NATURAL GAS Head & Shoulders of Donbas annexation vs 2014 Crimea

This is Natural Gas on the 1D time-frame. The recent acts of war by Russia in Ukraine and the annexation of the Donbas region has created a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal sequence forming market tops. This is similar to some extent with the pattern formed in February - March 2014 when Russia again committed acts of war against Ukraine by annexing the Crimea region.

In both cases the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) was is Support. In March 2014, the situation was de-escalated by a Channel Down, following the peak (head) of the formation. At the moment NG may be forming a similar Channel Down. Could this be a sign of de-escalation and follow up of lower prices in the coming months for Natural Gas?


P.S. Always keep in mind Natural Gas' multi-year cyclical behavior as I accurately displayed on the following chart:





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