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Gold Futures (Jan 2018)Gold Futures (Jan 2018)Gold Futures (Jan 2018)

Gold Futures (Jan 2018)

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Waiting on the Sweep – ADP Should Provide the CatalystChoppy week so far with price distributing and grinding lower. Last week’s low still hasn’t been taken, so my macro target remains the same. I’m looking for ADP tomorrow during NY session to provide the volatility needed to run liquidity and complete that sweep. Not predicting direction on the release itself — I’ll be waiting for a liquidity grab and displacement before considering an entry. If price runs stops above today’s Asia high or drives directly into last week’s low, I’ll be watching for the post-news retrace to an FVG/structural level to participate. Patience here — the move is close, but confirmation > anticipation.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by DWoodz
3
GOLD: Look For Bullish Breakout From The +FVGIn this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Nov. 10-14th. Gold has been consolidating in a +FVG since last week... and it is still holding! Wait for price to break the high of the consolidation and then look for long setups. Be mindful that price may sweep the sell side LQ before it moves higher. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by RT_Money
4
Comex Gold As prices seen in a consolidation phase from past 7 sessions. Current Support intact $3900 coincide 50DEMA along 50% fib retracement level, if prices fail sustain above support level, can see towards next support zone $3800--$3600 alien with 61.8% Feb. retracement level. In other scenario, if prices sustain above support level, above 20DEMA-$4000 prices can will see gaining the strength towards $4200. Whereas if US-China Trade deal tensions, Fed's unchanged rate, US shutdown can continued to see gold stuck into a long time consolidation phase .
COMEX:GC1!
by kaveri_more0815
2
Gold Technical Outlook: Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?Market Context Gold recently hit fresh all-time highs near $4,400 in mid-October after dovish comments from the Federal Reserve, but has since paused as traders digest the news. The price is consolidating around the $4,000 area, with bulls and bears locked in a tug-of-war, creating a crucial juncture for gold’s short-term trend. Technical Breakdown • Trend: Gold had been climbing steadily along a rising support trendline , but that line has now been broken . This signals that the recent uptrend may be on hold or reversing in the near term. • Resistances: The chart shows a classic double-top pattern , with peaks around 4,210–4,225 . After retesting this zone and failing, sellers took control. There’s also a minor resistance zone near 4,040 , which capped a recent bounce. In short, bulls must reclaim 4,040 first, a breakout above this would open the path toward 4,210–4,225 . • Support: Key support lies near 3,914 . This level held strong during earlier pullbacks even after the trendline broke. If gold retests 3,914 and holds, it could provide a solid base for buyers, but a decisive break below it would confirm downside continuation. • RSI (Momentum): The 14-period RSI is hovering near 50 , showing a neutral stance. We can observe both bearish divergence (as price formed a double top while RSI made a lower high) and bullish divergence (as RSI formed higher lows while price dipped). This mix of signals means momentum is indecisive , traders should wait for confirmation. What to Watch Next 1. Price Reaction at Key Levels Watch how price reacts around 4,040 and 3,914 . A break and hold above 4,040 could shift short-term momentum bullish, targeting 4,210–4,225 . A rejection or breakdown below 3,914 could trigger further selling pressure. 2. RSI Confirmation A sustained move of RSI above 50 supports bullish momentum, especially if price also rises. Conversely, a drop below 45–40 would reinforce bearish sentiment. If price breaks above the double top and RSI makes a higher high , bearish divergence is invalidated, confirming strength. But if price breaks below support and RSI follows with new lows , the bullish divergence fails, favoring sellers. Summary Gold’s short-term trend depends on how it reacts at these key levels (4,040 and 3,914) . The market is at a decision point, either breakout or breakdown. Combining price structure with RSI confirmation can help traders stay aligned with the next impulsive move. Analysis by @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trade responsibly with proper risk management.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by TraderRahulPal
1
