CHFJPY Bearish long-term within a Channel Down.

The CHFJPY pair finally hit our 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) sell target as suggested by the previous analysis two months ago (November 07):


By doing so, it has turned bearish long-term by forming a Channel Down pattern. There is an internal Lower Highs trend-line involved (dotted) and if broken (along with the 0.236 Fibonacci), we expect the price to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and seek direction on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which has been its long-term Support during the October 08 2021 - November 11 2022 uptrend. A rejection there maintains the downtrend and targets the bottom of the Channel Down and 1W MA50 (red trend-line).

A break above the Channel Down invalidates the pattern. A break below the Higher Lows trend-line (since the September 20 2021 Low) targets the lower Fibs long-term (0.5 through 0.786) in succession, which as you see formed strong pressure zones during the uptrend.


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