fosis

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About me Speculating on cryptocoin and CFD markets.
Joined Poland
It's fun to run among elephants, until one of them step on you ;)
Markets Allocation
45 % cryptocurrency 41 % forex 14 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
AUDUSD 18% | 4 USDPLN 18% | 4 MTGOX:BTCUSD 18% | 4 BTCE:BTCUSD 13% | 3
fosis fosis USDPLN, W,
USDPLN: The second try to break 3,70.
8 0 4
USDPLN, W
The second try to break 3,70.

The Polish zloty is pushing again to the support level at 3,70. If this level get broken, next support level is at 3,52. The best entry for this move, will be when price return to the new resistance level. However if bulls push price back, there is a sharp downtrend channel, so there is high probability of third try to break 3,70.

fosis fosis ETHXBT, W, Short ,
ETHXBT: Bearish engulfing pattern
55 0 6
ETHXBT, W Short
Bearish engulfing pattern

The price created Bearish engulfing pattern on the chart. This is reversal signal of the uptrend move. Taking into account situation on lower timeframes, where the bulls are taking action, I'm expecting the ETHXBT to return above level 23,6% of drawn fibonnacci retracement. When this occurs, it will be the best moment to open short position. Moreover there is ...

fosis fosis ETHEUR, D, Long ,
ETHEUR: The Bulls defend EMA 50 level
162 0 5
ETHEUR, D Long
The Bulls defend EMA 50 level

As you can see on the chart, the bulls have pushed price above EMA 50 line. The volume on those two candles is very high, which is good indicator of coming correction of this downward move. I'm expecting this correction to hit fibonacci retracement level between 76,4% and 85,4%, than the further downward move with new lows.

fosis fosis BTCUSD, 240, Long ,
BTCUSD: Bullish engulfing pattern on short term
81 0 3
BTCUSD, 240 Long
Bullish engulfing pattern on short term

Very often the downward move on cryptocurrencies is very steep. To catch a moment of reversal I'm using fibonacci retracementool. In moves like this I'm looking for a range between 76,4% and 85,4%. This time the price hit 85,4% and the 4h candle closed above 76,4%. Moreover let's look at Volume of this candle, it's a lot above avereage. This is a good signal ...

fosis fosis ETHEUR, D, Short ,
ETHEUR: Resistance at the upper side of the rising channel
129 1 7
ETHEUR, D Short
Resistance at the upper side of the rising channel

The price have hit today resistance of the uptrend channel. In my opinion, there won't be enough bulls to break 19,5 EUR. I expect the correction of this rise, which will probably end at 14,60 EUR (38,2% fibo level)and if BTC price fall down, than the 11,5 - 12,2 EUR level is expected (61,8%). The RSI level is record high (overbought). Looking back we can see ...

fosis fosis BTCUSD, M,
BTCUSD: The incoming trend reversal.
288 0 6
BTCUSD, M
The incoming trend reversal.

Bulls and bears have created the doji candle on the monthly chart. The doji candle after long uptrend might foreshadow trend reversal. Moreover this doji candle is after a long white candle. This means there is imbalance on the market. The market is "tired". The bulls might not have enough strenght to keep uptrend. The maximum of the upper shadow is the ...

fosis fosis BTCUSD, D, Short ,
BTCUSD: Long term correction after halving?
852 0 6
BTCUSD, D Short
Long term correction after halving?

It seems that the price hit the optimal level to begin sell off. The buying back phase will start at 460 level, to form accumulation range between 480 and 510. In my opinion we will have lot of selling just before BTC halving and than, after it the price will bounce to the 680 area again. As usually, we will see the triangle forming. However I don't think that we ...

fosis fosis US30, W, Short ,
US30: Slaughter of the bears
44 0 0
US30, W Short
Slaughter of the bears

Today I've checked traders dashboard for my broker. 95% users are in the short position already. They will be probably slaughtered by further up-move. That's why it's good to use that. I'll try to short this, when the price hit 18700 area.

fosis fosis AUDUSD, 240, Short ,
AUDUSD: Shooting Star
49 0 0
AUDUSD, 240 Short
Shooting Star

On the 4h chart of AUDUSD you can see good short opportunity. The Shooting Star is the Price Action signal for short trade. The target is 0.77000.

fosis fosis AUDUSD, 240, Short ,
AUDUSD: Possibility of fake breakout after RBA decision.
34 0 0
AUDUSD, 240 Short
Possibility of fake breakout after RBA decision.