Breakout Confirmed – Watching for 4H FVG RebalanceAfter a full week of sideways chop, Gold finally broke structure on Monday with a strong bullish impulse. The breakout clears the 7-day range and confirms higher-timeframe bullish intent. I’m now watching the 4H FVG sitting just below the previous day’s low — that’s where I’d like to see price rebalance before continuing the next leg higher. If price respects that zone and holds structure, it could mark the start of a sustained bullish push for the week. Bias stays bullish unless price breaks back below the H4 FVG or fails to hold the weekly open.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Gold Futures – Compression Before Explosion?Gold (GC1!) is coiling tightly just above the $3,998 level, teasing a big move as it hugs the 0.618 fib zone at $3,921. It’s the definition of compression — and when gold coils like this, something always gives. 📍 Key levels on the radar: $3,998 – Current pressure zone $3,921 – Fib support + breakout base $3,602 – Worst-case flush if demand fails $4,489 – Fibonacci extension target if this rips We’ve got an ascending pitchfork, clean market structure, and a massive range breakout setup. These kinds of patterns don’t sit idle for long. Gold remains a beast in uncertain macro conditions — don’t underestimate what happens when fear, rates, and inflation mix. Trading Wisdom 📜 The bigger the coil, the nastier the move. Don’t focus on direction — focus on readiness. Gold pays those who stay patient and deadly. Disclaimer: What you read here is not financial advice — it’s high-level market philosophy from the FXPROFESSOR himself. Risk is real, and your capital is your responsibility. Learn, adapt, evolve. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
COMEX:GC1!
by FX_Professor
Regional Price Differences in the Global Trade Market1. Introduction to Regional Price Differences Regional price differences refer to the variation in the price of the same or similar goods and services across different geographic regions or countries. In global trade, these disparities influence where goods are produced, how they are traded, and who benefits most from global value chains. For instance, the same smartphone might cost significantly more in Europe than in Asia due to differing taxes, import duties, and distribution costs. While globalization and digitalization have helped narrow some price gaps, differences remain pronounced because local economic conditions, government regulations, and logistical constraints continue to vary widely. 2. Key Causes of Regional Price Differences a. Production Costs and Input Availability One of the most fundamental reasons behind regional price disparities is the difference in production costs. Labor wages, raw material availability, and energy costs differ from one region to another. For example, manufacturing costs in Southeast Asia are generally lower than in North America or Western Europe, primarily because of cheaper labor and more lenient regulatory frameworks. Consequently, products made in Asia often sell at lower prices, giving the region a competitive edge in global trade. b. Exchange Rates and Currency Valuation Currency fluctuations significantly impact pricing in international trade. A country with a strong currency will find its exports becoming more expensive for foreign buyers, while imports may become cheaper. Conversely, a country with a weaker currency can sell goods more competitively abroad. Exchange rate volatility, therefore, introduces continuous adjustments in trade pricing across regions. c. Trade Policies and Tariffs Governments impose import tariffs, export duties, and non-tariff barriers to protect domestic industries. These policies alter price structures across borders. For example, U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods during the trade tensions of 2018–2020 increased prices for certain products in American markets. Similarly, the European Union’s agricultural subsidies have led to lower food prices in Europe compared to regions where farmers receive little or no government support. d. Transportation and Logistics Costs Geographical distance and infrastructure quality play a vital role in determining final prices. Shipping costs, fuel prices, and port handling fees vary widely between regions. Landlocked countries, such as those in Central Africa, often face higher import prices due to their reliance on overland transportation. In contrast, coastal nations with advanced port facilities, like Singapore or the Netherlands, enjoy lower trade costs and more competitive pricing. e. Taxation and Regulatory Differences Value-added tax (VAT), sales tax, and environmental levies contribute to price differences. Developed countries often impose higher consumption taxes, making goods more expensive than in emerging markets. Additionally, stricter quality or safety regulations in some regions may require costly compliance, raising production and retail prices. f. Market Demand and Purchasing Power Regional consumer behavior and purchasing power also determine pricing strategies. Companies adjust their prices based on what consumers can afford and are willing to pay. For instance, global fast-food chains often sell products at lower prices in India or Indonesia compared to the U.S. or Japan, aligning with local income levels. 