Trading Plan for Tuesday, May 14th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, but cautious given the 8 consecutive green days. The risk of a sudden pullback increases as the market becomes more overbought. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5235 (major), 5221-17 (major), 5210 (major) Major Supports: 5192 (major), 5174-76 (major), 5144-47 (major) Key...
The momentum in the S&P500 chart slowed down yesterday. With a view to the upper price target, however, there should still be room for further expansion in the current phase of the turquoise wave 5. Once the high has been placed, a larger corrective movement is on the cards. Please note our alternative scenario (38% probable). This option suggests the possibility...
ES just broke below an ascending channel and made a double top at supply. However, it's still holding above 5240 so I think it could end up bullish, we have a descending trendline now that could lead to a breakout as well. I'd look to long if above 5240 with a target of the previous double top/supply. If it breaks below 5240, I like shorts targeting demand near...
Waiting for the CPI and PPI this week to drive the direction for the S&P 500. Although sellers came in on Friday and Monday, currently this market has a neutral opening with a bias to the upside.
going over the price Action ES for Monday 5-13-24. looking for clues as to how we could have traded better today and what the market was telling us.
Trading Plan for Monday, May 13th, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bullish, but extremely overbought and due for a pullback. Traders are advised to exercise extreme caution and prioritize protecting gains over chasing further upside. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5236 (major), 5225, 5213 (major) Major Supports: 5202-04 (major), 5186 (major), 5155 (major), 5112-15...
Going over the price action from Sunday night till the morning session ES looking for clues and reviewing to see any clues that were left by the market.
MFI went oversold and all we got was a gap fill, not even a dip. I guess they want to pump inflation numbers Wed morning, might day trade on the long side tomorrow.
From the 2HR perspective, ES looks to be forming an "M" shaped pattern, signaling and bearish reversal. I believe we can continue to pullback to at least 5230 for a short term day trade, as price may continue to press down to gather liquidity from the daily fair value gap from 5232 to 5218. We are anticipating core inflation data this week that could influence the...
E-mini S&P (June) / E-mini NQ (June) S&P, last week’s close: Settled at 5246.25, up 7.25 on Friday and 91.50 on the week NQ, last week’s close: Settled at 18,255, up 40.50 on Friday and 254.25 on the week E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures secured a strong week despite hotter than expected 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations at 3.5% versus 3.2% via the...
Here are the levels I'm using this week. Key things to watch are the PPI & CPI data as well as earnings from big retailers WMT and HD. Powell also speaks this week on Tuesday. Bullish momentum continues but NQ is coming into a completion zone for a bearish Harmonic at the 886 Fib. Potential bullish momo into that level then heavy resistance. SUMMARY ES posted...
ES Monday Trade Plan Inflection: 5245-5249 Upper lvls: 5258-5265 / 5272-5280 / 5302-5308 Lower lvls: 5230-5232 / 5212 / 5200 NQ Monday Trade Plan Inflection: 18268 Upper lvls: 18339 / 18497-18503 / 18571-18586 Lower lvls: 18203 / 18149 / 18063 Stay Frosty!
**SP500:** This week's forecast is for the price to test the historical highs, more precisely at 5316.50, and to reverse the trend after that test.
With bullish price action this week, some sort of retracement is considered healthy and with 5229.75 in the cards for a draw of liquidity, next week will be interesting.
Weekly plan: ESH2024 NYSE:ES FUTURES 5/12/2024 5280 >> 5307 >>> 5334 Weekly pivot: 5250, Now 5238 5224>> 5173 >>> 5146
ES moved up slowly last week on unusually low volume. It had been forming an ascending wedge, which would normally be bearish, but this time it broke out above. I'm skeptical of this move due to the volume, but as long as it can maintain above this wedge and/or 5200, I think a rally back into supply at 5300 is likely. We'll have to wait and see if that ends up...
overall market comment Markets clearly proved me wrong this week and right now the only question is how high this squeeze goes before we reverse. Dax already made a new ATH and it does not look like it’s going to stop anytime soon. For the sp500 & nasdaq markets tried multiple times on Friday to melt up on big volume but some bigger institutions stuffed the...