The 10-year US Treasury yield is in a monthly uptrend, breaking the long-term downtrend correction trend line. Do you know the meaning? The 10-year rate will still need some time, but it will create a Yearly Bullish pattern and ride well in a long-term uptrend.
the move higher in US10yr yields seems to have reached our fib target level around 3.17% while breaking the major downtrend (blue line) in place since 1982!. for the last couple of weeks the move has been consolidating/correcting and re-testing said downtrend while holding above it. this could be a textbook case of break and re-test before a continuation towards...
Brief look at the macro economic climate, specifically at the US 10-year treasury yields, the US spending power, US large caps & crypto
new paradigm maybe idk probably not so probably long bonds or dont idc but long bonds ok?
It seems that if 10-year treasury spikes higher, the NASDAQ is going lower.
The U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield (US10Y) has been trading within a Bearish Megaphone with Higher Highs and Lower Lows since late 2013. The current 1W RSI pattern resembles that of the price Channel Up that in 1 year led to the most recent Higher High in 2018. As a result, we expect a slow Channel Up towards the end of 2022/ early 2023, which will add to the...
The US 10 year treasury yield has just breached this level of the previous peak. If the debt market continues to sell of and the DXY (also spiking up) then things are really going to get interesting.
his research shows how U.S. and German government bond yields can determine the EUR/USD exchange rate in the short run. After presenting the discussion on fundamental, technical and microstructure approach exchange rate determination models, a conclusion is made that out of the components of fundamental models the interest rates could be the best determinants for...
his research shows how U.S. and German government bond yields can determine the EUR/USD exchange rate in the short run. After presenting the discussion on fundamental, technical and microstructure approach exchange rate determination models, a conclusion is made that out of the components of fundamental models the interest rates could be the best determinants for...
If history is any indicator we shouldn't expect any pivots in monetary policy until 10Y Bond Yields come down to Interest Rates or Interest Rates hike to the former's level. For 10Y Bond Yields to come down we need to see lower inflation or inflationary pressure.
The yield Curve almost Inverted again while Inflation soared. The worst thing for the risk assets like equity is full of participants who now need to face the Fed Fund Rate being hiked up by the Fed, which is currently under more pressure to increase Fed Fund Rate against higher Inflation which is 8.6% released this week. In contrast, the 2-year bond yield goes up...
When moving on a flat surface, the average amount of brake pressure needed is quite predictable by solving the simple equations of physics. But when going uphill and downhill on mountains that one has never before driven on, the average amount of brake pressure means very little, since the acceleration and deceleration required is highly dependent on the local...
The US 10Y yield continues to plough higher. We had been watching the support at 2.73 (end of April low) for a possible break but in the end, this held several attempts, and the market has recovered well. This support was reinforced by the 55-day ma, which lies at 2.78 currently and this has left the market well-placed to tackle the 3.20 May high. In the past I...
We might be about to see the breaking out of yields. If we're not making a top here - yields to moon.
The correlation between the 2Y & gold indicates that when the US2Y peaks, there is a US recession & gold rallies to new highs subsequently after. ** 1 = Peak in US2Y ( 1989 ) did not see a rally in gold because gold was depegged from the USD in the mid 1970's. 2 = Peak in US2Y ( 2000 ) saw a massive rally in gold as investors look for a safe haven from the...
The Dollar's been killing everything this whole year, but I think that's about to change. This week the US 10 YR's could fall away from the high price reached in May and start falling back down towards demand. Every time frame down to the 15 minute chart --there's an ascending triangle forming just inside the supply zone on the 4hr and 15-minute charts--seems to...
Hi All, #10yearyields 10 year debt market We have. a number of scenarios for this top structure at a key level of resistance. So we expect to go up and roll over and the rates by the FED will not stop any time soon. All the best. S.SAri 4 hrly chart Big picture - strong resistance
The U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield (US10Y) has been trading within a short-term Channel Down on the 1D time-frame with the 4H MA100 (red trend-line) as the Resistance and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as the Support. This is turning into a tight squeeze and whatever level breaks first, should give us the direction on the longer term. A break below the 1D MA50...