All signs point to a pullback in the market. I think JPM/AMD and some other big names might even be our leading indicator. The only real pullback target I could come up with is a 50% retracement which is fairly common in the market and within trends themselves.
IMPULSE AND CORRECTION: looking to catch a short trade at the mitigation of the 1hr time frame supply zone.
The overall momentum of the market from the monthly timeframe is bullish. now we're having a minor retracement for a day trading long opportunity. also looking to catch a short trade opportunity when price get's to the right zone in order to realign with the monthly timeframe flip zone for a longer term long opportunity.
Last weeks levels provided to be partly actionable and price has immediately responded (See attached post). Comfortable holding this 50% long position with stop/target untouched. Will be looking for opportunities to buy the other 50% and increase risk as I'm confident in the bullish sentiment after last weeks Feds statement. I hold an underlying belief that the...
The number of short contracts (6055K) are more than the longs (3635K), however this doesn't cause an equivalent price drop. This is called absorption. The "composite man" is collecting the contracts, but not introducing them back to the market in order to sell higher. Meaningful volume spikes with no meaningful effects are signs of manipulation.
Going over the price action for the NFP report. looking for clues as to what the market is telling us. always remember we are risk managers. do your homework and go over all your trades this weekend. weekend is a time to refine your strategy and your mind.
For ES1! bears, I'm looking at a double-three correction from low of 4963.50, with an expanded flat Y, to complete below 5194.25. For the flat, 3 is shorter than 1, so 5 needs to finish below 5194.25. As such, this count is invalid with price above 5194.25. Price is currently between .5 and .618 Fibonacci price points on the correction, so bears are definitely...
Price heading towards 0.618 Fib before it start drop.to 4998 level
I was looking at /ES on the weekly because things were looking interesting on the lower time frame charts I spend more time on. Low and behold and this chart is looking like it could be setting up for much higher prices. The recent down move gave us some rebalancing off of the crazy run we have had since late last year and the last two weeks seem to be showing...
Trading Plan for Friday, May 3rd, 2024 Market Sentiment: Bulls maintaining a tentative lead ahead of multiple high-impact market events (Apple Earnings and Jobs Report). Expect extreme volatility and plan accordingly. Key Supports Immediate Supports: 5068 (major), 5054 (major trendline - note this level rises daily) Major Supports: 5028 (major), 5001...
Watching UVIX break through its low of $8.37 this morning gives me confidence that market top is not in. The most bullish scenario now would see four separate impulse waves (in blue ellipses) since low of 4963.50. Pivots at 5022.25 and 5036.25 were both technical, bouncing off .618 fib levels. Bulls need to advance above 5200 with continued impulsive action, and...
ES Trade Plan Inflection: 5082 Upper lvls: 5099-5109 / 5125-5127 / 5137 / 5153 Lower lvls: 5072-5074 / 5036 / 5005 NQ Trade Plan Inflection: 17632 Upper lvls: 17776 / 17818-17838 / 17871 / 17901-17937 / 18063 Lower lvls: 17564-17573 / 17482 / 17356-17370 Stay Frosty!
We are reviewing price action from yesterday and this morning. going over the clues the market left and how we could have traded the day better.
the price needs to go back up to test the high. this is election year, and the stock market will keep climbing.
Today's bullish trend is confirmed. the bear market of the past few days has been swept away and volatility is falling again. At the SP/VIX ratio today's candle shows significance and relevance, with a wide body and close on the highs. We go Long with a trickle of gas, up to 5120 points.
Trading Plan for NYSE:ES and AMEX:SPY based on Downtrend and Key Levels Overall Market Context: We are currently in a confirmed downtrend for NYSE:ES and AMEX:SPY since their respective all-time highs. Major resistance sits at 5150, with major support at 5033 and 4965. Trading Strategies: Short Positions: Primary Entry: Look for bearish price action...
Last Week : Last week Globex opened inside the Value of 5086 - 4925 Range and right away found buying that started pushing us towards VAH. RTH gave us a push out of Value and holds above brought in more buyers to give us pushes to the Edge and attempts at Previous Ranges VAL/Value area but that move was sold back down towards the Edge and back under 5086 brought...
Going over the FOMC reflecting on the day and our process. looking for clues to how we could have traded the day better. Better than yesterday is our only goal.