BITCOIN Why $81000 may be more realistic than you think!

We've been talking about the possibility of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) seeing $81000 for a while now but this pattern on the 1W time-frame shows for the first time more clearly why this is a more realistic than ever!

As you can see, by applying the Fibonacci Channel on the last 2 Cycles, we can see that Bitcoin just broke on the current 1W candle the 0.382 Fibonacci level (yellow line) for the first time since June 06 2022. In cyclical terms this is a very important development as during the previous Cycle, every time BTC broke above the 0.382 Fib (2 times), it always extended and hit the 0.5 Fib too (blue). In fact the time it took on those 2 cases to reach the 0.5 Fib after the price departed from the 0.236 Fib (green) was 7 weeks (49 days) and 8 weeks (56 days).

As a result, we can estimate a max time (8 weeks) of hitting the 0.5 Fib on the week of April 01 2024. If done on exactly that week, then 81k will be delivered. If earlier obviously we are looking within the 78-81k range.

The 1W CCI indicator (green circles) suggests that we might be closer to a November 2020 fractal than May - June 2019 (which was of course caused by the Libra euphoria). This indicates that currently we might be at the very start of this Cycle's most aggressive part, the Parabolic Rally.

But what do you think? Is 81k as close as this chart suggests? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!


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