I've been away refining my method and have returned to deliver a series of important predictions for the coming weeks. The first is a look at the general market using S&P futures. Here is a summary of this chart:
** 2 key levels (above and below):
5163 was the breakdown level from back in April - a retest of this level for resistance is very bearish, but if...
The inflation rate, CPI, and retail sales for the previous month will be released tomorrow. The general market expectations are that the inflation rate advanced higher by 0.4% MoM and 3.4% YoY in April 2024. The CPI is forecasted to come in at 313.75, and retail sales are expected to soar by 0.4% MoM, slowing down from an increase of 0.7% in March 2024. However,...
Our friend Fibonacci is showing up a possible next move for SPX. Actually is ranging exactly on the 1.618 level of the last leg, and usually this level to a retrace till the level 1. There we could probably see a reversal that could lead the price into the resistance area at 5250, but it's probably too early for that
Not even gonna guess how high will it fly. Got higher than we expected already. Smoked bears, gone into hibernation.
Here are the fib levels for your consideration. Notice price approaches the top Bolly Band.
Not a lot of room left to squeeze but it could pump higher.
Not overbought yet. Short when it gets there. Bewary.
The SPX500 has moved into an area where there is overhead resistance. If the short-term momentum holds with the stochastic remaining in its upper quartile, the index should overcome the resistance. However, a swift turnaround in the stochastic will see the overhead resistance holding out.
This video is intended for the users of Stratos Markets Limited, Stratos...
SPX500 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 5,207.14 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 5,150.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 5,282.20 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the...
S&P500 has turned bullish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 58.980, MACD = 2.870, ADX = 28.757) as today it is trading and will most likely close over the 1D MA50 for the third day in a row. Having crossed over the LH, the index has invalidated the bearish sentiment of April and a new Channel up is emerging. If it capitalizes on the 1D MACD Bullish Cross, we expect the...
After a Rally from the 4900 levels back to the 5200 a negative momentum divergence started to form in the chart. Still in the positive side, but this could mean a major correction is forming. Let's remember that the previous correction was 5% from the All Time Highs.
It all depends if the S/R @5200 is breached or not. If not then the ATH will be left behind for...
Around 4800 I said I thought if there's a spike out before a bear move it's likely to go to around 5200.
We've traded a little over that, had a strong sell off from just above it and now we're retesting it.
If the original thesis proves to be correct, 5200 area will be an important high and we'll see a stronger rejection on the retest.
Here's an Elliot wave...
U.S. stock index futures declined on Thursday amid rising Treasury yields, as investors awaited jobless claims data that may clarify the Federal Reserve's interest rate strategy for the coming year.
During a week short on significant catalysts, market momentum has somewhat faltered. Investors are seeking new insights into the monetary policy direction, especially...
The main view here is that the VIX is trading sub $13, likely sub $12 by CPI. So, based on structure, I don't really see a (probable) way that we complete the larger up-move to 5380+ without more accumulation. I think we will go through extremely painful high and tight consolidation and maybe make a breakout attempt in early fall. This idea will be invalidated by...
Equity markets continue to be wrapped into the story of potential rate cuts in the US. The optimism which pushed the S&P 500 toward the level of 5.222 for one more time, was halted on Friday by the much worse than expected Michigan Consumer Sentiment index preliminary for May. Based on these readings, economists are noting a switch in the consumer sentiment in...
S&P500 (SPX) is already going even better than our bottom buy signal last week (May 02, see chart below), having topped the 4H Channel Up, considerably above the 4H MA200:
The index closed yesterday above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since April 11. Last time it did this was on November 03 2023 and after 5 days of consolidation, it broke...
Dear colleagues, I assume that the upward movement in the senior wave “3” will continue, but after a small correction, presumably to the area of 50% Fibonacci level 5117.0 . Then I assume the continuation of the upward movement to the resistance area 5282.3.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
U.S. Index Futures Edge Higher After Weeks of Gains
Futures for major U.S. stock indexes saw a modest increase on Monday, building on several weeks of consecutive gains. Investors are now focusing on key inflation data due later this week, which will help determine the likelihood of interest rate cuts within the year.
The price is anticipated to continue its...
S&P 500 INDEX OANDA:SPX500USD New Forecast
The price has breached the resistance zone and continues its upward trajectory, aiming to reach 5249. We anticipate a minor correction to 5225 before the price ascends further towards 5249, and potentially beyond to 5280. Conversely, a consolidation below the levels of 5224 and 5218 could indicate a downward movement...
