perlboy

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Joined Australia stuart_low
Markets Allocation
37 % cryptocurrency 7 % forex 57 % other
Top Mentioned Symbols
XAGUSD 22% | 7 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 19% | 6 XAUUSD 16% | 5 BITFINEX:BTCUSD 12% | 4
perlboy perlboy IOTUSD, 240, Long ,
IOTUSD: #IOTUSD Long term Bull. Short term decisions.
497 1 6
IOTUSD, 240 Long
#IOTUSD Long term Bull. Short term decisions.

IOT appears to have one of the most unique implementations within the crypto space with a completely different approach to chain management (the Tangle). From a technical standpoint I can see long term success in this along with the removal of "mining" requirement (mining is done on submission to the chain, each client does 2 computations for 1 instruction). This ...

perlboy perlboy BTCUSD, 240,
BTCUSD: Looks like we are sitting on EMA200 for 4hr..
74 0 4
BTCUSD, 240
Looks like we are sitting on EMA200 for 4hr..

Just a quick post on current view...

perlboy perlboy BTCUSD, 30,
BTCUSD: Same chart but on the 30
50 0 4
BTCUSD, 30
Same chart but on the 30

Same chart as my 4hr chart but the 30 looks to have marked a glass ceiling that will be difficult to push through with ichi bearing down.

perlboy perlboy BTCUSD, 240, Short ,
BTCUSD: EMA200 now acts as resistance
196 0 5
BTCUSD, 240 Short
EMA200 now acts as resistance

I should stress, this is not a trade I'm executing! Now that I've said that, after a precipitous decline Bitcoin finally experienced a dead cat bounce of note. After all the technical damage done it seems unlikely it will suddenly rally hard from here and volumes on this bounce seem to support this. As I said before, I'm not opening this trade but rather waiting ...

perlboy perlboy XAGUSD, 240, Short ,
XAGUSD: Silver looks like it has had a failed breakout attempt
21 0 2
XAGUSD, 240 Short
Silver looks like it has had a failed breakout attempt

Descending wedge still appears to be in play. Silver attempted to break out from it today but didn't manage to do so with conviction.

perlboy perlboy SPX500USD, 240, Short ,
SPX500USD: Did $SPX500USD just hit it's final top?
64 0 2
SPX500USD, 240 Short
Did $SPX500USD just hit it's final top?

Rising wedge appeared after the election of Trump, technically has a bit more to complete but just it the peak ~2193 then promptly did a 100% engulfing candle on the 30min chart. Short now.

perlboy perlboy XAGUSD, W, Short ,
XAGUSD: #XAGUSD Time for Retrace
43 0 2
XAGUSD, W Short
#XAGUSD Time for Retrace

I think after a healthy rally we have now hit the EMA200 on the Weekly and are due for a retrace. If we blast through this resistance next stop is in the 20s.

perlboy perlboy XAGUSD, 240,
XAGUSD: Bullish Pennant on XAGUSD
30 0 3
XAGUSD, 240
Bullish Pennant on XAGUSD

After Brexit we saw a solid jump along with #XAGUSD. The aftermath has resulted in what looks like a bullish flag for continuation. I longed this heavily just a few hours prior to Brexit becoming a reality (was privileged with a suitable timezone as early results came in) with an entry around 17.5 but for now I'm holding my trade open (and a similar one on ...

perlboy perlboy BTCUSD, 240, Long ,
BTCUSD: BTCUSD in Ascending wedge
72 0 2
BTCUSD, 240 Long
BTCUSD in Ascending wedge

Looks like Bitcoin is in an ascending wedge which will top out just above $800. Correction after this will bring it down to support which is currently hovering between 680-700. Long through to $800 then looking to rebuy at 700.

perlboy perlboy XAGUSD, D, Long ,
XAGUSD: XAGUSD LOOKS TO BE FORMING A BULLISH PENANT
50 0 2
XAGUSD, D Long
XAGUSD LOOKS TO BE FORMING A BULLISH PENANT

Not a perfect form but not far off. Risk reward is sitting @ +3. Entering trade in stages between 16.8 -> 17.1, initial target at 19.5. Reposting without HullMA.

perlboy perlboy XAGUSD, 240, Short ,
XAGUSD: XAGUSD short term reversal due
52 6 1
XAGUSD, 240 Short
XAGUSD short term reversal due

Nice little run up, rode some of it but got skittish at $17, pin bar being printed on the 4hr, suspect we do a healthy retrace here to continue the run up

perlboy perlboy LTCCNY, W,
LTCCNY: Litecoin eats Bears Alive
42 0 2
LTCCNY, W
Litecoin eats Bears Alive

Pretty incredible run but not without precedent. Last time we got to USD$9 (we're now at USD$7.5) Litecoin spiked to $50. Many are calling for a retrace, maybe they are right, especially since Bitcoin appears to be hobbled by various political issues in the Dev team combined with a maturity of market that controls the bubble side (ie. it's much more capitalised). ...

perlboy perlboy XAUUSD, 60, Long ,
XAUUSD: XAUUSD - Long after a hammering in the 1250s
46 0 0
XAUUSD, 60 Long
XAUUSD - Long after a hammering in the 1250s

Gold took a hammering in the 1250s and seems to have held so far, long from here, stop @ 1253

perlboy perlboy USOIL, 60, Short ,
USOIL: Crude WTI - Short to 38.2% retrace
36 0 1
USOIL, 60 Short
Crude WTI - Short to 38.2% retrace

Crude also painted a pinbar on 4hr after a pretty large rally it is now facing resistance on 4 hour EMA's. Short to 51.1 but suspect it could go a whole lot further (just not interested in crazy risk)

perlboy perlboy AUDUSD, 60, Short ,
AUDUSD: AUDUSD - Short to 61.8% fib retrace
22 0 0
AUDUSD, 60 Short
AUDUSD - Short to 61.8% fib retrace

AUD gained everything it lost of interest rate announcement and in doing so painted a big pinbar on the 4 hour. Short down to 77.1

perlboy perlboy XAUUSD, W, Long ,
XAUUSD: Gold: Short term Short, Long term Long
62 0 0
XAUUSD, W Long
Gold: Short term Short, Long term Long

Looking at a longer term Gold pattern we see Gold has broken through the descending triangle started in 2013. It then rallied up to Kumo & 23.6% Fib Resistance before pulling back. In the short run Williamson21MA and CCI is looking a bit exhausted however there are significant Bullish tendencies in both Willy, RSI and PPO readings. Therefore I think a minor ...

perlboy perlboy XAUUSD, W,
XAUUSD: Gold Weekly
39 0 1
XAUUSD, W
Gold Weekly

Down for a bit but seems like a good time for a reversal.

perlboy perlboy XAUUSD, D, Short ,
XAUUSD: Time for Gold to Retrace
50 0 0
XAUUSD, D Short
Time for Gold to Retrace

Hit 1310 multiple times, now it looks like we're at least going to get some retrace. Cloud support sits at 1190 with 1280 likely to provide some support. Short from here for now.

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