benjihyam

Time to flip short $TLT again

Short
benjihyam Updated   
BATS:TLT   Ishares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
We made good money shorting TLT into the summer down to the initial target I had of $88. Then we flipped long again and I exited my longs earlier this month on Dec 7th. Now, as you can see from the first chart , we've come up against resistance and I think it's time to flip short again to retest the lows.

How low we go is TBD, but I think this move could go to at minimum $95 and at maximum retest, or barely sweep the lows.

I bought some puts yesterday with a strike of $97 for a few months out.

Note: There is a possibility that we get one more retest of the highs before it starts falling (if this happens, I'll add more to my position).
Comment:
So far looking like this move is playing out.
Comment:
Looking like we get to that $95 support on Monday or Tuesday. I'm taking gains and then buying calls in some individual stocks. Think we have 2 or so weeks of upside before I fully flip short.
Comment:
Sold out of my put this morning. Will reenter if we get back to $100 area
Comment:
Looking for one more retest of $97 before reentering my puts.

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