30 year bonds as well as 10 year bonds have been under pressure. It's overshot, and about to abate imo. If you look at the ZB/ZN ratio, you can see, (much better) the very well defined support bounce.
When the Canadian dollar breaks out, it will be dragged lower by the cross currency effect. Nations that first started their easing cycle was the U.S and the Great Britain, they will probabilistically be the first to stop or pause. Canada is turning less competitive, and this is happening very fast imo. A longer term view.
The widely used S&P vs 87 analog. Now, another element of interest is: The correlation with 1987 is now running at 92% on a daily and 91% on a weekly. The damage is very clear and very visible. This scenario would lead to another buy imo
"Blue Skies index" Is still not pointing towards any longer term bearishness. It will in due time.. It will :) Patience
This is the main Analog for copper, through the entire 2013, this analog has been very constructive especially with highs and lows. And increasing as of late. Remeber.. Many are dogmatic with their view on Copper, AUD and China "growth". Certain dynamics like this combined will have a dampening effect on copper to the upside and the downside as well.
Testing out deriving likely probablilties of price action based on the 91 HG Analog
Waiting to pile in shorting this stock. Short term you can buy pullbacks if you are interested. New highs in the stock and the indicies.
Running out of steam to the downside. has been following the 2003 A6/N6 spread very well, weekly RSI oversold turning back up. A lower low would be tremendously bullish
This analog has the highest percentage correlation. Other than the 1987 analog, (90% average). As of begining of month it's running at 89% on average. 91% on a Daily 84% on a Weekly
Neutral options play, into switchin Long, levering up early 2014
Been following this analog since mid 2012. I am long since a while back in options since it's the best risk reward in this broken stock. Yes, it is broken..
I have been playing AAPL like ZS since around mid 2012, to mark the top. It is lagging. so you have to stretch it. But it's very contructive. What this means is that people will be playing this trough the options market.
If there ever was such a thing as seasonality for BTCUSD in summer after a big bubble burst. Then the 2011 price action could prove to be constructive.
Dows jones vs. 1927. nice bottoms and highs caught. If you take seasonality and presidential cycle seasonalty. You'll find that the case can be bullish as expressed here.