OH MY $SPY !! Here is my full analysis - Lots to Review!
$SPY has me on the edge of my chair here on the weekly and boy is there lots to review..
Let's start with where we left off last time..
The INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER is still in play, I know, I sound like a broken record, but it's true, not broken, and we closed the daily on the $390 support level to back up this theory.
(Green Outline) represents a BROADENING DESCENDING WEDGE (Bullish) which has been respected since the beginning of the year in January. A bounce off $390 will send it upwards to a 3rd tap of the upper trendline and possibly break-through. A break through does not necessarily mean new ATH, OMG we broke through, "new all time highs" .. umm no sir .. this particular pattern could break-out and epically FAIL.. here is why..
(Purple Outline) is highlighting a RISING WEDGE (Overall Bearish) - should we hold the line here, at $390 on the weekly, this pattern will continue upwards to tap the upper trend for a 3rd time (generally followed by a heavy rejection - hence bearish), this compliments the INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER mentioned above, but technically would end up failing as it nears the neckline aka top channel of the rising wedge.
But let's not lose sight so quickly, we still have to hold the line near $390 tomorrow in order for these patterns to play out without failure. I provided a chart earlier today from my phone of the current falling wedge on spy 15 min - 1 hour time frame so I am hopeful for a run up BUT if we break below -- there are many areas of support and plenty of gaps to fill and trades to be played.
GAPS are marked in RED.
Good luck traders!
Let's start with where we left off last time..
The INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER is still in play, I know, I sound like a broken record, but it's true, not broken, and we closed the daily on the $390 support level to back up this theory.
(Green Outline) represents a BROADENING DESCENDING WEDGE (Bullish) which has been respected since the beginning of the year in January. A bounce off $390 will send it upwards to a 3rd tap of the upper trendline and possibly break-through. A break through does not necessarily mean new ATH, OMG we broke through, "new all time highs" .. umm no sir .. this particular pattern could break-out and epically FAIL.. here is why..
(Purple Outline) is highlighting a RISING WEDGE (Overall Bearish) - should we hold the line here, at $390 on the weekly, this pattern will continue upwards to tap the upper trend for a 3rd time (generally followed by a heavy rejection - hence bearish), this compliments the INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER mentioned above, but technically would end up failing as it nears the neckline aka top channel of the rising wedge.
But let's not lose sight so quickly, we still have to hold the line near $390 tomorrow in order for these patterns to play out without failure. I provided a chart earlier today from my phone of the current falling wedge on spy 15 min - 1 hour time frame so I am hopeful for a run up BUT if we break below -- there are many areas of support and plenty of gaps to fill and trades to be played.
GAPS are marked in RED.
Good luck traders!