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US Treasury Yield Curve and Inversions.

Education
TVC:US30Y   United States 30 Year Government Bonds Yield
This chart shows three times during the past three decades in which the yield curve inverts. An inversion is when the rate of a shorter term debt security is higher than the rate of a longer term debt security. This is identified on this chart in 2000, 2006, 2019.

Treasury Debt Securities:
Bill; less than one year to maturity at issue.
Note; greater than one year but less than 10 years to maturity at issue.
Bond; greater than 10 years to maturity at issue.

In 2000 the yield of the 3 month US Treasury Bill was about 6.3% while the yields of both the 5 year Note and 30 year Bond were around 5.8%.
In 2006 the yield of the 3 month US Treasury Bill was about 5.1% while the yields of both the 5 year Note and 30 year Bond were around 4.9%.
In 2019 the yield of the 3 month US Treasury Bill was about 2.3% while the yield of the 2 year Note was around 1.8%.

Comments

wow~nice analysis.

when yield inverted, recession DID happen!
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