3. Economic Theories Explaining Price Differences Two key economic theories help explain regional price disparities: a. The Law of One Price (LOOP) This theory suggests that in efficient markets without trade barriers or transportation costs, identical goods should have the same price globally when expressed in a common currency. However, real-world frictions — like shipping expenses, tariffs, and local taxes — often violate this law, leading to price differences. b. Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) PPP adjusts for differences in price levels between countries, asserting that exchange rates should equalize the purchasing power of different currencies. Yet, deviations from PPP are common due to local factors like government intervention, monopolistic pricing, and varied cost structures. 4. Regional Case Studies a. Asia: The Manufacturing Hub Asia, especially China, India, Vietnam, and Indonesia, is known for its low-cost manufacturing advantage. The region benefits from cheaper labor, favorable trade agreements, and strong production ecosystems. As a result, products made in Asia — such as electronics, textiles, and machinery — often cost less than similar items made in Europe or the United States. This price advantage has turned Asia into the world’s factory, though rising labor costs in China are gradually narrowing the gap. b. Europe: High Standards and High Prices European markets tend to have higher consumer prices due to stringent labor laws, environmental regulations, and value-added taxes. Additionally, many European countries prioritize sustainable production and quality assurance, which increase costs. However, consumers in Europe are generally willing to pay a premium for quality, ethical sourcing, and environmental responsibility. c. North America: Market Efficiency and Brand Premiums The U.S. and Canada enjoy advanced infrastructure and technological efficiency, which can reduce costs in some sectors. However, strong brand influence and higher wage levels often lead to elevated retail prices. Moreover, the U.S. dollar’s global dominance sometimes results in price discrepancies when converted into weaker currencies. d. Africa and Latin America: Infrastructure and Import Dependency Many countries in Africa and Latin America face higher prices due to weak infrastructure, high import dependency, and limited manufacturing bases. Import tariffs, long shipping routes, and unstable exchange rates further raise costs. For instance, consumer electronics or cars may cost 30–50% more in these regions than in Asia or North America. 5. Implications for Global Trade a. Competitive Advantages and Trade Patterns Regions with lower production costs attract multinational corporations seeking efficiency and profitability. This leads to industrial clustering — such as textile hubs in Bangladesh or electronics hubs in Taiwan. However, this concentration can also cause over-dependence and trade imbalances. b. Consumer Access and Inequality Price differences can contribute to global inequality. Consumers in poorer nations often pay higher prices for imported goods relative to their income, limiting access to essential products. Meanwhile, consumers in wealthier nations enjoy broader choices at competitive prices due to efficient supply chains. c. Supply Chain Strategies Businesses use regional price data to optimize their supply chains, choosing where to source materials and where to sell products for maximum profit. The rise of digital platforms and data analytics allows companies to monitor regional trends and adjust prices dynamically. d. Inflation Transmission Regional price differences can also transmit inflation across borders. For example, if energy prices rise in the Middle East, importing regions like Europe and Asia experience higher fuel and transportation costs, which ripple across global supply chains. 6. Technological and Policy Developments Reducing Price Gaps Digitalization, automation, and free trade agreements are helping reduce some regional price disparities. E-commerce platforms allow consumers to compare global prices instantly, pressuring sellers to maintain competitiveness. Additionally, trade liberalization efforts under organizations like the World Trade Organization (WTO) aim to minimize tariffs and improve market access. However, geopolitical tensions, such as the U.S.–China trade war or Brexit, can reverse progress by introducing new trade barriers and regulatory costs, widening price gaps once again. 7. Conclusion Regional price differences are an inevitable and integral part of the global trade system. They reflect each region’s unique combination of resources, policies, consumer preferences, and economic maturity. While globalization, technology, and policy harmonization have narrowed some disparities, complete price uniformity remains unrealistic due to local economic realities and geopolitical diversity. For businesses and policymakers, understanding these differences is not just an academic exercise — it is a strategic necessity. It influences where companies invest, how governments design trade agreements, and how consumers experience global markets. In the end, managing regional price differences effectively is key to ensuring balanced growth, fair competition, and sustainable globalization.
