Bitcoin - 2026 roadmap, pump to 100k, then crash to 57k!Is it possible that Bitcoin will go above 100k or 103k in the next weeks/months? And is it possible that Bitcoin will later drop heavily to 57k? Altcoin season during the rise to 103k? I will answer these questions in this post. Write a comment with your altcoin, hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response.
On the chart we can see a long-term linear chart of Bitcoin (2017 - 2026). As we can see, Bitcoin crashed by 85% in 2018 and by 77% in 2022. The next crash is apparently scheduled for 2026 - Bitcoin can drop below 60k to make at least a 54% correction. This correction will not be that dramatic most likely, because institutional investors joined the crypto market with ETFs, but it's still a significant drop. Why below 60k (precisely 57,802)? This is a very significant point of interest for traders/investors for multiple reasons. The first reason is that there is a strong Fibonacci level of 0.618 of the previous bull market. This is the strongest fibo level on the market. The next reason is the 200 weekly moving average. Usually big banks and institutional investors use this specific 200-period to buy and accumulate their assets. They are usually not interested in buying at the peak - they wait for pullbacks.
Now we have to take a look at the Elliott Wave theory, which works on Bitcoin perfectly from my point of view. We already had a big drop from 125k to 81k at the end of 2025. It looks like we can mark this wave as wave (A) or (W). Currently wave (B) or (X) is in progress and this is a bullish corrective wave that can bring the price up to 100k or 103k In this case that would be a perfect 1:1 FIB extension for an ABC correction to 57k. So there is a possibility of going up in Q1/Q2 but in Q3/Q4 we may see a huge crash! Of course this is just a speculation, we have to take all scenarios into consideration. We need to see more data in the coming days and weeks to confirm this scenario. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Market insights
BITCOIN Institutional Levels: Buy 94.4k–92.6k → Target 98k–100k🔱 BITCOIN SMC OUTLOOK — EXECUTIVE SUMMARY M30 TF
✨ Bitcoin remains in bullish market structure with higher-timeframe continuation bias
🟢 Trend context: Accumulation → Expansion sequence still intact
🧱 Bullish Breaker Blocks:
• 94,400 (primary BB – first dip zone)
• 92,600 (secondary BB – deeper mitigation)
🟩 Bullish Order Block: 90,600 (last-defense demand)
🔺 MTF Bearish Order Block: 98,000 (HTF supply / reaction zone)
💧 Sell-Side Liquidity Pool: 98,000 → 100,000 (equal highs / psychological round number)
📈 Bias remains bullish while price holds above 90,600
🚀 Expect continuation toward overhead sell-side liquidity after mitigation
⏳ Short-term consolidations likely before expansion legs
⚠️ Invalidation: sustained acceptance below 90,600
🎯 Strategy:
Accumulate dips into Bullish Breaker Blocks, scale out into fresh sell-side liquidity above 98k
🏦 Expect profit-taking and reaction near 98k–100k before next directional decision
________________________________________
🗳️ BITCOIN M30 SCENARIOS — WHAT’S YOUR PLAY?
Which path do you see for BTC next?
🅰️ Hold 94.4k BB → continuation toward 98k–100k liquidity sweep
🅱️ Deeper mitigation into 92.6k BB, then expansion higher
🅲 Full draw into 90.6k OB, strong reaction → continuation leg
🅳 Your level: drop the BTC price you’re watching most next
All levels generated automatically with ProjectSyndicate Free Indicators.
Order Block Finder | Gold | ProjectSyndicate
Breaker Blocks Finder | Gold | ProjectSyndicate
Elise | BTCUSD – 30M | Post-BOS Reaction from HTF DemandBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After a sharp impulsive drop, BTC tapped into HTF demand and produced a short-term BOS, indicating a potential relief move. However, momentum remains corrective rather than impulsive. The current structure suggests a retracement-based bounce, not a confirmed trend reversal, unless price can reclaim and hold above the prior breakdown area.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → If BTC holds above the BOS low and shows acceptance with higher lows, price may push toward upper liquidity resting above recent highs.