The price has return to the new support line I drew, crossing triangle resistance line (blue). I was hoping that this line will stand, but it hasn't. So the main point of this chart for me is this big white bullish candle. It has long lower shadow. What caused it? The RBA interest rate decision to stay at the same level as earlier (2%). Before announcing this, ...

fosis fosis USDPLN, 240, Long ,
USDPLN: Bullish support rejection candle
52 0 0
USDPLN, 240 Long
Bullish support rejection candle

Since correction reached my target, I was looking for a place to enter a long position on USD/PLN. On the chart the price rejected support and formed bullish signal candle. My target for the long position is 3,99 However today we have macroeconomic data for Poland, the CPI (Consumer Price Index) and I'll try to adjust analyse after it.

fosis fosis XAUUSD, 240, Long ,
XAUUSD: Possible end of correction and beginning of uptrend continuation
53 0 1
XAUUSD, 240 Long
Possible end of correction and beginning of uptrend continuation

The price hit 1137. It's 61,80% fibonacci retracement level. In theory that should point out to the end of correction. Moreover there is Price Action formation called, Bullish Piercing. It's a trend reversal signal. https://www.tradingview.com/x/geDJW2iy/ On the 1h chart, there is RSI bullish divergence. https://www.tradingview.com/x/WUf0P4BI/ My main TP ...

fosis fosis USDPLN, 60, Short ,
USDPLN: Small Correction. Beartrap.
14 0 0
USDPLN, 60 Short
Small Correction. Beartrap.

The bears took initiative on the white candle on the chart with large volume. There wasn't follow up by bulls after it, so there was much more selling. The buyers try to fight today, but they lost (with the help of macroeconomic data). Target of this short is 3.85 I don't think it will go lower, because of new government politics, because of that this ...

fosis fosis USDPLN, 240, Long ,
USDPLN: Discounting of Polish parliament elections.
23 0 1
USDPLN, 240 Long
Discounting of Polish parliament elections.

Discounting of elections began 10 days before them. On the chart we can see, that Polish currency start to quickly depreciate against Dollar. Pretty much everyone knew the main opposition of Civic Platform (PO), the Law and Justice (PiS) will win. The one of the major unknows was, whether they will have majority of parliament seats to rule alone. After the ...

fosis fosis AUDUSD, 240, Short ,
AUDUSD: End of short-term bullish trend?
27 0 1
AUDUSD, 240 Short
End of short-term bullish trend?

It seems that it's the end of bullish correction and continuation of bearish long-term trend. However, there are some main support point. The first one is around 0.71500 - 0.71750. This works as the base of the triangle. If price cross this line, this would be a good point to open short positions after it becomes resistance line. The next one is at 0.70000 and ...

fosis fosis XAUUSD, 240, Short ,
XAUUSD: Correction incoming
58 0 1
XAUUSD, 240 Short
Correction incoming

After two successful defences the gold will break the trend line and will do correction.

fosis fosis BTCUSD, W, Long ,
BTCUSD: Uptrend breaktout from flag?
348 2 8
BTCUSD, W Long
Uptrend breaktout from flag?

So today, I've modified my other chart with flag formation and to my surprise I see very possible breakout coming. The EMA 50 (The light blue line) works very often as resistance (blue arrows)/support (orange arrows) line in history of BTC. We can see that this EMA has been touch on 30.09.2013, than worked as support line for weeks in April and May 2014. It has ...

fosis fosis AUDUSD, 60, Short ,
AUDUSD: Bearish divergence on RSI + shooting star
36 0 1
AUDUSD, 60 Short
Bearish divergence on RSI + shooting star

https://www.tradingview.com/x/xLCkD4iB/ Bearish Divergence on RSI (1h chart) + shooting star

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