MCX:GOLD1!Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
Commodity Market Analysis: The Core of Global Trade1. Understanding the Commodity Market Commodities are divided mainly into two categories: Hard Commodities: Natural resources that are mined or extracted, such as gold, crude oil, copper, and natural gas. Soft Commodities: Agricultural products and livestock, such as wheat, coffee, sugar, cotton, and cattle. The commodity market allows producers, traders, and investors to trade these items through spot markets (for immediate delivery) and futures markets (contracts for future delivery at predetermined prices). Futures contracts are the most popular instruments in commodity trading because they allow participants to hedge risk and speculate on price movements. 2. Importance of Commodity Market Analysis Commodity market analysis helps determine where prices are heading and why. Because commodities are essential for every economy—from manufacturing to energy to agriculture—their prices influence inflation, exchange rates, and corporate profits. Investors and traders analyze this market to: Identify investment opportunities Hedge against inflation and currency fluctuations Forecast economic growth or slowdown Manage risk and portfolio diversification For example, rising crude oil prices often signal economic strain, while increasing metal prices might suggest industrial growth. 3. Types of Commodity Market Analysis Commodity analysis can be broadly categorized into fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Each approach provides different insights into price movements. A. Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis focuses on understanding the underlying factors that affect supply and demand. For commodities, these factors include: Supply Factors: Weather conditions (affecting crops like wheat or coffee) Mining output and energy production levels Government policies, export restrictions, or trade tariffs Geopolitical tensions or wars disrupting supply chains Demand Factors: Industrial and manufacturing growth Population growth and changing consumption habits Technological advancements (like electric vehicles increasing demand for lithium and copper) Seasonal demand variations (e.g., more oil consumption in winter) Fundamental analysts often look at inventory levels, production reports, and global trade data to estimate price directions. For example, if OPEC announces production cuts, it often leads to a rise in crude oil prices due to reduced supply. B. Technical Analysis Technical analysis studies price patterns, volume data, and historical trends to forecast future movements. It assumes that all market information is reflected in prices and that human behavior often repeats in patterns. Key tools include: Candlestick charts: Show price movement patterns like “Doji,” “Hammer,” or “Engulfing,” which can signal reversals or continuations. Support and Resistance levels: Help identify price zones where buying or selling pressure increases. Indicators: Such as Moving Averages (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI), MACD, and Volume Profile, which help identify trends and momentum. Volume analysis: Confirms whether price moves are supported by strong participation. For instance, if gold breaks above a major resistance with high volume, it signals strong bullish sentiment. 4. Major Global Commodity Exchanges Commodities are traded across various international exchanges that set global benchmarks: New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) – for crude oil, natural gas, and metals Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) – for agricultural commodities London Metal Exchange (LME) – for industrial metals like copper, aluminum, and zinc Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), India – for gold, silver, crude oil, and base metals National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX), India – for agricultural products These exchanges operate under strict regulations, ensuring transparent price discovery and risk management. 