If this pattern continues to coincide, we should expect a massive downturn across all major indices over the next 5 - 10 years
During the previous week there has not been significant news published for the current state of the US economy, so the Treasury yields remained relatively stable, moving within a short range. The US Labor department revised its data for the inflation in December from 0.3% down to 0.2%, but the US Treasuries did not react much to this news. One of the reasons might...
Uptrend has commenced and we have barely begun. Generally inflation has 3 waves, and we have had our first. Rates are only up from here. Next stop is 10% ish and a 618 retrace. Wishing for 5% to be terminal rate was a joke.
Hi Trader! U.S. Treasury yields climbed on Wednesday after an unexpected rise in UK inflation last month and stronger-than-expected U.S. December retail sales data strengthened the case that interest rate cuts will not be as imminent as the market expects. The UK inflation print, as well as more push-back from European Central Bank officials on Wednesday against...
Hey guys, Crude oil came down recently, which can help inflation to come down as well if energy market will continue to decline. In fact I see nice bearish pattern, so my assumption is that US yeilds and USD can be trading at resistance. In this video I will also look at the chart of the 10 year US yeilds where I see greater chance for a drop to 3% rather than...
US FED officials decided to leave the rates unchanged at the FOMC meeting during the previous week, however, the much better than expected jobs data influenced major Treasury yields move during the previous week. Although the market was expecting to see the figure of 180K, the released figure was almost doubled to 353K. In the eyes of market participants, this...
US 10-year yield spiked on Friday which strengthened the 61.8% Fibo retracement rate of 3.931%. The main resistance rates now sit at 4.057% and 4.115%, the 50- and 200-day MA’s. Given the lower high made last week I suspect the next move will be higher towards the 38.2% Fibo rate of 4.347% so keep your eyes on this week’s US 10-year bond auction.
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it looks like we are about to have fun again, its going to be a slow ride there though.
employment data beat slows down bond bulls. we either role from 4.085 or 4.25
Inflationary times ahead unfortunately. Stocks should have a modest perform. On the other hand commodities like gold could spike.
We're examining the US Treasury Note in anticipation of the Fed meeting. The market seems to have finished a corrective pattern ('a-b-c') and is currently facing resistance from the 55-day and 200-day moving averages. This puts it in a defensive position prior to the meeting. The central bank is widely anticipated to maintain interest rates, but the spotlight will...
Based on the chart analysis - our two options both result in the same location. If we are bullish on rates, then rates will increase and see heavy resistance on the upper side. On the same right, if we drop lower, we will see heavy resistance there as well. My expectation is that rates are the same for the immediate future.
Released US economic data during the previous week were driving the sentiment for the US Treasuries. Released data of Q4 GDP growth rate of 3.3% was better than anticipated by the market`s 2.0%. Also released PCE data show further easing of inflation pressures, where core PCE reached 2.9%, lower from expected 3.0% by the market. This supported market sentiment on...
there is a decent chance we see rates increase into February. There is definitely some suipport in this current area, and i see a move up personally. what do you think?
The U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield (US10Y) has gone a long way since our last 1D analysis 3 months ago (October 21 2023, see chart below), hitting all 3 Targets in the process: This time however it is in a completely different situation as it may be rebounding since the Higher Low at the bottom of the long-term Channel Up on December 28, but is being...
Pretty good calls on the following: (see our profile for more info) The US #Dollar maintains its upward trend. The 10yr #yield is also looking pretty decent. The 30 Yr bottomed before the others and has been leading #interestrates. #OIL broke downtrend and has been looking better.