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → Failure to hold the BOS level and acceptance back below the reaction zone opens continuation toward deeper HTF demand.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 91,200 – 91,800
Support 🟢: 90,150 – 89,400 (HTF Demand)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
A letter to myself. (Buy the dip)This is phase one of a global technological financial system. If our parents even parked a fraction of their cash here 10–20 years ago the long-term payoff would have been nice, but they didn't and it's okay because they didn't know. We now have the privilege of choosing to contribute to our financial future in ways that were previously out of reach for everyday people because we couldn't even fathom the future the internet is today.
This data from the adoption curve theory further supports that we're adopting this cryptocurrency.
With clearer signals from regulators and pro-crypto movements gaining traction in U.S. political leadership, confidence and liquidity have been rising. Under the current administration, regulatory clarity and initiatives like a strategic Bitcoin/Digital Asset stockpile have helped sentiment in crypto. We're currently at a 3.12T marketcap (2026JAN11)
Regardless of sentiment. Here's the play:
🔄 Elliott Wave Structure — Strength in #'s
We’re observing a 1–5 multi-year impulse wave, often followed by an A-B-C corrective phase:
Impulse (1–5) = trend direction (up)
ABC Correction = pullback phase after a trend leg before continuation
A = first leg down
B = bounce / retrace up
C = final leg down completing correction
Right now, we’re in an ABC retracement within a larger uptrend — meaning the market is consolidating against the bull trend. This correction doesn’t invalidate the uptrend until key Elliott rules are broken. We're also approaching the 200MA which is (rolling) key support resistance to keep an eye on. That’s why we plan to DCA (dollar-cost average) — buying strength and weakness — to build positions regardless of short-term noise. This sets us up for a disciplined exit strategy when the next upward leg resumes.
It's an election year, so this is a key fundamental day that will affect market prices.
Don't forget, this is early innings in a new global financial network. When
BTC
goes up we see the altcoin market react.
(The Money Flow Cycle)
Large Caps
Mid Caps
Small Caps
Micro Caps
Long-term participation with risk management beats short-term guessing.
The next big move up rewards the prepared, not the reactive. Park into mid caps / small caps at your own risk.
I personally are heavy VeChain (#VET) (#VECHAIN) simply because of the fact that it's an L1 that has been around YOY through bull/bear markets, has great partnerships, geared towards a sustainable future, and it's pennies on the dollar. With a higher risk will come a higher reward and im willing to wait for the delay of PA that seems to occur YOY since observing BTC since 2019.
Remember to DYOR don't investing anything you're not willing to lose and always remember.
"Time in the market, beats timing the market."
- Isaiah
Bitcoin: Higher Lows Lead To Higher Highs Watch Longs.After rejecting the 95K key resistance, Bitcoin is now testing the 90K area (old resistance / new support) and is poised to establish a higher low for the coming week. From here the key is to identify bullish reversal patterns in this area, and wait for them to confirm. Upon confirmation risk/reward can be assessed and a swing trade long can be justified. Now lets talk about profit objectives and anticipated price behavior.
The arrow on the chart emphasizes the higher low formation. Higher lows often lead to higher highs. Also notice price continues to consolidate ABOVE the 88K area which I have pointed out extensively as the Wave 1,4 overlap for the broader 5th Wave. It may sound complex, but what it points to is a higher probability that Bitcoin has one more large impulse wave in front of it. This implies that 126K or even higher prices like the 133K area are within range over the next quarter. This is NOT a certainty, but I use this as a road map to shape my own expectations.
Risk can be defined by the 88K level. If price breaks below it again, a retrace into the mid to low 80Ks becomes the expectation. And from there waiting to see if bullish reversal patterns appear. Price NEEDS to stay below 88K for an extensive period, like at least a week or more to strengthen the argument that the current structure is NOT an impulse and that a test of high (126K) is less likely.
