1. stock has gone parabolic and these typically have aggressive corrections
2. robintrack shows sentiment is extremely optimistic so would like to make a contrarian bet
3. assuming a SZ 84-88 so taking a $4 risk and executing the trade via November PUTS. 80 strike
Good analysis tho but you have to take quantitive easing and other factors into consideration.
Nice analysis tho, keep up the good work!