LoneWolfCapital

A Change In Sentiment - GBP/USD

Long
FX:GBPUSD   British Pound / U.S. Dollar
Technical View:

GBP/USD has broken out of a 6 month descending channel on the weekly chart to the upside. The initial bullish surge occurred at the key psychological level of 1.5 forming a triple bottom formation.

This suggests that the bearish pressure is diminishing and that we may see an established bullish reversal. A retest of the backside of the channel and 1.52 as new support will be confirmation of a change in sentiment.

Fundamental Picture:

1. Expectations for a timely Fed Rate-Hike are diminishing on dovish Yellen.

2, Expectations remain strong for a U.K Rate Hike

3. Governor Mark Carney retains Hawkish Tone

4. UK GDP within expectations for Q4 at 0.5%

5. U.S. GDP expanded by 2.2% in the fourth quarter of 2014, below initial estimates for a growth rate of 2.6% but above expectations for 2.1%.

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