For entries, you can use candle break outs. For example, waiting for a break of a daily high and strong close. The reasonable place for a stop would be the breakout candle low, etc. You can also look for breakout patterns on smaller time frames like 4H ect. How you mange this is really up to your personal preferences and style. The point is, this is a situation where it makes sense to specifically look for breakouts rather than pullbacks into support since the broader structure is coming off of a support level.
The main thing is not to lose sight of the fundamental and technical conflict at the moment. Price has retraced in the face of fundamental strength. There are countless events, actions and developments coming from the macro and institutional side along with an easing monetary policy environment. These factors increase the chances of a bullish outcome EVEN if price probes lower in the shorter time horizon. Keep in mind, markets are highly irrational and react to short term perceptions even while the longer term fundamentals and price structure have yet to change. The bigger picture carries more weight, and serves as an optimal guide for expectations.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Bitcoin Consolidates Above Key Support 90KBitcoin Consolidates Above Key Support 90K
Bitcoin is currently consolidating after a strong impulsive move higher, with price holding above the key support zone around 90,000.
This area previously acted as resistance and is now being retested as support, which is a constructive sign for the bullish continuation scenario.
A successful hold above this level could trigger the next impulsive leg toward the first resistance zone near 94,900, followed by the higher target around 98,700, which marks a major liquidity area.
Overall, Bitcoin remains in a bullish continuation phase, with consolidation above former resistance suggesting higher prices ahead.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Each Bitcoin ATH Is Different 7pm | Possible Head & ShouldersWhat a volatile time to trade the markets, but there is a very important thing we would like to discuss.
Volatility is usually a sign of transition, not continuation. This is where most traders get trapped.
On higher timeframes, Bitcoin has always topped in different ways structurally, but with the same underlying behavior. Blow-off tops, double tops, and now potentially a head and shoulders near all-time highs. These patterns are not predictions, they are warnings that momentum is changing.
(especially if we take into consideration the market cycles)
Market tops are processes, not events. Price becomes unstable, reactions get sharper, and follow-through weakens. This is where emotion replaces patience and mistakes multiply.
This does not mean price must crash. It means risk is rising. When risk rises, discipline matters more than conviction.
Volatility is not noise. It is information. Don't chase the similar ATH like we had before.
Swallow Academy
BITCOIN This is one of the best indicators for buying the bottomBitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to consolidate during these (almost) past 2 months as it is headed towards a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) test, where it was rejected on the last Bear Cycle and started its Stage 2. This Stage is what typically leads to the Cycle bottom, which is essentially the most optimal level for a long-term investor to enter/ buy.
One of the best indicators to call out a Cycle bottom is the Net Unrealized Profit Loss (NUPL). As you can see (black trend-line), when this has historically hit its green line, BTC was on excellent buy opportunity levels (green vertical zones) as the Bear Cycle bottom was priced immediately after.
The last Cycle bottom also happened to be exactly on the 1W MA350 (red trend-line), which the March 2020 COVID flash crash also approached. As a result, it would be no surprise to see BTC hit that level on the next Cycle bottom as well, which according to its current trajectory, this test could be around $50000. But as mentioned, the strongest buy indication would be the NUPL touching its green trend-line regardless of BTC's price at the moment.
