I believe the first breakout impulse of a new trend in the major assets can start during the next week. DXY broke out the long-term trendline and held above, closing at the border of the current sideways channel at 94.00 (even a little above it). If on Monday DXY closes confidently above 94.00, I'll be surely bullish on USD and JPY as that may signal the...
Where we are, and "if-thens" Since the last week, the sentiment hasn't changed too dramatically, looking at the technical picture of DXY, I still see it as a range in a medium-term. Although, DXY crept down, closer to the "orange" line of defence (see the orange long-term trendline). Along with the stabilizing S&P500 index (The stock index has had the classic...
The glimpse of optimism The market got back to the explicit state of the "certain uncertainty". You can see that the H&S pattern in DXY failed to push the USD higher. DXY couldn't even hold above the key 94.00 level for a considerable time. The sentiment shifted from risk aversion to some hints of optimism as S&P500 managed to recover from the correction and...
Hi everyone! How the fall began Over and over again, I notice that the decline of the US market is often provoked by a fall in oil prices. You may argue about the cause and effect in this case, like maybe it was opposite, the Oil might contribute to the decline in stocks. However, look at the charts of S&5500 and Brent Crude Oil. The substantial move started...
Last week I talked about the European currencies, gold and AUD having excellent growth potential. However, the signs of growth could be seen only at the beginning of the week. Shortly afterwards everything began to digest the preceding growth and pretty much turned into the range. What draws my attention is a possible comeback of the USD . After a downtrend, ...
Ok, boring first, as I suspected it would be quite a calm week for USD as it ought to digest its previous downtrend move. The USD has been staying in the range without any hints of what direction the breakout would occur in. So let's wait and see what happens the upcoming week. If there are some decisive moves towards the range boundaries, we can devise a plan...
The past week had strong trends in currencies and metals across the board. As DXY broke down 94.50 long term support area and started gaining a downward momentum, all currencies received a boost against USD since the beginning of the week. Many trend setups emerged during the sharp move. European pairs benefited from the move the most, along with the JPY. GBP,...
I want to give my outlook on the current market conditions, with the focus on the US equities market as it draws a lot of attention these days. During May and the beginning of June, we’ve seen an unprecedented “comeback” from the abyss caused by February-March – arguably the fastest in the history of S&P500 crash recoveries. Astonishingly, the market managed to...
After the stock was sharply falling, the significant volume came out, - that's the first sign of the trend stalling. Then the reversal pattern appeared, which got confirmed by the big white candle that closed above January high (marked as bright green). I was a bit late as I didn't manage to catch the market closing, so I tried to get in at the opening on the...
1)The market has been steadily holding above the upper band of the longterm downtrend channel that started in March 2019(black lines). Until recently the price had been consolidating since 20th of November and finally intends to climb up in a quite decisive manner as you can see today (12/2/2019) - these signs hint on a strong potential of the main trend reversal....