5. Key Commodities and Their Drivers Let’s look at some key commodities and what drives their prices: Crude Oil: Driven by OPEC decisions, geopolitical conflicts, global demand, and inventory data. Oil is sensitive to global growth expectations and energy transitions toward renewables. Gold: Considered a safe-haven asset. Its price moves inversely with the U.S. dollar and interest rates. During economic uncertainty, inflation, or political instability, investors flock to gold. Silver and Copper: Silver acts both as a precious and industrial metal, while copper is an industrial growth indicator. Their prices rise with manufacturing demand and fall with economic slowdowns. Agricultural Commodities: Prices of wheat, soybeans, and coffee depend heavily on weather, global harvest reports, and export-import policies. Natural Gas: Influenced by seasonal demand, storage levels, and geopolitical factors (e.g., disruptions in gas supply from Russia or the Middle East). 6. Global Economic and Political Impact The commodity market is deeply tied to global macroeconomic and political conditions. For example: Inflation: Rising commodity prices often lead to inflation, as they increase costs for manufacturers and consumers. Currency movements: A stronger U.S. dollar typically lowers commodity prices (as they are priced in dollars), while a weaker dollar lifts them. Geopolitical tensions: Conflicts in oil-producing regions, like the Middle East, can cause supply disruptions and sudden price spikes. Interest rates: Higher interest rates strengthen the dollar and reduce demand for non-yielding assets like gold. Thus, traders must keep track of global news, central bank policies, and trade agreements to anticipate market reactions. 7. Risk Management in Commodity Trading Commodity markets are highly volatile, making risk management essential. Traders use strategies like: Hedging: Producers and consumers lock in prices through futures contracts to protect against price fluctuations. Diversification: Investing in multiple commodities to reduce exposure to one sector. Stop-loss orders: Limiting losses when trades go against expectations. Position sizing: Managing capital allocation to avoid overexposure. For instance, an airline company may hedge against rising fuel prices by purchasing crude oil futures. 8. The Role of Technology and Algorithms Modern commodity trading is increasingly driven by AI algorithms, data analytics, and automated systems. Traders use real-time data to analyze weather patterns, satellite imagery (for crop forecasting), and global supply chain movements. This digital transformation enhances precision and speed in decision-making. Platforms now integrate Volume Profile Analysis and Market Structure Analysis to study institutional order flow and liquidity zones, giving traders a professional edge in spotting reversals and breakouts. 9. India’s Commodity Market Scenario India is emerging as a major player in global commodity trading, particularly in gold, silver, and agricultural goods. Exchanges like MCX and NCDEX provide transparent, electronic platforms for traders. The introduction of commodity options, delivery-based contracts, and SEBI regulation has made the market more robust and investor-friendly. With India’s growing energy and industrial demand, its role in setting regional commodity trends is increasing. Government policies on renewable energy and agriculture will further shape the market outlook. 10. Conclusion Commodity market analysis is an essential skill for anyone involved in global trade, investing, or risk management. Understanding the interplay between supply-demand factors, geopolitical shifts, and technical indicators helps predict market direction more accurately. While volatility remains high, informed analysis enables traders and investors to turn uncertainty into opportunity. In the modern era, commodities are not just physical goods—they’re strategic financial assets that influence inflation, economic policy, and portfolio performance. Whether you’re trading gold, oil, or agricultural futures, a strong grasp of market fundamentals and technical tools can unlock significant growth potential in this dynamic sector.
