CucabarraTrading

S&P500 SPX week 34 preview and trading idea

SP:SPX   S&P 500 Index
Yesterday (Monday 23 Aug), the market quickly recovered the last week correction and is trying to test the $4500 level. The S&P 500 E-mini Futures tested the $4492 level around 08:00 AM (London Time, GMT+1).

The previous correction lasted about 5 days and it took about 5 days to recover. This correction, as well as the recovery, lasted both 2 days. After the breakout of the previous resistance level, we expect a trading range of around 66 points ($4455 – $4520).

The focus of the week is on the Federal Reserve policymakers’ virtual appearance at the bank’s annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium (Thursday – Saturday). Fed Chair Powell will speak on Friday. This event, as well as other factors such as the “New Home Sales”, “Core Durable Good Orders”, “Crude Oil Inventories”, “GDP Q2”, “Initial Jobless Claims”, etc. will add volatility to the week.

This week’s trading idea is to sell the 4535/4540 vertical call spread with expiration 27 Aug 2021 for a credit around $0.55 against a $5 collateral.
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