SP500 buy 4h Hi friends, mates and Trading community so here i want to share my analysis on sp500 With the economic results, the time is right to enter S&P 500 buy deals for the next two weeks Longby CrowtR1
SPX has been following this fractal i laid out in OctoberIf it is to continue doing so, which I believe it will, then the correction is over, and the bottom is in before 5000. on the one hour chart we are seeing bullish divergence on the RSI, which has marked prior bottoms. I wouldn't be surprised if today was bottom.Longby MikeMM115
Descending patterns can be seen in the S&P 500 Trading Setup: There is a Trading Signal to Sell in SPX500 (4h) Traders can open their Sell Trades NOW ⬇️Sell Now or Sell on 5170.0 ⭕️SL @ 5257.0 🔵TP1 @ 4871.0 🔵TP2 @ 4700.0 🔵TP3 @ 4550.0 What are these signals based on? Classical Technical Analysis Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands Risk Warning Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments .Shortby pullbacksignal4
SPX 1W Public Valuation LongThis is what the range looks like to me. Have fun out there if you're still alive trading. Somehow the market keeps traders in the middle. We press on to new highs 4500 first target and 5175 is the second. This Analysis is not space/time oriented only valuation The S&P is a float-weighted index, meaning the market capitalizations of the companies in the index are adjusted by the number of shares available for public trading. Because of its depth and diversity, the S&P 500 is widely considered one of the best gauges of large U.S. stocks, and even the entire equities market.Longby TheCryptoChartWhispererUpdated 4413
MY 2025 planHello guys. I share my thoughts about Sp500. This will be a long-term and painful process. However, since it is an expected scenario for everyone, those who are harmed may be those who did not expect it.Shortby cihatk0
Trade Idea: Long S&P 500 Analysis: Divergence: Divergence between price and indicators on the 1-hour and 4-hour charts suggests a potential reversal or continuation of the trend. In this case, the divergence indicates a bullish bias, supporting the idea of a long position on the S&P 500. Technical Indicators: Buy Stop Order: Placing a buy stop order above the current market price allows traders to enter a long position once the price surpasses a specified level, confirming the continuation of the bullish momentum. Trade Setup: Entry: Set a buy stop order slightly above the current resistance level, which is typically the recent swing high or a key resistance level identified on the 1-hour or 4-hour chart. This ensures entry into the trade once the price breaks out above resistance, validating the bullish momentum. Stop-loss: Place the stop-loss order below the nearest support level or the recent swing low to limit potential losses if the price reverses. Consider setting the stop-loss based on your risk tolerance and the volatility of the S&P 500. Take-profit: Determine the take-profit target based on key resistance levels identified on higher timeframes, Fibonacci extensions, or a favorable risk-reward ratio. Consider trailing your stop-loss to lock in profits as the trade progresses. Risk Management: Position Size: Calculate your position size based on your risk tolerance and the distance between your entry point and stop-loss level, ensuring that you only risk a predetermined percentage of your trading capital per trade. Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or higher to ensure that potential profits outweigh potential losses. Conclusion: With divergence observed on the 1-hour and 4-hour charts indicating a bullish bias, a long position on the S&P 500 with a buy stop order presents a favorable trading opportunity. However, always conduct thorough analysis, practice proper risk management, and remain vigilant for any unexpected market developments.Longby MAAwanUpdated 0
SP500 H4 Projection Price is clearly in a bearish trend. Price also has fair value gab and unmitigated order block zone. So initiate short positions near the order block zone after finding a strong bearish price action structure. Analysis trend is invalid if the price breaks and closes above the trendline. Good Luck. SShortby alirazaibit2
STOCK MARKET LOSSFUNDAMENTAL : When the dollar strengthens against other currencies, it can reduce the value of revenues generated in foreign markets when converted back into dollars. This can negatively impact corporate earnings, leading to downward pressure on stock prices most of the time. currently the dollar is strong because they seem to be the last central bank to cut interest rate. TECHNICAL : Price on the monthly chart just created a higher high and thereby providing a potential reversal by imprinting bearish candles on the weekly which directly is a break of structure on the daily. just a simple view.Shortby Nice_Moses0
SP500 Bulls Rally predictionAfter break of the ,consolodation SP500 will rally up,Longby mildFriend251692
$SPX $SPY Fib retracement off of October lowsSP:SPX AMEX:SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets A look at SPX on the daily timeframe and a few retracement levels off of October lows. Some targets to keep an eye on. Shortby SPYder_QQQueen_Trading6
SPXwe will start the 5th wave soon i believe when the channel is broken we will reach around 4970 hopefully. unless if something happens.Shortby Abu-Eva111
