TSLA - BUY (20% GAINS)Buy Tesla and get ~20% gains within a month. The buyers are active as the chart suggests. You can put a buy stop at 200 too. The historical data shows that the price is retraced at the 0.78 Fib level, therefore we'll sell at around 240, gaining 20%Longby Alee_Kolachi4
Wall St: Not Just A Magnificent Seven Story AnymoreThe equity story of last year was undoubtedly the stellar performance of the ‘magnificent seven’ – a handful of megacap tech stocks which reigned supreme over the vast majority of others, and drove the bulk of the broader market’s strong returns. As 2024 gets underway, however, signs are starting to emerge that this year’s dynamic may look rather different, both as the ‘magnificent seven’ stocks display diverging fortunes, and market breadth begins to improve. Having rallied, broadly, in line with each other for much of 2023, the handful of equities in question – Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla – have performed in a far from uniform way since the turn of the year. While Nvidia continues to benefit from the ever-increasing frenzy around AI, and Meta has performed strongly, boosted by blowout Q4 earnings, and the announcement of the firm’s first ever dividend payment, other names in this grouping have performed in a decidedly more ordinary manner. Both Alphabet and Apple have failed to outperform the S&P 500 on a YTD basis, the former owing to significantly poorer than expected Q4 advertising revenue, and the latter amid a handful of broker downgrades, amid ongoing demand worries, particularly in China. The standout laggard, however, is Tesla, which stands as the worst performer in the S&P 500, trading over 25% lower YTD, amid a plethora of issues ranging from waning EV demand to long-running concerns over corporate governance. Many, therefore, are beginning to wonder whether the ‘magnificent seven’ should be renamed the ‘super six’, ‘fab five’, ‘fantastic four’, or any other moderately cringeworthy moniker that could reasonably be used for a group of booming megacap equities – answers on a postcard, please! On a more serious level, and keeping that grouping as a seven for now, it’s noteworthy how the tech behemoths haven’t outperformed the broader market to anywhere near the same degree as seen during 2023. This hints at a broader theme, in that the equity rally seen so far in 2024 has been significantly more broad based than that which came last year. A simple look at the performance of various sectors this year evidences this well. On the whole, that sector breakdown is largely what you would expect in the current macro environment – where the US economy looks set to stick the much-anticipated ‘soft landing’, and Fed policymakers have struck a relatively hawkish tone, pushing back on the idea of cuts in Q1, sparking a repricing of the USD OIS curve, and a kick higher in yields across the Treasury curve. Naturally, financials should benefit from such an environment, while you’d also expect real estate and utilities to soften, as has occurred. In any case, it’s nice to get a long-overdue reminder that, despite recent form, the US equity market isn’t only about tech. There are other signs that also point to a differing dynamic under the market’s surface, and better overall breadth. While there are many ways to measure such a concept, perhaps the simplest in any given index is to simply look at the proportion of constituents trading above a given moving average. The rally being relatively broad based, with well over 70% of S&P 500 members trading above said long-run average. Other indicators tell a similar story, including the advance-decline ratio, and the % of index members printing new all-time highs, with around 10-15% of index members having printed new 52-week highs on a daily basis since the middle of last month. There is a case, however, to say that while all of the above is interesting, all one really needs to look at is price to gauge where the market may be heading. On that note, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 trade at fresh record highs, with the front S&P contract now trading north of the 5,000 mark for the first time ever. As has often been stated in these columns, there are few more bullish signs than a market printing fresh records. by Pepperstone0
IS THIS THE TIMEi have been buying tesla for the past few months. This is my point of view of TESLA based on Pure Wyckoff Methode perspective it looks like the latest price action is on going Phase D (Mark Up within Trading Range) i bought a few shares recently around $254-$256 Longby drsyarizUpdated 1
Tesla can't catch a break (light?)! My thoughts on Week of 2/6Just when we thought TSLA was headed for a rebound, we were caught in a series of news that wasn't too hot for our favorite automaker: Everything from brake light recalls to billion dollar compensations rejected. In this Idea, I will detail my thoughts of the week, news that affected the stock, and my analysis for next week. 1/29 LAST WEEK: The graph shows we've been on a downward channel for TSLA price action. Our purple line within the channel was our expectation from prior to last week (From Idea: ). What I was not expecting was a continuous downtrend after Wednesday. Affecting news for this downtrend were: Fed rate decision (priced in), and ruled out March rate cut. Musk and $55 billion pay package Possible relocation to another state because of above Tesla dropped from "Magnificent Seven" At a point on Friday, TSLA completely decoupled from SPY price action: While SPY was up 1% hitting another record high, TSLA was punished at -3%, until making a quick recovery to the top of the channel at the 0.5 fib mark at $187.90. 