BABA case study: Resolution of 200 days correction
Today we want to share our conclusions about the resolution of huge corrective patterns on BABA. One of the key aspects of Technical Analysis is to take advantage of anomalies in historical data; in other words, take advantage of situations that present some degree of repetitiveness to create a probabilistic scenario in our favor, where risking our money is worth.
In this case, we observe that after 200 days of correction, there is a specific sequence for bullish continuation movements.
1)Breakout of the structure
2)Clear Throwback (retest of broken structure) another characteristic is that the correction is very steep
3)The breakout of that correction represents a great opportunity in terms of risk-reward ratio if we set our stop loss below that pattern
Past behavior is no guarantee of future behavior, and bla bla bla.... That's absolutely true; however, if you are not in favor of the Efficient Market Hypothesis, you can see that there are subtle patterns in price data that we can take advantage of, not by saying, "This or that will happen, but by trying to get exposure to a specific pattern several times (taking the same trade 10 times), that way we can start observing an edge.
So, final conclusion in this case study: Now, we will comfortably sit in our chairs, and we will not do anything until the filter we have defined happens. If that's the case, we know exactly how we will trade. If the filter does not happen, guest what... We don't trade; there are more than 2000 stocks that you can wait for a BEAUTIFUL and PREMIUM scenario.
Thanks for reading!
In this case, we observe that after 200 days of correction, there is a specific sequence for bullish continuation movements.
1)Breakout of the structure
2)Clear Throwback (retest of broken structure) another characteristic is that the correction is very steep
3)The breakout of that correction represents a great opportunity in terms of risk-reward ratio if we set our stop loss below that pattern
Past behavior is no guarantee of future behavior, and bla bla bla.... That's absolutely true; however, if you are not in favor of the Efficient Market Hypothesis, you can see that there are subtle patterns in price data that we can take advantage of, not by saying, "This or that will happen, but by trying to get exposure to a specific pattern several times (taking the same trade 10 times), that way we can start observing an edge.
So, final conclusion in this case study: Now, we will comfortably sit in our chairs, and we will not do anything until the filter we have defined happens. If that's the case, we know exactly how we will trade. If the filter does not happen, guest what... We don't trade; there are more than 2000 stocks that you can wait for a BEAUTIFUL and PREMIUM scenario.
Thanks for reading!
Patience, patience, and more patience.