So what do you think? Will the NUPL be a indicator that you will look out for? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD Consolidation Before the Next Big MoveHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTCUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin is trading within a broader bullish structure after reclaiming key levels and breaking above previous consolidation zones. Earlier on the chart, price respected a rising support line and formed a series of higher lows, signaling growing buyer strength. After a brief pullback, BTC entered a consolidation range, where the market paused before continuing higher. This range acted as an accumulation zone, and the subsequent breakout confirmed renewed bullish momentum. Currently, BTCUSD is trading above the Buyer Zone around the 90,000–91,000 area, which aligns with previous resistance turned support. Price recently broke out from this zone and is now consolidating just below the Seller Zone / Resistance Level near 93,700. This resistance also aligns with a descending resistance line, increasing its significance and making it a key reaction area. My scenario: as long as BTCUSD holds above the Buyer Zone and respects the rising support line, the bullish structure remains intact. A clean breakout and acceptance above the 93,700 Resistance Level would confirm continuation toward the next upside target (TP1). However, a strong rejection from resistance could lead to a corrective pullback back into the Buyer Zone before any further attempt higher. For now, price remains compressed between support and resistance, and a decisive move is likely soon. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
How the Week Ahead in US Data Can Move Stocks and Crypto🧾 CPI & Core CPI – Inflation Check
- CPI: Overall inflation – how fast everyday prices rise.
- Core CPI: Same thing but without food and energy, so it shows the “under the hood” trend that central banks watch closely.
If the numbers match expectations:
- Stocks and crypto usually don’t react much.
- The market keeps its current view about rate cuts, so price moves tend to be small.
If inflation is higher than expected (hot print):
- Stocks: Often drop because traders fear fewer or later rate cuts. Growth and tech can get hit hardest.
- Crypto: Can sell off too, since tighter policy means less liquidity and more pressure on risk assets like BTC and ETH.
If inflation is lower than expected (cool print):
- Stocks: Usually bounce as markets price in earlier or bigger cuts.
- Crypto: Tends to like this as well; easier policy and “risk‑on” sentiment are supportive.
🏭 Core PPI – Producer Costs
- Core PPI: Inflation for businesses (factories, suppliers), excluding food and energy.
- It’s important because it can lead future CPI – if producer costs rise, consumer prices may follow.
As expected:
- Usually a small reaction.
- It confirms the current inflation trend and Fed outlook.
Higher than expected:
- Stocks: Negative bias, markets worry that CPI will re‑accelerate and the Fed might stay hawkish.
- Crypto: Can feel pressure if traders think this will lead to hot CPI and fewer cuts.
Lower than expected:
- Stocks: Mildly positive – less pressure on future CPI and policy.
- Crypto: Generally supportive, especially if it fits a bigger “disinflation + cuts coming” story.
👷 Jobless Claims – Health of the Labor Market
- Initial jobless claims: New people filing for unemployment each week – a fast signal of how strong or weak the job market is.
In line with expectations:
- Stocks: Neutral to slightly positive; supports a “soft landing” view (economy slowing but not crashing).
- Crypto: Usually small impact; macro backdrop is seen as unchanged.
Higher than expected (more people losing jobs):
- Stocks:
- Slightly higher claims → may help risk assets if markets think it pushes the Fed toward earlier cuts.
- Much higher claims → raises recession fears, which can hurt equities.
- Crypto:
- Mild weakness can be good (more easing).
- Very bad data is risk‑off and can hit alts and high‑beta coins harder than BTC.
Lower than expected (very strong labor market):
- Stocks: Can be negative if inflation is still an issue, because a hot labor market gives the Fed no reason to cut soon.
- Crypto: Similar logic – strong jobs + sticky inflation = higher rates for longer, which is usually a headwind for BTC/ETH in the short term.
🔑 Simple Big Picture
Markets care most about surprises and how they change the path for interest rates:
- Cool inflation + okay jobs: Good for risk assets → usually bullish stocks and crypto.
- Sticky inflation + very strong jobs: Bad for rate‑cut hopes → often bearish for both, especially tech and speculative crypto.
Short term, each release can spike volatility; longer term, it’s the overall trend in inflation and jobs that shapes the main bull or bear cycle.
Bitcoin is about to hit 106k Bitcoin is about to hit 106k
After BTC managed to break through 90200, the bullish trend has been re-established.
Last night BTC hit its first target and today it is well positioned for the other targets.
Considering that the price is rising aggressively, I think it could easily hit 106k this time.
You may watch the analysis for further details
Thank you:)
BTC: Weekly DSS Bressert Reset in PlayPrice Structure
Bitcoin is in a weekly pullback after the run to the highs.
