19 HK: Potential xABCD formation for -22% downside

Swire Pacific is the holding company for a HK property developer, Cathay Pacific the airline and Swire Offshore amongst other things. Since its last results announcement, HK property prices, the Chinese economy and oil prices have all cratered. Not exactly a rosy picture for the grand old Hong. Price action is potentially completing a Gartley pattern into a massive weekly downtrend line of a descending triangle which suggest lower demand for the stock on each rally. If this turns out to be a reversal (240M MACD has started to cross over), look for the stock to retest the bottom of the descending triangle at $70 which implies a -22% downside potential with well defined stop levels.


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