2/6 and on: News, fed meetings, and price action/options flow lead me to believe we will have another choppy week. 2.2 Million vehicle recall on warning lights that are too small. (Doesn't seem like a big deal, but the word "recall" scares investors. ) Over 2400 Steering Complaints Escalated to investigation. (Yahoo Finance) Tesla settles $1.5 million CA hazardous waste lawsuit (Yahoo Finance) I also think that the Tesla relocation to Texas would be bearish due to the amount of work and opportunity cost associated to relocating. With the laundry list of bad news, I don't think we will break for lower lows this week. I think we may have a sharp dip early in the week to the 0.236 fib line of $184. Throughout the week, we have several traditionally hawkish fed members speaking. Investors on the other hand seem poised with a bullish sentiment: Options expiring 2/6 (per Barchart) Put/Call Volume Ratio: 0.79 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio: 0.69 With the average call strike price sitting around $192, average put price sitting around $181. The orange line shows my prediction to the price action based off all the above: An early dip (potential retest to $180), followed by breaking the channel sometime middle of the week, chopping through the rest of the week and ending on a higher note. I will update with any news that I think may be relevant to TSLA. Shortby valentine_j_Updated 223
Tesla Update: OML is primaryAs y'all know by now I don't change my primary very easily. I do at times, but more times than not I have found my initial gut feeling is right more than not. On the chart you can see my ALT count which suggests I am one degree off with my primary count and the bottom is in. We don't yet have a 5-wave move higher with a 3-wave retrace so I can't say for certain one way or another. What I can say is we never hit the 1.0 @ 171.67 like I called for. In my experience A=C 99% of the time. I have seen it come up short before, but that is usually the exception and not the normal action seen. That being said, my primary still remain we need OML to the 1.0. If we raise past the 0.786 @ $188.41, I will start to lean more towards my ALT but will need to see the aforementioned structure before changing to my ALT count. If we raise above $193.97, that will mean either the ED is invalidated, or the bottom is in suggesting the ALT count is optimal. The forthcoming price action is very important to the longer-term price targets for Tesla. I will be watching tomorrow and will update as needed. I didn't buy any shares today but will most likely soon. I also want to remind everyone that beginning February 23rd, I will be dramatically changing my posting schedule here on trading view. My final regular/normal posting will be on that day.by TSuthUpdated 242441
🚚🚚 The first Tesla Cybertruck deliveries are set to be happen The first Tesla Cybertruck deliveries are set to be happen tomorrow, on November 30. Tesla is finally ready to throw its hat into the most important vehicle segment in the US. The long-awaited Cybertruck, with its futuristic design and embarrassing shattered-window reveal, is finally set to enter production in 2023. Its arrival could be a turning point for the market with its alien looks, high-tech features, and unique body shape. The company will host a Cybertruck delivery event at 1 p.m. CT on November 30 at its Texas Gigafactory — a delivery event that's long been delayed by various production difficulties. "We dug our own grave with Cybertruck," Elon Musk said on Tesla's third-quarter earnings call. The Tesla CEO said the EV pickup truck will require a "staggering" amount of work to ramp up because "it's the nature of the newness." However, he says the company is doing its best to simplify the vehicle. "It will be cool, but it's utilitarian," he says. Musk has previously talked about "production hell" during Tesla's past Model 3 ramp. In the years since its first reveal, Musk has slowly revealed new details about the truck and its performance. Here's what we know so far. New details from Q3 earnings call 👉 Musk says he expects to reach production of about a quarter million Cybertrucks a year. 👉 "But I don't think we'll reach that output next year .... probably sometime in 2025," he says. 👉 He also talks about the challenges of the ramp-up period. "The ramp is going to be extremely difficult. There's no way around that," Musk says. "If you want to do something radical and innovative and something's really special like the Cybertruck, it is extremely difficult because there is nothing to copy." "The more uncharted the territory, the less predictable the outcome," he added. Musk says he wants to "temper expectations" for the Cybertruck, predicting it will take a year to 18 months before the vehicle can become a significant cash flow contributor, he cites the difficulties of scaling production on a new vehicle, as well as selling the EV at a "price people can afford." The CEO says demand for the Cybertruck is high, and he believes it is one of Tesla's best products. What are the features of a Tesla Cybertruck? Musk has made numerous claims about the truck's purported capabilities that remain to be seen. He said the Cybertruck will be able to "serve briefly as a boat," and have rear-wheel steering. Its exoskeleton-based body is the