The down‑sloping blue trendline marks the corrective leg.
Price is now trying to base just under 92K, with upside space back to the 105K resistance zone.
Stochastic Signal: Momentum Is Turning
On the main stochastic, the current structure looks similar to the previous cycle low highlighted.
Both %K and %D turned up from oversold and started to curl higher, just like before the last strong impulse.
This suggests downside momentum is fading and a new expansion leg can start if price holds above recent lows.
DSS Bressert: Even a Fake Signal Can Still Pump
DSS Bressert is also curling up from deeply oversold levels on the weekly chart.
In prior cycles, this type of DSS reset preceded strong rallies, even when early crosses looked uncertain.
Even if this first DSS signal prints “fake” and gives a shallow push or brief chop, the larger structure still favors a drive toward the 105K resistance area.
The key idea: the oscillator has already done the hard work of resetting; once higher lows are locked in on price, BTC can squeeze higher even through false DSS hooks.
Fundamental Tailwind
On the fundamental side, BTC still sits in a macro environment where:
- Spot ETF flows and institutional allocations keep adding structural demand on pullbacks.
- The cycle after the last halving continues to align with higher supply scarcity and growing on‑chain holder concentration.
As long as liquidity does not collapse and macro data stays in a “soft landing” lane, dips near weekly structure support tend to attract long‑term buyers, not trigger distribution.
Trading Idea
Bias stays bullish while weekly candles hold above the recent low cluster under 90K.
The trade idea is to respect the weekly DSS / stochastic reset and target a move back into the 105K zone where the prior range high sits.
Short‑term DSS noise or fake crosses matter less than the bigger picture: a rested momentum profile under resistance in a still‑constructive fundamental backdrop.
Bitcoin - Creating another -30% correction!🤬Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still in a bearish market:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just a couple of months ago, Bitcoin created its expected bullmarket all time high. Since then, we already witnessed a correction of about -30%. But looking at higher timeframe structure, this correction is not over and we might see a final push of -30% lower soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$60,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BTCUSD Holds Buyer Zone - Bulls Target 91,500 ResistanceHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook of BTCUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. BTC previously traded inside a well-defined range, where price moved sideways for an extended period, showing balance between buyers and sellers. This consolidation acted as an accumulation phase. A strong breakout to the upside from the range confirmed renewed bullish interest and initiated an impulsive move higher. Following the breakout, price respected a rising Support Line, forming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, which confirms a bullish market structure. As BTC pushed higher, it reached the Seller Zone / Resistance Level around 91,500, where selling pressure emerged. Price reacted from this level and pulled back, indicating that sellers are actively defending this resistance. The pullback, however, remained controlled and corrective, with price returning toward the Buyer Zone, which aligns with a key Support Level around 89,200–90,000 and the rising support trend line. Currently, BTC is holding above the Buyer Zone and the ascending support line, showing that buyers are still defending structure. The recent price action suggests consolidation rather than a breakdown, keeping the bullish scenario valid as long as support holds. My scenario: as long as BTCUSD remains above the Buyer Zone and respects the rising Support Line, the bullish bias remains intact. I expect buyers to defend this area and attempt another push toward the 91,500 Resistance Level (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above resistance would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside. However, a decisive breakdown below the Buyer Zone would weaken the structure and increase the probability of a deeper corrective move. For now, price is at a key decision area, and patience with proper risk management is essential. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTCUSD Range Breakout & Trendline Retest | Key Support in FocusBitcoin is currently trading inside a range structure after a strong move, respecting both buyer and seller zones. Price previously rejected from the seller zone and is now reacting near a descending trendline (support line).
We can see a clear breakout attempt from the lower structure, followed by a pullback toward the key support level. As long as price holds above this support, a bullish continuation toward TP1 is expected. Failure to hold support may lead to a deeper retracement back into the range.
