So far the Nasdaq is moving according to the fractal i highlghted in my previous analysis. Of course the small waves are not always identical but so far when we zoom in, we can see it is very similar. At the moment it looks like the H&S is becoming the same as well. So we can expect a small move up during opening and from there on we should start to drop again....
XRP is showing a similar picture as Bitcoin, something that looks like a bearish wedge. It could bring the price back to around 0.45 (bitfinex). On the right it's a USD price chart, showing a similar wedge, but we can also see a possible bigger wedge there as well. Even though that drop to 0.28 only happened on Kraken, it does seems to fit a bigger wedge. However,...
My early followers know i have been waiting for a very long time now for the US markets to finally make their drop and actually even start the bear market. But from my own experience i know these things can be postponed to extremes even. A valuable lesson i learned in my early years of trading, don't fight a market. No need to go long of your view is down, but at...
Looks like oil is moving inside a big bear flag which can bring the price even lower. The longer term can and probably be still be bullish though. I think we will get an answer the coming 24/48 hours or so. Want to see the price get resistance around the 72.50. If we see that and the price turn slowly down again, it might be a good level to scale in. But only with...
We have had some extremely boring weeks since the beginning of September, where we saw mixed signals all over the place. Finally looked like we had a small bullish break out a week ago to the 6700 but that lasted only minutes because the price dropped back to the 6600ish zone. In hindsight, this was a sign that the market did not want to go or was not allowed to...
The triangles keep getting bigger and we keep changing the lines because the market still has not decided which way it wants to go. Which still remains very strange because the volume is still very low. Normally low volume around lows means the price will drop even more, but why are we not dropping? The spreads between the exchanges has been increasing even more...
Lets try to figure out and solve this puzzle together :) In reaction to if we have broken a long term trend line, this was my response. Thought might be worth the read. I don't want to spoil the bullish mood, but you know i am not the one who sells dreams. But IMO that trend line has no meaning. TA is very subjective, I personally don't use trend lines that...
Finally seeing a bull run again since we moved from 6600 to 6700 today :) But before the bulls get too excited the volume is still very low and there is still some selling. Based on this, it shows we are not ready yet to make a big move but it could still be just a matter of time though because the real resistance is probably around 6800/6900. If we don't see big...
Waiting for this bear flag to complete, we should not get above the flag because than the fractal might be invalid! Could be a great RR when waiting for a good entry. I would start out small and increase on the way down after confirmation. The fractal shows an almost identical move.
The price difference went up to 50 points almost again and each time this happened the Bitmex brother eventually won the small battle again and made the price drop again because the volume from the buyers was just too low each time. Repeating the same pattern over and over again. One thing that is bugging me, i just can help thinking there is a game plan here. Why...
From what i can see, actually even the past few days, there has been quite the fight between the Bitmex brothers and the other exchanges. Prices closed in to each other during the day, but the spread was increasing again the past few hours. Don't know what the game plan is, - maybe it's just a simple fight between bears and bulls, - maybe it's what i mentioned a...
Allot of people asked me to update BCH including my own members, so here it goes :) The big rally we had the past week when we broke the wedge happened with allot of volume. Confirming this move up completely. 100% textbook, just like some other alts have shown as well. If this was not crypto and if there was no Bitcoin, i would be 100% confident on this trade....
There is a potential trade here. First glance says this H&S on the left will make the price drop. But i personally think it will fail and we will see a counter move to the upside. This will be a 2 way trade, but for both i will wait for confirmation first before entering a trade. On the right i want to see that resistance break first before going long. On the...
XRP has been very volatile lately since that crazy rally. It was dropping earlier this weak because Bitcoin dragged the whole market down again with a failed rally to 6800. I would say for the ones who are still long since the lows around 0.27 from my original post, i would start to think to take some profits here. Bitcoin is still in a big danger zone, unless it...
Still nothing really happening the past few days, yet another boring weekend where day trading bulls and bears get fooled several times in a row. Something that has become almost standard, at least when we are inside the 6K levels. Volume is very low, it's like 80% of the volume is bot action and the rest is normal price action. It does fit the picture a bit that...
BCH is also looking more bullish lately. It has been a very weak one the past 2 months but things might be turning around now. Big chance it's inside a bull flag now, so we could see a small drop first before going up again. The first green should hold as support to keep this flag valid. The second one is important to keep momentum 50/50 in the mid-term.
In my previous analysis i talked about the spoofing on Btifinex from the 6600/6700 all the way down to 6400ish. I said that usually they do it to push people in to their buy or sell orders, but because they did it from the high to the lows, i was not sure about it. Since we rallied up again to the 6700, i can only think of 2 options here. 1) They did not...
Looks like the perfect wedge to short for Microsoft. But US tech stocks have been crazy lately so it's not without risk, but the risk reward is amazing. If it does make a drop, it could potentially become a big H&S as well, but i think that might be too early. I am still waiting for the US stock market to crash, to start the long term bear market, but Americans...