5341 - 5290 might be our Range where price will want to stay around and keep returning into for some time while it builds that Supply. On Thursday we ended up pushing inside the Edge but failed to find acceptance in it and the push back out gave us the flush of the inventory filling the buyers into the Value, even with how strong the move looked with break/hold under Key Support on Friday Globex failed to hold under it and we found our way back inside 5341 - 5290 Range where we were able to push back into the Means for the Range where we closed the week in VAH. This Week : Few things this week, we have Month End, Settlement changes from T2 to T1 which we don't know just yet how that will impact the trading and we had Holiday yesterday which pushed us over VAH and we are again building up Supply over it. For now we are inside T2 Range which was Thursday I believe the change goes in effect Today or this week, we are right around Previous Days Range and 5341 - 36 already showed us this morning that it's acting properly as good Resistance. So far going into this week Thursdays flush showed us that don't have stronger buyers up here just yet who want to keep paying over Value and keep pushing us into new range above and that even with strong flush we didn't have enough Supply to accept under 5295 - 90 to continue filling more buyers into VAL. This tells me again that market may want to stay in this 5341 - 5290 Intraday Range and balance around it, we have to be ready to spend quite a bit of time in these areas and trade around them until market will show us clear acceptance and intensions of moving Ranges and that can take some time because we are in a Key Spot on higher time frames we are at tops of Daily/Weekly Balances without finding acceptance above and without having the Supply just yet to move under the Middle of those balances which is around the 5290-80s area. Plan is to continue trading 5341 - 5290 Range level to level just like last week with moves out of its 5324.75 - 20.75 // 5310.50 - 06.50 Means and then returns back towards/inside them. Failures to accept over 5341 - 36 will likely find their way back to/under 24.75 - 20.75, pushes under 5310.50 - 06.50 could also be absorbed under and find their way back to/over 10.50 - 06.50 and inside the Means we could balance. We are in lower volume times so also have to give time for the moves to properly set up and be ready to correct back. Levels to watch : Current Range 5341 - 5290.25 5341 - 36 Key Resistance 5324.75 - 20.75 // 5310.50 - 06.50 Means for the Range 5295.50 - 90.25 Key Support If Accept over 5341 - 36 next Range 5386.50 - 5336 5356 - 52 // 5370.50 - 66.50 Means and Edge Top 5386.50 - 81.50 Key Resistance If Accept under 5295.50 - 90.25 lower Range 5295.50 - 5244.75 5279.25 - 75.25 // 5264.75 - 60.75 Means and VAL 5249.75 - 44.75 Key Supportby HollowMnUpdated 1
Trends Mixed; Overall Neutral Short Term on MarketsSo, as stated in the video, the shorter term timeframes of 30m/1hr/2hr have opened up to lower movements, while the 3hr/4hr/6hr have been violated and would call for a movement back up, but haven't shown that potential movement yet. We are still in a short term Bullish Zone in accordance with my moving momentum algorithm, but we are very close to hitting below that Zero Line into Bearish territory, especially if we continue to stay low like this. What I may look for is a movement into the Bearish zone, a move upward, and if that movement upward doesn't bounce us back into a bullish zone I may short the market, but we shall see. Overall long term, I'm curious if the Daily can push below and settle under 5160ish for a Lower Low. It would be the first time in quite some time that we had a lower low on the Daily trend, putting us at risk of getting a lower high Daily rebound that will call for markets to be on a decline. Overall, The Mag 7, especially NVidia, still continue to mostly carry the market with the bulk of the Dow in neutral territory at best, and the Nasdaq outside of the Mag 7 also neutral. I continue to be concerned about this rally being too narrow and traders continuing to use Mag 7 stocks as safety stashes, and what will happen if they choose to take that safety money out to stash it somewhere else. Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5319 Downtrend (5/28/2024) Lower Low 1Hr - 5313 Downtrend (5/28/2024) Lower Low 2Hr - 5309 Downtrend (5/28/2024) Lower Low 3Hr - 5286 Downtrend (5/23/2024) Higher Low 4Hr - 5286 Downtrend (5/23/2024) Higher Low 6Hr - 5287 Downtrend (5/23/2024) Higher Low 12Hr - 5188 Uptrend (5/6/2024) Higher High Daily - 5330 Uptrend (5/15/2023) Higher High Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High Monthly - 5304 Uptrend (03/31/2024) Higher High Economic Calendar; GDP Thursday PCE Friday Earnings to watch; Salesforce AMC today Costco earnings are tomorrow My sentiment on the market is as follows; Shorter Term - Bearish Short Term - Bearish / Neutral Medium Term - Neutral / Bullish Long Term - Bullish Basically, I don't see major risks in the long-term just yet, but the short term is a bag of mixed reactions. Currently in a place I feel we may need to look elsewhere. If you were looking for me to give you a warm and fuzzy on where to trade the ES Futures, I just can't give that today. Safe trading and remember your risk management.09:24by SemperTraderUpdated 1
S&P 500: Already reached the summit?According to our expectations, the overarching wave (1) in magenta should extend to a new record high. Only after this impulse do we anticipate an extended wave (2) correction. However, please note our alternative scenario (38% likely). This option will be triggered if the key 4964 level is breached and implies that the price is already in the correction.by MarketIntel0
Paths for ES Ahead of PCEI am bearish right now, but I went mostly cash before close yesterday. I'll trade the reaction in whatever direction that presents itself, but if ES can't hold 5240 and VX keeps moving higher I think ES.is headed to 5200 minimum.Shortby AdvancedPlays0
AMP Futures - Market ReplayIn this video we will demonstrate how to use Market Replay.Editors' picksEducation03:17by AMP_Futures22231
Dumpster FireWith the S&Ps inability to hold above the overnight low today, inflation data on tap for tomorrow, and an almost insane amont of crowding in every good trade available I think it is time to pay for our hubris. NVDA trade is showing cracks, MSFTs buyback program seemingly on hold and a vix close above the 50 day tells me we are in for some short term pain. Extended personal outlook: *this is not finical advice, I'm not a financial advisor! The fact that FED members are even mentioning rate hikes, even if to just dissuade us that the next move will not be one, should be alarming. Maybe they will give us a transitory rate hike. Probably not this year, but by year end, I expect the market to catch on to the fact that rates are going higher.by poedric220
AMP Futures - Keyboard ShortcutsIn this video we will demonstrate how to use Keyboard shortcuts with TradingView.Education04:04by AMP_Futures2
50-50The expectation for the S&P 500 on Friday is 50-50 in terms of moving up or down. It will primarily depend on how the market absorbs the PCE number.02:21by DanGramza1
GDP drop as expect + Bear Flag If you check 1D time frame you can see Gap down that show strong selling pressure On 1H show bear flag show impulse down wave hope this trade set up is good this time Shortby tofinse1
Summer SebaticalI'm excited to share that I'll be taking a summer sabbatical to recharge. As a result, the newsletter will be on a brief hiatus. But don't worry, I'll be back in September, refreshed and ready to dive back into the markets with you. Wishing you a profitable summer!by spytradingpro221
Small Account Challenge Day 12 Update - +400% on IWM PutsHad the best day of the challenge so far and I'm hoping the momentum can continue into tomorrow.Short11:52by AdvancedPlays0
AMP Futures - How to apply an OCO Bracket order (Post Entry)In this video we will demonstrate how to apply an OCO Bracket order to an open position with no (Take profit) & (Stop Loss).Education10:29by AMP_Futures112
AMP Futures - Customizing your ChartIn this video we will demonstrate how to select time frames on a chart, how to access different chart types, indicators, and drawing tools.Editors' picksEducation15:17by AMP_Futures3338
Be cautious on the downsideBe cautious on the downside in the S&P 500 for Thursday's market movement. It would not be surprising to see the S&P 500 moved to lower prices but the expectation is a bounce on the downside which means the market would trade up above its low.01:24by DanGramza3
ES UpdateI've been preparing for a relocation, so haven't been trading. Looks to me like RSI is gonna hit oversold probably tomorrow, then a Friday bounce.by hungry_hippo5
S&P 500 (US500):🔴Bearish or bullish...?!🔴By examining the weekly and 4-hour charts, we can determine the price was heavily pushed down after creating the all-time high. I am not bearish for the long-term on the S&P500, but for now, I think the price can have a bearish reaction to the bearish breaker block and move down at least till the previous week's low, then we should study the price to find out the next move. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️27/05/2024 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌Shortby VahidTradingCRUpdated 112