This setup is ideal for intraday and short-term traders, focusing on breakout + retest confirmation.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 91,700 – 91,300
Resistance Zone: 93,800 – 94,200
TP1: 89,300 (if rejection) / Upside continuation on hold
Trendline: Acts as dynamic support
Bias:
📈 Bullish above support
📉 Bearish if support breaks
Risk Management:
Always wait for confirmation and use a tight stop-loss below support. Do not over-leverage.
RSI and MACD TogetherRSI and MACD are often paired together under the idea of confirmation. If both indicators point in the same direction, the trade feels safer. In practice, this combination frequently creates confidence without clarity. The reason is simple. Both indicators are derived from the same source, price, and they often respond to the same information at different speeds.
RSI reacts relatively quickly to changes in momentum. MACD responds more slowly, smoothing price action to highlight broader momentum shifts. When traders wait for both to align before entering, they are often reacting to a move that has already unfolded. The result is late entries, compressed risk-to-reward, and increased sensitivity to pullbacks.
Confluence adds value only when each tool is assigned a clear role. RSI can help assess the current momentum environment, showing whether price behavior supports continuation or suggests slowing participation. MACD can help keep traders aligned with the dominant swing, reducing the urge to exit positions prematurely during normal retracements. Used this way, the indicators support decision-making rather than replacing it.
The combination becomes misleading when it is used to anticipate reversals. Divergences lining up across RSI and MACD feel powerful, but they often appear multiple times during strong trends. Momentum can weaken and reaccelerate without price structure ever breaking. Traders who act on indicator-based anticipation usually enter before the market has resolved its internal balance.
Another issue is redundancy. When both indicators are used to trigger entries, they rarely provide independent information. Agreement between them does not necessarily increase probability. It often just reinforces an interpretation the trader already wants to believe.
RSI and MACD work best after structure and location are established. When price has already shown intent, indicators can help manage timing, confidence, and trade duration. When used in isolation, they tend to encourage reaction instead of understanding.
Elise | BTCUSD – M30 | Liquidity Re-Accumulation SetupBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After liquidity was engineered on both sides, BTC stabilized above the sell-side resting zone and is now compressing near trendline support. This behavior typically precedes expansion after consolidation, provided structure remains intact and price does not accept below demand.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation 🚀
As long as price holds above the trendline and demand base, BTC is positioned for continuation toward higher liquidity targets.
❌ Bearish Invalidation 📉
A clean breakdown and close below the sell-side resting area invalidates the bullish thesis and signals deeper retracement.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: Previous buy-side liquidity highs
Support 🟢: Trendline + sell-side liquidity resting zone
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
From Stocks to BTC. How Rotation Is Funding the Next Leg Higher📉 Stocks Look Tired
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are both rolling over.
Daily candles show rejection and lower momentum, while Nasdaq makes lower lows, signaling that stock indices are losing strength and upside is fading for now.
When this happens, capital often rotates out of broad equities, not just out of tech, and looks for a new place where the upside is cleaner and the narrative is stronger.
📈 Why Capital Is Rotating Into Bitcoin
Bitcoin is pushing into resistance with a clear series of higher lows and an attempted breakout.
This suggests that while stocks stall, BTC is still attracting fresh demand and becoming the next main risk‑on vehicle.
Fundamental reasons support this shift:
- ETF and institutional flows are building a structural bid under Bitcoin, absorbing supply on pullbacks.
- In a world of policy uncertainty and long‑term inflation risk, investors see BTC as digital hard money and a diversification away from traditional equity exposure.
So when stock exposure feels crowded and fragile, rotating some capital into Bitcoin offers a different return profile with strong macro and structural narratives.
🔁 Where Rotation Can Go After BTC
Rotation usually doesn’t stop at BTC:
1. Stocks → Bitcoin: first leg, equities weaken while BTC pushes higher.
2. Bitcoin → large‑cap crypto: once BTC breaks out and trends, flows often spread into ETH and other major L1s/L2s.
3. Majors → high‑beta alts: later in the cycle, liquidity and risk appetite spill into DeFi, infrastructure, and narrative‑driven altcoins.
