Solana is in the news of late due to the worry that FTX will have to sell their holdings in SOL and Solana based altcoins.
Solana tokens account for $128m out of the $1.5b in assets on the Solana network held by FTX. The fear is that a dump of these coins would be detrimental to the altcoins price.
For me the chart is simple. When we look at the 1D chart there is a clear mini range we're working with. Large wicks at the high and low of the range, at the midpoint there is a small bearish FVG just above. I believe this is where we will trade for the remainder of this year.
Now that we're at the 0.25 line and looking to react off it, I could see a retest of the midpoint, and if a SFP after tagging the FVG I would look to target the demand zone for a long term hold.
For the next bullrun Solana is definitely a large cap alt that is set up to be one of the top gainers. With an ATH of $260, we are already at a great long term hold entry point. However, the best spot buy is in the demand zone. A sweep and reclaim would be great for the bull run to come.
The supply zone may be difficult to fill in the next few months, given the FTX news, general market/macro sentiment and recession fears. I would expect a retest to come in Q1 of 2024. If we don't tag the demand zone and move into the supply zone that would be a good short opportunity in my mind.
Overall, this is a complicated matter. The token itself has huge potential to reach its ATH in the coming years, but Solana must weather this storm successfully in order to get the chance to reach its potential. Buying blood and being patient will be rewarding.
Solana tokens account for $128m out of the $1.5b in assets on the Solana network held by FTX. The fear is that a dump of these coins would be detrimental to the altcoins price.
For me the chart is simple. When we look at the 1D chart there is a clear mini range we're working with. Large wicks at the high and low of the range, at the midpoint there is a small bearish FVG just above. I believe this is where we will trade for the remainder of this year.
Now that we're at the 0.25 line and looking to react off it, I could see a retest of the midpoint, and if a SFP after tagging the FVG I would look to target the demand zone for a long term hold.
For the next bullrun Solana is definitely a large cap alt that is set up to be one of the top gainers. With an ATH of $260, we are already at a great long term hold entry point. However, the best spot buy is in the demand zone. A sweep and reclaim would be great for the bull run to come.
The supply zone may be difficult to fill in the next few months, given the FTX news, general market/macro sentiment and recession fears. I would expect a retest to come in Q1 of 2024. If we don't tag the demand zone and move into the supply zone that would be a good short opportunity in my mind.
Overall, this is a complicated matter. The token itself has huge potential to reach its ATH in the coming years, but Solana must weather this storm successfully in order to get the chance to reach its potential. Buying blood and being patient will be rewarding.
Comment:
After reacting off the 0.25 line, we're heading back to the midpoint of the mini range. We'll see if the rest of the plan plays out.
Trade closed: target reached:
Now that we've reclaimed the midpoint of the range, I am keeping an eye on what happens next.
As shown in the chart we have a potential short trigger if the midpoint is lost and confirmed to be new resistance, however if the midpoint holds as support then we can look to target the range high towards the end of the year.
I think this plan completely depends on BTC, If BTC continues its strength then SOL will continue, if BTC turns and targets the yearly open so will SOL. Should this happen it would be a good time to go spot long for the next few years spanning the upcoming bullrun.
As shown in the chart we have a potential short trigger if the midpoint is lost and confirmed to be new resistance, however if the midpoint holds as support then we can look to target the range high towards the end of the year.
I think this plan completely depends on BTC, If BTC continues its strength then SOL will continue, if BTC turns and targets the yearly open so will SOL. Should this happen it would be a good time to go spot long for the next few years spanning the upcoming bullrun.
