thursday last week there happened a strong sell-off in the bond market.
this caused to spike the usd significantly. most forex traders were surprised by that move. a further sell-off in bond market is to be expected, if the Fed announces to start decreasing the back-buying of bonds.
such a happening was probably started to be priced in by some market makers....
As you can see the trends of the 10 year note and the s&p 500 have a negative correlation
You can look at the 10 yr note when wondering why the overall equities market is making a move in a certain direction When the market is down the bond market often goes up and vice versa.
* N.B. I am refering to the 10 year bond, not the yield. The yield of the bond does...
As you can see the trends of the 10 yr note and the S&p 500 have a negative correlation
You can look at the 10 year note when wondering why the overall equities market is making a move in a certain direction. When the market is down, the bond market often goes up and vice versa.
* N.B. I am refering to the 10 year bond, not the yield. The yield of the bond...
With a stronger dollar surging into the markets, expect anything against the dollar to retrace for a pullback. I am overall bearish on DXY. but for the meantime expect institutions to buy into TLT expecially after this month's Fed decision on Rates.
There are too many variables, FED printed Money, US 10 Years interest and bitcoin.
This is an experimental study no certain output available
If the gray box will be broken, there might be a massive rug pull.
close below the red trend line is also risky.
There is a double top divergence which might force to go lower.
Do the math
Speculation for US Government Bonds:
"If you want to learn how to trade, go down to the beach and watch the waves." - Ed Seykota
After reading this, I went down to the river and watched the waves for a bit, and came up with this model.
If you think of a river, the riverbanks are made of sand and pebbles... Each pebble and grain of sand are underlying...
I have never been in the inflation camp, simply bc of the following 2 reasons
1. Money chases yields, thus any kind of yield US bond offer will be eaten up quickly!
2. Household income/dissasvaving = Profi/Savings. What does that mean?
Helicopter money that one receives for the vast majority of the 95% will be spent.
normally that would be a good thing under...
on eurobond fut we have gap
dow,sp500 and germany dax give sell now
gold show very powerfull + trend,buy
so us bonds will grow to fibo 61%
here (arrowyou must put limit order
for end of march,aprile we advice buy gold andd hold it min 1920 max 2400
Government bonds look poised for a further drop, but have already reached historic lows. Continued dumping of treasuries will benefit ponzi markets such as stocks, bitcoin, metals etc. Should banks chose to buy (and they will eventually) bonds on mass this will lead to a huge sell-off across markets. A continued parabolic dump on bonds will lead to an associated...