MCX:GOLD1!Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
Gold’s Tight Range = Big Opportunity! Watch These Key Levels.COMEX:GC1! COMEX:GC1! (Gold Futures) | Market Analysis & 2025 Outlook After hundreds of requests since my last ideas, I’ve decided to share another detailed breakdown — this time for Gold Futures COMEX:GC1! . Let’s dive in. COMEX: COMEX:GC1! Breakdown Fundamental Analysis → NEUTRAL to BULLISH Gold remains range-bound as markets await clearer direction from global inflation data and U.S. rate expectations. Safe-haven demand continues to support the metal, but a strong dollar has kept price capped. Technical Analysis → RANGING (Neutral Bias) Currently consolidating within a 4H range since October 25th, with price bouncing between resistance near 4045 and support around 3940. A close below 3940 opens the door for lows near 3823. A close above 4045 could trigger a move toward the fair value gap around 4235. If price sustains above 4235, the next major target would be a breakout beyond the all-time high at 4398. This sideways structure suggests accumulation before a decisive move — traders should stay patient for a confirmed breakout before committing heavy capital. Sentimental Analysis → Market in Waiting Mode Gold traders are showing hesitation — institutions and retail alike are waiting for key macro catalysts. The current equilibrium reflects indecision rather than reversal. My Suggestion: While the bias remains neutral, a smart strategy is to wait for confirmation from the range extremes. Trade Plan: BUY Setup: If we see a strong 4H or daily close above 4045, aim for 4235, then 4398. SELL Setup: If price closes below 3940, look for continuation to 3823 before considering long re-entries. Use proper risk management — risk small until direction confirms. Conclusion Gold’s current range offers both opportunity and caution. Be patient and let the breakout guide your next move. Remember — the market rewards discipline more than prediction. If you enjoyed this breakdown, drop a LIKE, COMMENT, and FOLLOW for more updates and technical setups. See you soon on the next trade idea! ✨📊
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by FxEarnings
Gold Update 04NOV2025: Wave 4 Dropped Into Target AreaGold futures dropped into the pink-box target area based on the Fibonacci retracement between $3,750 and $4,000. As expected, the RSI has reached the 50 “waterline”, where it could find some support and start moving around that level. Many traders lose money in fourth waves, as they can be “anything” and often last longer than one’s pocket. I’ve outlined a triangle shape in wave 4 just for visual context. The range built through the peak of wave 3 around $4,400 and the bottom of recent panic selling near $3,900 will likely contain most of the volatility in wave 4. It can take time… testing one’s patience.
COMEX:GC1!
by aibek
Gold Awaits Breakout or BreakdownFenzoFx—Gold's upside momentum has been capped by the $4,050.00 resistance, backed by the anchored VWAP from October 23. The immediate support rests at the recent lower high, the $3,971.00 mark. From a technical perspective, a close below the immediate support could trigger the downtrend, retesting the lows at $3,901.00. On the flip side, if the price closes above $4,050.00, the current uptick in momentum could extend to the upper line of the bearish channel, followed by $4,175.00.
COMEX:GC1!
by FenzoFxBroker
MCX-GOLD 1HR SWING🟡 1. Chart Title “MCX-GOLD 1HR CHART” — This means the analysis is based on each candle representing 1 hour of price action. ⸻ ⚙ 2. Structure Breakdown • Complex Correction (W–X–Y–X–Z): This shows that gold has been in a corrective phase, not an impulsive move. The correction is labeled as a WXYXZ structure — a complex sideways/downward correction with multiple swings. • Expandable Wedge: The pattern shows an expanding shape, meaning each swing is getting slightly larger. This is a sign of high volatility and often forms before a major breakout. ⸻ ⚫ 3. Key Zones • Supply Zone (around ₹124,000–₹124,600): This is where sellers are expected to enter the market, possibly pushing the price down again. • Invalidation Point (₹124,600): If the price goes above ₹124,600, this current bearish correction view is invalidated, and a bullish breakout could start. • Harmonic PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone): Located around ₹116,800 – ₹113,400, marked at the bottom of the chart. This is a buy zone (demand area) based on harmonic projection — expecting the price to reverse upward from this region. ⸻ 🔁 4. Elliott Wave Labels • Current correction labeled as Wave (4) — After completion, a strong Wave (5) impulse upward is expected. • Sub-waves (a–b–c) are drawn within the correction to show smaller internal movements. ⸻ 📉 5. Expected Move The chart shows two possible paths: 1. Short-term bearish move — Price may fall from the supply zone (~₹122,000–₹124,000) to the harmonic PRZ around ₹117,000. 2. Then bullish reversal — From the PRZ, the chart expects a strong upside rally, possibly toward ₹126,000+.
MCX:GOLD1!Short
by Fin_free_figt