opposite of how trucks are usually produced — and how they usually look. What actually makes it into the final list of Cybertruck features is anyone's guess. "This is a vehicle that competes against everybody and nobody," Ivan Drury, an automotive analyst for the car-shopping website Edmunds, told Insider earlier this year. "If the Cybertruck comes to fruition looking like it did at the debut, that should be more than enough — everything else from tech and features is just icing on the cake." He compared the Cybertruck to Hummer, a similarly large and impractical vehicle that could attract enthusiasts and wealthy luxury buyers alike. When will a Tesla Cybertruck come on the market? Musk confirmed in May that Tesla will make the Cybertruck available to customers later in 2023. "Sorry for the delay, we're finally going to start delivering production Cybertrucks later this year," he said. "And I think the product, if anything, is better than expectations." It's the first completely new Tesla product in years and comes at a time when both Tesla and the pickup truck market need some fresh ideas. How much does Tesla's Cybertruck cost? It's unclear how much a Cybertruck will cost. Originally, in 2019, the company said the Cybertruck would cost $40,000, but Musk has since said that the price will change. Generally, the Tesla price range starts around $40,000 for the cheapest variant of the Tesla Model 3 and goes up to $108,490 for the Plaid variant of the Tesla Model X. The Tesla Roadster is expected to be the most expensive model once it goes into production, at a base price around $200,000. A now-deleted contract clause aimed at preventing early customers from reselling their trucks hints that the truck may not be cheap — or plentiful — when it is finally released, experts told Business Insider. Tesla is currently taking refundable $100 deposits. How long does it take to charge a Cybertruck? Tesla has said that the Cybertruck will use its new Mega Charger V4 technology and become the quickest-charging EV. Depending on its battery size, that could mean a full charge in less than a half an hour, though details remain to be seen. Technical highlights on Tesla stocks ahead of first Cybertruck deliveries 👉 Tesla market capitalization has more than doubled in 2023, as Tesla stock price is near $245-250 range in this time, versus $120-125 range where it was at the end of gloomy 2022. 👉 Tesla stocks broke their 52-weeks SMA key resistance earlier in Q2'23 around $215 per share, with further double confirmation of this spurt in Q3'23 and recently in Q4'23. 👉 Following the major upside channel, Tesla stocks can move upside further, to its best historical levels shortly. 🚚🚚 Happy watching a long awaited Cybertruck delivery event as historical "Moment of Tesla" is just few hours to be there. by PandorraUpdated 119
$TSLA has now FLIPPED TO BULLISH Target $260so only because much of Tesla issues issues were all headline risk, and I believe the technicals have now taken over, it is set for aggressive impulse wave higher . Longby jgeno3
TSLA bounce zoneLike the 175 area for a short term bounce. Coming into lower trendline support and the Mar 5th pivot low. by WadeYendallUpdated 5512
TESLA-STAY AWAY FEB 7 2024Tesla is not a stock to be traded as it is in downtrend on every single time frame. I have tried my best to explain Tesla. If you have doubts let me know. NOTE:AVOID TRADING TESLA14:33by THECHAARTIST332
TESLA 1D : CORRECTION IN BULLISH IS CLEAR AND READY TO FLYTESLA 1D : KEEP YOUR EYES IN THIS PATTERN Here we provide the analysis (forecasting) after deep study of technical and fundamental analysis, chart pattern and premium technical indicators are used. Hit your like and keep supporting me if you like my analysis and targets. by Millionaire_789Updated 3330
Looking very bullish on TSLA for a swing.Thank you as always for watching my video analysis! Long02:30by OptionsMastery1
Tesla (TSLA) coming into long term supportTesla (TSLA) is coming into long term support and this drop finally hit the .618 fib eactly. Looks ripe enough to buy for a short term. It could run back up the 238.00 leaving room for a solid profit.Longby TechniBlock222
MR TSLA I AM BUYING CALLS .618 support We now have a positive non confirmation in see RSI daily as well I will now move to a 40 % net long calls dec 185 by wavetimer116
TESLA - MUSK LATE TO THE PARTY? HE IS THE PARTY! (TARGET $315)If I had to describe this analysis in one sentence, here's what I'd say: the lower the better. In the current climate, Tesla's stock might seem volatile due to the challenges it faces, including production hurdles and market competition. However, it's essential to look beyond these short-term obstacles and recognize the underlying strengths and strategic advantages Tesla holds. This isn't just about being bullish on Tesla without reason; it's about recognizing the company's potential to overcome current challenges and continue leading the EV revolution. As always, it's crucial to balance optimism with due diligence and consider Tesla's position within a diversified investment portfolio. So what's on the chart? (follow the steps) 1. Liquidity Zone as a Bull Target: The liquidity zone is acting as a magnet for bulls right now. It's an area where we often see a concentration of trading activity, making it a prime target for those looking to capitalize on upward movements. This zone indicates strong interest and potential for price support, making it an attractive entry point. 