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quantguy quantguy US30Y-US02Y, D, Short ,
US30Y-US02Y: Yield Curve Continues to Fall
22 0 2
US30Y-US02Y, D Short
Yield Curve Continues to Fall

As investors price in lower inflation and increased expectations for a Fed rate hike, the yield curve (between the 30 year bond and the two year note) is continuously making new lows. Typically, the flattening or steepening of the yield curve is led by one end, but in this case, both appear to be contributing equally. This presents a problem for the Fed as ...

quantguy quantguy US30Y-US02Y, D, Short ,
US30Y-US02Y: Yield Curve Continues To Flatten
10 0 1
US30Y-US02Y, D Short
Yield Curve Continues To Flatten

The yield curve struggles to come up for air as it hurdles toward zero. The slope of the trend is clearly decreasing, indicating that the flattening is accelerating. We've tested the lower bound of the Bollinger Band without a relief rally which is a very bearish sign. Also the Kovach Chande indicator is bearish and appears to be increasingly more so. If you ...

quantguy quantguy US30Y-US02Y, D, Short ,
US30Y-US02Y: 30 Year, 2 Year Spread Making New Lows
22 0 2
US30Y-US02Y, D Short
30 Year, 2 Year Spread Making New Lows

The spread between the 30 year US treasury bond and the 2 year bill has made new lows as the yield curve in the US continues to flatten. Anticipate a pullback at some point, but the curve will likely continue to flatten as investors price in a rate hike despite dovish comments from Bullard at the Fed. This pullback will be confirmed by a green triangle on the ...

OffTheFloorTrader OffTheFloorTrader ZN1!, D, Short ,
ZN1!: Notes keep falling
15 0 2
ZN1!, D Short
Notes keep falling

If you caught this trade congrats...it's a nice move but it's time to trim some and pull down stops. If you missed this trade don't chase down here. Wait for another pullback. You can also take a look at the Bonds...they have yet to break down.

ZB1!: 30 year Bond...Big move coming?
72 1 5
ZB1!, W
30 year Bond...Big move coming?

30 Year Bond Chart...see the Notes post. Link below.

guado77 guado77 GDPDEF, M,
GDPDEF: USA BUBBLE (s&p futures)  VS USA NO BUBBLE (treasury)
16 0 0
GDPDEF, M
USA BUBBLE (s&p futures) VS USA NO BUBBLE (treasury)

USA Bubble: Real GDP - S&P Future (excluding the dollar revaluation) = -112% USA NO Bubble: Real GDP - Treasury 30y (excluding the dollar revaluation) = +2.4% data up to 10/2014 THE TREASURY 30Y SEEMS TO REFLECT THE PERFORMANCE OF REAL USA ECONOMY , THE REDUCTION OF YIELD IS IN LINE WITH THE RISE OF REAL GDP AND THE STRENGTHENING DOLLAR

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