If stocks correct enough and macro fears ease later, some of that capital can eventually rotate back into undervalued equities, but only after the crypto leg has matured.
🎯 Simple Trading Framing
- Broad stocks are weakening, suggesting reduced reward for new equity risk here.
- BTC is the current recipient of rotation, backed by ETF flows, post‑halving supply dynamics, and the “digital hard asset” narrative.
- After a confirmed BTC leg higher, watch for the next rotation wave into ETH and large‑cap alts, then into selected higher‑beta sectors as the cycle extends.
Elise | BTCUSD · 30M – Bullish Structure with Demand RetestBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After a strong bullish expansion, price is undergoing a healthy correction. This retracement appears corrective rather than distributive, with buyers expected to step in around the marked demand zone. As long as price holds above this region, bullish continuation remains the higher-probability outcome.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀
Holding above 95,300–95,800 could lead to:
🎯 Target 1: 97,500
🎯 Target 2: 98,800
🎯 Target 3: 99,800 – 100,000
❌ Bearish Case 📉
A strong breakdown and close below 95,300 would invalidate the bullish setup and shift bias toward deeper downside.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 97,500 → 98,800 → 100,000
Support 🟢: 95,800 → 95,300
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
BTCUSD Facing Rejection at Seller Zone - Short Scenario in PlayHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTCUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. BTCUSD is currently trading within a broader corrective-to-bearish structure after failing to sustain bullish momentum near the recent highs. Earlier in the session, price moved inside an ascending channel, where higher highs and higher lows suggested temporary buyer control. However, as price approached the major Resistance Level / Seller Zone around 97,100, bullish momentum began to weaken significantly. At this resistance, BTCUSD printed a fake breakout, signaling exhaustion of buyers and strong seller presence. The inability to hold above the Seller Zone marked a local top and triggered a structural reaction. Following this rejection, price started to compress between a descending resistance line and a rising support line, forming a tightening structure that reflects increasing selling pressure and distribution near the highs. Prior to this move, BTCUSD had traded within a well-defined range, where price consolidated before breaking out impulsively to the upside. That breakout led directly into the Seller Zone, but the lack of acceptance above resistance confirms that the breakout was likely a liquidity grab rather than a true continuation. Since then, price has moved back below the resistance level and is now trading under the key intraday structure. Currently, BTCUSD is holding below the Seller Zone (97,100) and failing to reclaim the resistance line, which keeps the short-term bias tilted to the downside. Below current price, the Support Level / Buyer Zone around 93,100 stands out as the next key area of interest. This zone aligns with previous range support and represents a logical TP1 target, where buyers may attempt to step back in. My scenario: as long as BTCUSD remains below the 97,100 Resistance Level and continues to respect the descending resistance structure, the bearish bias remains valid. I expect price to continue lower toward the 93,100 Support Level (TP1). A clean breakdown and acceptance below this support could open the door for a deeper corrective move. However, a strong bullish reclaim and acceptance above the Seller Zone would invalidate the bearish scenario and signal a potential continuation to the upside. For now, market structure favors sellers while price trades below resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTCUSD: Triangle Compression After Trendline BreakHi!
Bitcoin broke the long-term descending trendline, but instead of expanding, the price moved into a large triangle range. This shows hesitation; the market is building energy, not trending yet.
Current structure:
Broken downtrend → consolidation
Clear triangle with rising support and horizontal resistance
Key levels & scenarios:
Bullish scenario:
If price breaks and holds above the top of the triangle (93,500–94,000)
→ First target: 99,200
→ Extension target: 104,400
Bearish scenario:
If price loses the rising trendline support
→ Downside opens toward 81,300
For now, this is a wait-for-breakout structure. Direction will be decided only after a clean break, patience matters here.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.






















