makro_mies

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Joined makro_mies
Macroeconomics, Financial Markets & Investing
Markets Allocation
18 % forex 18 % stocks 64 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
SPX 18% | 2 EURUSD 9% | 1 AUDUSD 9% | 1 XLU 9% | 1
makro_mies makro_mies AMZN, D, Long ,
AMZN: Amzn long
117 0 5
AMZN, D Long
Amzn long

20dma crossing 50dma soon. Triangle most likely to break upside. Expecting retail sector to bounce back again. https://www.tradingview.com/x/A6OIDEWn/

makro_mies makro_mies HP, 240,
HP: Helmerich & Payne in an interesting situation
166 0 10
HP, 240
Helmerich & Payne in an interesting situation

Helmerich & Payne, Inc. is a contract drilling company headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma, and engaged primarily in the drilling of oil and gas wells for exploration and production companies. The Company's stock price moves basically in tandem with the oil rig count. It looks like it's forming inverse head & shoulders formation. This would imply that oil rig count ...

makro_mies makro_mies BUND, D,
BUND: EURO-BUND & Falling wedge
135 0 6
BUND, D
EURO-BUND & Falling wedge

Buy in the case that it breaks out

makro_mies makro_mies SPX500, D, Long ,
SPX500: Buying stawks
185 0 3
SPX500, D Long
Buying stawks

Trump will do everything he can to boost U.S economy. Couple of other things that support rising equity prices: 1. Touch of yearly moving avearge (red one) 2. We are on the edge of weekly bb (20,2) https://www.tradingview.com/x/RPw4GIBp/ 3. Falling dollar (rising oil). Bear flag forming. Trump gonna do fiscal spending. https://www.tradingview.com/x/k6xNRc9H/ 4. ...

makro_mies makro_mies USOIL, D, Long ,
USOIL: Long oil
167 2 1
USOIL, D Long
Long oil

Touched 0.618 fib (+200-daily moving average) and it is very much overextended in bb(20,2) perspective. Economic fundamentals are improving (tough slowly) around the world (especially in the China, look e.g. the pmi). I think that the oil has overreacted. Falling dollar (+t.bonds) is telling me truth. Crude will move to the opposite direction (i.e. upwards).

makro_mies makro_mies SPX500, 15, Long ,
SPX500: SPX reached it's 5w ATR already today...
150 0 1
SPX500, 15 Long
SPX reached it's 5w ATR already today...

Odds are that we are going to visit upstairs. Long this week. Next week can be volatile, because of elections. SPX reached it's 5w ATR today already (~40pts). Longing to the upper resistance.

makro_mies makro_mies AUDUSD, D,
AUDUSD: AUD/USD offers value upside with positive carry
118 0 1
AUDUSD, D
AUD/USD offers value upside with positive carry

Why AUD/USD seems to be bullish: - AUD/USD has stayed above 20-monthly moving average 4 months first time since 2012. - Since 2016 it has been trending higher making higher lows. It's currently sitting on 20-weekly moving average. - 200-daily moving average has turned upwards - Commodities pressure is easing - DXY standing at 2 st dev's above it's historical ...

makro_mies makro_mies TNX, D,
TNX: Inflation really here?
71 0 2
TNX, D
Inflation really here?

TNX has been rising very rapidly. Now it's above 200-daily moving average. RSI is signaling overbought, but one must remember that it can stay overbought for some time. Maybe investors are realizing something? https://twitter.com/makro_mies/status/792107584463536128 https://www.tradingview.com/x/AZvagpAl/

makro_mies makro_mies GER30*EURUSD, D,
GER30*EURUSD: DAX is trending still inside the downward channel
192 0 2
GER30*EURUSD, D
DAX is trending still inside the downward channel

I think it's important to observe DAX performance in the real (dollar) terms. That basically means we have to look GER30*EURUSD. It made it's top long before compared to nominal terms (GER30) @ 12386 in 2015-04-06. Since that day it has been trending lower, but are things starting to change? The ratio tells you that has the price appreciation been faster than ...

makro_mies makro_mies XLU/XLY, W,
XLU/XLY: Defensive sector vs. Cyclical Sector
96 0 1
XLU/XLY, W
Defensive sector vs. Cyclical Sector

As long as utilities' performance is weaker against cyclical, we can expect bull market to continue - i.e. expect the ratio (price) to stay inside the channel. If the ratio (price) breaks the channel above, asset managers are moving more aggressively to defensive stocks, which means that they are anticipating that the economy is slowing significantly - i.e. the ...

makro_mies makro_mies EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: eurodollar ready to bounce?
135 0 2
EURUSD, D Long
eurodollar ready to bounce?

testing, testing....

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