Prep and Lean ES/SPXES Trade Plan Inflection: 5329 Upper lvls: 5345 / 5363 / 5370-5377 Lower lvls: 5309 / 5290-5297 / 5272 NQ Trade Plan Inflection: 18933 Upper lvls: 18974-18982 / 19120 / 19148 Lower lvls: 18867 / 18787 / 18725 / 18621 Stay Frosty!07:21by Beyond_Charts0
Quiet day on TuesdayThe expectation for the S&P 500 for Wednesday's market action is a quiet day basically trading inside the range of Tuesday.01:14by DanGramza2
ES Low of Week Pullback For Bullish Weekly CandleNow that Monday has printed, the weekly template that it has revealed is a bullish expansion week and Monday is the low of the week. I just now entered in market order at 5324.00 with a 6 point stop down at 5318.00 and a target at 5364.00 for 40 points or 6.6:1 I don't believe price will be returning back below the Low of Week, if it holds. Please see my prior post on the Dow Jones for more details Longby travis18haneyUpdated 222
Trends still show upward movement; CPI Data this weekSo trends that called for upward movement confirmed this upward movement last week. I had mentioned in my last video that the candlestick pattern for May 1st was extremely bullish, the following two days confirmed that movement in my opinion and given that trends called for upward movement, we crossed above the zero line on MACD Momentum into a bullish zone, and we were pushing above that Daily lower high resistance level around 5160, I went long. I did cash that trade out around 5260 for a $5000 trade. Given the uncertainty of how CPI could come in, I am likely to stick out until I see that data this Wednesday. While I'm not certain what Core CPI will do, and that SHOULD be the main data point we pay attention to, I have concerns based on a 10% hike in gas prices over much of April that Headline CPI could come in above expectations and cause at least an initial panic sell off. We are nearing the potential for an overbought state on MFI/RSI on the daily, so watch for algo trading around those levels as well, at least on the initial touch. Obviously we rented living space in overbought territory at the beginning of this year, so it doesn't mean we have to reverse at all, especially in this FOMO market. I continue to see the current conditions as very bullish, in spite of significant concerns I have for the ES Economy overall. While there was a time when the US Markets reflected the state of the US Economy, I think we have a massive disconnect between the two that was caused by the COVID Pandemic. I think the new trend is when the economy looks rough, dump money into Mag 7 / NYFAANG / or basically whatever hyper select group of stocks equals the majority of the market cap out there, which will just push markets higher in spite of economic conditions. Walmart Earnings on Thursday will be something to watch, moreso as it might show insight into consumer health more than what is actually happening with Walmart. Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5251 Uptrend (5/13/2024) Higher High 1Hr - 5241 Downtrend (5/10/2024) Higher Low 2Hr - 5229 Uptrend (5/9/2024) Higher High 3Hr - 5157 Uptrend (5/3/2024) Higher High 4Hr - 5148 Uptrend (5/3/2024) Higher High 6Hr - 5148 Uptrend (5/3/2024) Higher High 12Hr - 5188 Uptrend (5/6/2024) Higher High Daily - 5166 Downtrend (4/12/2023) Higher Low Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High Monthly - 5304 Uptrend (03/31/2024) Higher High Economic Data; PPI & Powell Speaking on Tuesday CPI on Wednesday Jobs data on Thursday Earnings; Home Depot Tuesday Walmart on Thursday Geopolitical; Russia has had a major push into Ukraine, not sure it will matter but there is the potential for a major offensive to pick up pace there. Israel / Hamas conflict continues to be a concern but doesn't seem to have much influence on markets at the moment. Overall Sentiment; Shorter Term - Neutral Short Term - Neutral Medium Term - Mmmm... really undecided on this one Long Term - Bullish Overall, I could see a quick pull back overall this week, but even if this happens I think the market will heal whatever dip we have and we will end higher overall by the end of next week. Safe trading, and remember your risk management plan!Long08:16by SemperTraderUpdated 0
ES - One Step At A TimeWith 4 consecutive weeks of straight bullish price action, what would it take to slow down this bullet train? I mean, it could go up forever but markets move in waves of fractals and retracement is perfectly healthy in a macro bull market.02:43by LegendSinceUpdated 0