2. Weekly FVG for Long-Term Entry: The Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the weekly chart is particularly noteworthy. Historically, these gaps have served as solid foundations for bullish accumulation, often marking the beginning of significant upward trends. The way the price has previously lifted off from such an area suggests it's a credible entry point for long-term investors. 3. Current Nesting in Weekly FVG: Interestingly, the price is currently sitting in another weekly FVG, which could indicate a consolidation phase before the next move up. This nesting phase is crucial as it could provide a stable base from which the price might springboard. 4. Weekly Flag Pattern: While I typically don't trade based on flag patterns, it's hard to ignore the large weekly flag formation here. Even if one doesn't trade these patterns directly, they offer a good visual representation of the current price movement and the potential continuation of the trend. 5. Reaction to CPI Data and FED Rates: The upcoming CPI data will be pivotal, especially with the Federal Reserve's current hesitation to cut rates in March. A large leg down into the FVG could potentially mark the bottom, but much depends on how the CPI data plays out, influencing the Fed's stance on interest rates. 6. Second Potential Long-Term Entry: Given the rough patch and the potential bottom formation, there's a second viable entry point for long-term believers in Tesla. The key is to get in before the tide turns too positively, as waiting for good news could mean missing out on significant gains, much like what happened with Meta's 20% surge post-news. 7. Targeting Premium Areas from Discounted Entries: The strategy here is to buy at a discount with the aim of moving towards a premium. This means entering the market at current levels, which are perceived as undervalued, and holding with a view toward future gains as the market re-evaluates Tesla's worth. In essence, for those who believe in Tesla's fundamentals and long-term prospects, the current market conditions present a series of strategic entry points. As always, I hope you appreciate the work put in and have a great Sunday! ;)Longby Lexi_Is_TradingUpdated 21
TSLA Short / Put Options Recap Volume Profile Strategy SHORTTSLA is shown here on a 30-minute chart. Utilizing only a volume profile indicator and stray fundamental related news, TSLA was watched for a short entry in consideration of the antics of its CEO and the price cuts in Europe coupled with the challenges of NIO, XPEV and BYD in China and China's recession I opted to look for a short entry. Analysis, trade entry and trade management and trade close are on the chart in a text box. This idea and recap of TSLA short shows the utility of volume profile analysis in making a very profitable short trade on TSLA which uses a precise entry after confirmation and the same for the exit. As such, this also makes possible very profitable options trades with near-term expirations to optimize the value of thorough analysis before the trade combined with a tight entry and good follow through to make for high profit with less risk. Using TVs alerts and notifications this trade was managed with little screen time making for a high profit yield per hour of effort. Rinse and repeat as they say.....Longby AwesomeAvaniUpdated 111
Tesla Update: ED looks likelyLast night I mentioned it appeared Tesla was in an ED. I then posted what I wanted to see it do if that was the optimal count. Well, today it did exactly as I said it would. This makes it very likely this price action is an ED being carved out to finish the c of (C) of ((2)). We have positive divergence on the larger time frames, but today we made a new low on the 3min MACD. I believe this is just because it was a wave 3 and when we make our next low for v, we should regain that pos div on the 3min chart as well. At that point we will have pos div on ALL time frames if this is in fact how it works out. I know many have been asking so let me as clear as I can be. I expect the bottom of this wave to be around $167-$170. It is possible that price drops to the 1.236 @ $154.94 but that is NOT my primary expectation. There is a good chance I start to buy some Tesla shares tomorrow with a tight stop which would be the first time in at least 2-3 months. If I start to buy some shares, I will probably buy some calls as well. If I do, I will post those trades on here.by TSuthUpdated 101031
fibo supportelon power struggle ? we don't mind to pay him anything below 61.8 fibo is no good by benjaminleeps0
TESLA H4 : TESLA's FUTURE IS BRIGHT SHINY Tesla is looking in the uptrend after getting inside the channels from days. Now Tesla will fly in the highest targets in the coming days of it's shiny time.by Forex_Analysis_WingUpdated 4422
TESLA: OLD IDEAHi guys, this is the main scenario i've been watching for a long time, will we see another time 150$ per share? There are high probabilities the stock continue to fall a little bit again. Let's see if it will plays out like in the past.by yellow_ag2