CAPE Fear: Is the Stock Market Headed for a Cliff Dive? A dark cloud hangs over the seemingly sunny skies of the stock market. The culprit? A valuation metric known as the CAPE ratio, which is currently hovering near its third-highest level in history. This has some investors spooked, whispering fears of a potential market plunge. But is this cause for panic, or simply a cautionary sign? The CAPE ratio, or cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio, takes a company's average earnings over the past 10 years into account, rather than just the most recent year. This provides a smoother picture of a company's value and avoids distortions caused by short-term fluctuations. When applied to the entire S&P 500 index, it offers a snapshot of the overall market valuation. Historically, a high CAPE ratio has often preceded significant market downturns. For instance, the dot-com bubble burst of the early 2000s and the 2008 financial crisis were both preceded by elevated CAPE ratios. This correlation has led some to believe that the current high CAPE ratio is a ticking time bomb waiting to explode. However, the story isn't quite so black and white. Here are some factors to consider: • Earnings Growth: A key caveat is that high CAPE ratios can be justified by strong corporate earnings growth. If companies are consistently generating more profits, a higher valuation might be warranted. While future earnings are never guaranteed, a healthy corporate sector with robust profit margins can support a higher CAPE ratio. • Interest Rates: Interest rates play a crucial role in stock valuations. When interest rates are low, as they have been for the past decade, stocks become more attractive compared to bonds and other fixed-income investments. This can drive up valuations, even if underlying fundamentals haven't necessarily strengthened. • Investor Psychology: Investor sentiment can also influence the market. If investors are feeling optimistic and bullish, they may be willing to pay a premium for stocks, pushing valuations higher. Conversely, fear and uncertainty can lead to a sell-off, causing a rapid decline in the CAPE ratio. So, what does this mean for the future of the stock market? • Caution is warranted: A high CAPE ratio is a signal that the market may be overvalued. Investors should be cautious and avoid blindly chasing momentum stocks. Diversification and a focus on long-term fundamentals remain crucial investment strategies. • Not a guaranteed crash: A high CAPE ratio doesn't necessarily predict an imminent market crash. It simply suggests that future returns might be lower than those experienced in recent years. • Focus on quality: Instead of chasing high-flying stocks with inflated valuations, investors should focus on companies with strong fundamentals, a history of consistent earnings growth, and sustainable business models. The current market situation calls for a balanced approach. While a high CAPE ratio is a reason for caution, it shouldn't trigger panic selling. Investors should be mindful of valuation metrics, but also consider factors like earnings growth, interest rates, and overall economic health. By adopting a prudent investment strategy and focusing on quality companies, investors can navigate this period of uncertainty and potentially weather any potential storms. Shortby bryandowningqln0
US500 4H Bearish consolidationMore downside is ahead of us, at least a 10% correction to the downsideShortby GlassICE2
Monitoring 5140Not trading or financial advice. Just monitoring a possible ascending triangle to 5147. Also seeing a bullish cypher set up. Needs to get above resistances. Neutral by moneyflow_trader665
S&P500: First 4H Death Cross since August 14th 2023!S&P500 has formed today a Death Cross on the 4H timeframe after 8 months (August 14th 2023), turning bearish on the 1D technical outlook as well (RSI = 37.122, MACD = -81.00, ADX = 53.782) as yesterday it crossed under the 1D MA50 for the first time since November 3rd 2023. Both are technically very bearish developments and according to the last 4H Death Cross, we remain bearish until we complete at least a -5.87% decline (TP = 4,980). Observe how the symmetry among the two fractals is very strong, both the Death Cross and the 1D MA50 breakout were done around the same Fibonacci levels. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##Shortby InvestingScope1113
S&P 500-is that it?US stock index futures had a positive start yesterday morning. But they fell back sharply soon after the main exchanges opened. Much of the blame has been levelled at Iran’s drone and missile attack on Israel, and on the fears of reprisals from the latter escalating hostilities further. But investors have had a growing sense of unease since the beginning of April. To begin with, investors welcomed the pull-backs as rare opportunities to add to long-side exposure. But some of the daily sell-offs we’ve now seen are large enough to rattle confidence. So far this month, the Dow, S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 have had four days with losses of over 1%. The mid-cap domestically-focused Russell 2000 has had six such days. This rather undermines the argument that everything is ok with the stock market because of the breadth of the rally since October. In fact, while the Dow, S&P and NASDAQ have spent the last four months hitting a succession of record highs (until this month), the Russell has failed to get much closer than 12% below its own record from back in November 2021. Adding to recent worries is the break-up of the ‘Magnificent Seven’, those tech giants which were at the forefront of the market’s advance for so long. Not only has Tesla seen its own ejection from the group due to its dismal performance (it’s down 36% since the beginning of this year alone), but Apple has lost 14% since its all-time high back in December, and NVIDIA has fallen 12% over the last six weeks. On the plus side, the other four members are all within easy reach of their own recent highs, and given the spectacular gains we’ve seen in many of these stocks, a pull-back is well overdue. The question is whether this is a healthy one, or if it is the start of something more serious? We know that looser monetary policy is coming, but we don’t know when. Stronger economic reports, like yesterday’s Retail Sales, make it less likely that the Fed will be hurried into cutting rates. The next challenge is the earnings season, and today brought a clutch of important reports. Chart wise, we’ve already seen the major indices break below some significant levels and the momentum is definitely to the downside. But if the indices can find a floor over the next day or two, some confidence could return and a recovery is possible. Even so, caution is required now, more than ever.by TylerNorcross0
