NZDUSD Channel Up trading with 1D MA200 in focus.

It has been almost two months since we looked into the NZDUSD pair. Last time the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) helped us accurately take a bottom buy and then sell near the expected top:


Right now we are booking the profit on the sell as a new short-term pattern has emerged. The price is approaching the bottom of the Channel Up since the December 13 High. The 1D MA200 is right below it, ready to support. Our plan is to buy near the bottom and target the 0.65340 High. If the price closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA200, then we will sell and target primarily the 0.5 Fibonacci (0.60300) and under conditions which we will analyze when the time comes, the 0.618 Fib (0.59100). We are only willing to buy for the long-term if the price breaks above the Megaphone's Lower Highs.

Whatever the pattern turns out to be, the most efficient medium-term buy will be when the 1D RSI dips below the oversold barrier (24.00).


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