How to Build Your Portfolio Like a Professional InstitutionInvesting at the institutional level involves a sophisticated blend of strategies, risk management, and performance measurement to achieve optimal returns. One of the cornerstones of creating an institutional-grade portfolio is the use of optimization methods, with particular focus on ratios such as the Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, and Omega Ratio. In this guide, we'll delve into what these ratios are, how they differ, and when to use each to construct a robust institutional-grade portfolio. Understanding the Ratios Sharpe Ratio Definition : The Sharpe Ratio, developed by Nobel laureate William F. Sharpe, measures the performance of an investment compared to a risk-free asset, after adjusting for its risk. It is calculated by subtracting the risk-free rate from the return of the portfolio and dividing by the standard deviation of the portfolio's excess returns. Usefulness : This ratio helps investors understand how much excess return they are receiving for the extra volatility that they endure for holding a riskier asset. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates a more attractive risk-adjusted return. Sortino Ratio Definition : Similar to the Sharpe Ratio, the Sortino Ratio also measures the risk-adjusted return of an investment portfolio. However, it differs by only considering downside volatility (negative returns) rather than the total volatility of returns. Usefulness : This focus on downside risk makes the Sortino Ratio particularly useful for investors who are more concerned about potential losses than the overall volatility. A higher Sortino Ratio indicates that the portfolio is efficiently earning more on its downside risk. Omega Ratio Definition : The Omega Ratio is a more comprehensive measure that divides the returns above a certain threshold (typically the risk-free rate) by the returns below that threshold. It considers all the moments of the distribution of returns, not just the first two moments (mean and variance) like the Sharpe and Sortino ratios. Usefulness : This ratio is especially valuable for portfolios that do not follow a normal distribution of returns, providing a more holistic view of performance across different risk levels. A higher Omega Ratio indicates better performance per unit of risk. How They Differ The primary difference among these ratios lies in how they measure risk and returns: Sharpe Ratio considers the total volatility (standard deviation) of portfolio returns, treating all volatility as equal. Sortino Ratio improves on this by focusing only on downside risk, which is more relevant for investors concerned about losses. Omega Ratio goes further by considering the entire distribution of returns, offering insights into the performance across all levels of risk. Situational Use Sharpe Ratio : Ideal for general comparisons of portfolio performance where the investor is concerned with both upside and downside volatility. It's particularly useful when comparing portfolios or investments with similar risk profiles. This ratio is commonly used by most large financial institutions due to the large sums of money they manage and ensuring portfolio stability is prioritized over larger profits. Sortino Ratio : Best used when the investor's primary concern is with the downside risk rather than total volatility. This ratio is suitable for portfolios where strategies are aimed at minimizing losses rather than capturing every potential upside. This ratio is used by investors who are able to stomach more volatility in their portfolio in return for a higher probability of gains while effectively reducing equity downside. Omega Ratio : Most beneficial for analyzing portfolios with non-normal distributions of returns, such as those including options, leveraged investments, or hedge funds. It provides a nuanced view of performance across different levels of risk, making it suitable for sophisticated investment strategies that aim to manage risk in a more granular manner. Due to the nature of this ratio, only investors who have a larger risk appetite and require aggressive growth should use this ratio as the omega ratio will not necessarily be affected by high portfolio drawdowns as long as the runups are significantly higher. This means a portfolio could experience a 60% drawdown, followed by a 1000% runup, and the Omega Ratio calculation would return a high value as the probability of gains still outweigh the probability of losses. Conclusion Constructing an institutional-grade portfolio requires a nuanced understanding of both the opportunities and risks present in the investment landscape. By leveraging the Sharpe, Sortino, and Omega ratios, investors can better assess the risk-adjusted performance of their portfolios, tailoring their investment strategies to meet specific risk and return objectives. Whether you're managing a conservative fund focused on minimizing losses or a dynamic portfolio seeking to capitalize on market inefficiencies, these ratios provide critical insights that can help optimize your investment approach for superior risk-adjusted returns.Educationby AlgoAlpha227
Price action is always king the moral of the story from my last post is that price action is king and always have a plan before 930am est. If you a real trader aint no way when the market opened this morning you was bullish even tho Friday we pumped hard and all the technical said bullish. We opened right at 184 which is key level for short and couldn't break premarket low. tomorrow tho, we have a clear trendline that got tested at least 3 times on the 1HR even better on the 4HR so i dont expect much from TSLA but i want to see an effort to break that trendline and a push to 187 but if not since we already in a downtrend afterhours, I believe we will test 171 and lowerby Mensky_Jwett114
Bad time for TSLA,but ...When support becomes you resistance. TSLA below trend line, not goodLongby filipkawka223