Finishing Off a Leading DiagonalThis is a rough estimate projection of what I'm expecting in the coming weeks for the market. I'll post a more detailed analysis once wave 4 is confirmed. Here is the summary (this is not an EWT analysis, so you;ll have to take my word on it for this count - rather, its a rough forecast for what to expect that uses an EWC to simplify my pivot references): - Expecting current bounce off the last weeks low to continue slightly higher until around 4/9-4/10 (next Tues-Wed). Should reverse around 5239-5282. - After that we will get one more pullback that will last through the end of next week (i.e. more downside through 4/12). This pullback will most likely form a higher low around 5163, but it could make one more lower low: as long as it does not extend below 5112 the ending diagonal structure will still be valid. ** The above will complete wave 4 of the ending diagonal, what will follow is a final wave to new highs by the end of April 2024 (wave 5 of the ending diag). My target range for the final 5 of larger degree C of larger degree (5) is 5300-5400.. That will be the top (this will be a major top!!, meaning that shareholders should be distributing here, not buying more). ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- How I'm playing this (not financial advice): - Waiting until confirmation of wave 4 of ending diagonal to enter SPY May expiry, 520.00 calls - I'll sell half at SPY 530 and unload the remaining if it makes it to 535 by end of Apr. - After I exit long I will load the boat with puts 3-5 months out because the downside will be gruesome. Key points: - don't short yet - be patient to enter long - this is a "heads up," wait for my more detailed post once I get confimation #Pigs git slaaughteredby JerryMandersUpdated 232390
Three waves of correction! But how many percent of this wave?Esteemed analysts and traders, I hope this correspondence finds you in good health and high spirits, prepared to tackle the upcoming week with renewed energy. I extend my best wishes for your continued success in all your business endeavors. It is worth noting that success in trading is largely dependent on the consistent definition and adherence to one's own rules. As a supporter of the Elliott Wave Principle, I consider this methodology an invaluable tool for market analysis. After three years of personal experience, I have developed my approach by combining this principle with meticulous consideration of different market scenarios. I strive to avoid market surprises by maintaining a range of market prospects, which enables me to recognize the market structure forming with 100% accuracy. I am pleased to share my analysis with you, with the caveat that I do not provide buy or sell signals. My perspective on idea analysis is entirely impartial, and if my analysis meets your standards, it may serve as a guide to making an informed decision. For your reference and comparison, I have attached my previous analysis of the same market. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled for ease of comprehension. Nonetheless, familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory would facilitate an understanding of the analytical idea. My study of the Elliott Wave Principle took nearly three years, during which my understanding and experience with this invaluable tool have grown. My progress thus far is a testament to the legacy of Ralph Nelson Eliot, whose genius has provided the foundation for my achievements. May he rest in peace. I express my gratitude for your continued support and kindness, and welcome your comments and critiques. May my analysis be a valuable asset to your business journey, and I remain sincerely yours, Mr. Nobody Shortby mehdi47abbasi798
S&P 500’s Confluent Pullback ZoneWith the S&P pulling back from highs, let's explore where prices might find support. Retreat and Rebound: Analysing S&P 500's Pullback Opportunities It’s finally happened: the S&P 500 has started to retreat after a strong upward trend. Between late October and early November, the US headline index surged by 28%, marking a significant uptrend. However, concerns about persistent inflation have led markets to reconsider expectations for rate cuts. Additionally, Iran’s military strike on Israel has raised fears of a larger conflict, potentially disrupting energy supplies in the region. These factors have collectively slowed the S&P's ascent. After forming a small triple top pattern at the beginning of the month, prices have begun to pull back. Pullbacks are normal in uptrends and can present opportunities to re-enter the market at better risk/reward levels. By analysing various technical indicators, we can identify a confluent pullback zone on the S&P's daily candle chart, offering an estimate of where the pullback might find support. In the chart below, we observe confluence among three key technical indicators: 38.2% Fibonacci retracement: Reflects a significant Fibonacci level from the October-April rally. 100-Day Simple Moving Average: A widely monitored moving average. VWAP Anchored to October lows: Represents the volume-weighted average price of investors who bought before the rally. If prices reach the confluent pullback zone, traders may watch for bullish reversal patterns such as a double bottom, bullish engulfing pattern, or large bullish hammer candle to time their re-entry into the market. S&P 500 Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.01% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. by Capitalcom2
Target hit for SP500My short plan for Sp500 worked out perfectly. I shared my view some days ago and adding shorts while it was going up paid out. Actually i closed all my shorts and i am looking to enter long. I think that a pullback is on the wayLongby CryptoForexGem5
SPX500 , Support levels Correction As you see, market finally has entered to a correction wave. Nobody knows when it will be finished but there are some support levels on it's way. First support is about 5000 and second one about 4800-4820 . I'm looking for finishing correction to get new buying positions.Shortby pardis4