Analysis on chart. Simple setup, I expect the larger moves to come tomorrow but it's worth monitoring GBP pairs for a short. Timer about to expire for the last uptrend signal, very nice divergence setting up in CCI. Short under the highest low. Good luck! Ivan.
We can observe a clear five wave advance from the lows, with wave 5 being the largest, almost reaching 1.618 of the distance from point 0 to wave 3 high, which is the typical distance wave 5 travels. These extended fifth waves often produce a very sharp and steep retracement that swiftly moves price down to wave 5's second wave, or even wave 4 of the whole...
USDJPY offers an attractive short trade, as long as it stays under the daily mode level at 119.635. I'm looking to short under the previous hourly low for the time being, with a very tight stop to maximize returns. We can place a reverse position above the resistance line, in case it reverses and continues to range. It's a good way to hedge against unexpected...
Seems like this pair will offer a perfect short opportunity anytime now. As depicted in the chart, we can see that price reached a critical resistance level after completing an AB=CD pattern from the low to the sideways correction start and end. I'll post if I find a good entry opportunity with good risk/reward ratio asap. If aggressive, you can short now under...
Excellent risk/reward ratio in this short term trade setup. Currently in a consolidation/correction phase, but next swing is down. Analysis on chart, good luck!
An addendum to my previous 'Waiting for the perfect short' chart. This chart describes the different projection techniques that I used to determine targets and potential retracement zones in this pair. I'm short from 177.569, with a break even stop and will scale in every chance I get. This corrections will be easily foreseeable using time at mode in lower...
2007-2012: Convergence between S&P500 trend and yield on Treasury 30y USA: - Downhill stocks leads to a reduction in yields on the bond market . The flow of money coming out of the US stocks and goes to US bonds for the "safe haven" - RISK OFF. - Rise in share prices on stocks leading the market yield bonds to rise due to the vendite.Flow of money out of the US...
As the title describes, I'll publish a suggested short entry once my setup confirms. For the time being observe the price action and how the selling is outweighing the buying on each swing. This is inherently bearish, and to make things worse for the bulls, Tim West's proprietary indicator RgMov is plotting new lows and a strong downtrend on the daily chart, ahead...
Downtrend continuation confirmed, bearish flag breakout is in effect. Relative strength tells me it's the perfect time to enter short with a tight stop. Two possible entries, one under the low, and one at a possible retracement. 1.25% risk each, good luck!
$USDJPY has rallied off the 50% fib as predicted. An impressive NFP print on Friday gave the pair the much needed fuel to break out of wedge consolidation and take out the 2015 high. Breakout targets multi-year high at 121.838 - Bullish above 119.81 (Pre-NFP low).
GBPJPY found support at the 178.0 level. If you zoom out to weekly chart you would see a huge upward trend channel started back in 2012. It's a good opportunity that the trend holds and we see a upward move. From the fundamental point both National Banks BoE and BoJ are holding their interest rates at a record low. TP1 185 TP2 189.4 SL 177
(Originally posted yesterday with appropriate charts) Gold takes a breather, while negative data continues to pour in. Gold’s inability to close above $1,300 is a mild hit for bulls, but prices will likely consolidate prior to the next leg higher. Prices declined to $1,280 per toz., just above the descending trend line, now support. The likely scenario is that...
Friends, As you may recall, a recent predictive analysis/forecasting was released for this same $NZDJPY pair, pertaining to a higher timeframe (4-hour - See link below). Fundamental analysis remains intact here regarding the $NZD. PREDICTIVE/FORECASTING MODEL: Looking at the internal activity of the aforementioned 4-Hour chart, I applied the...
USDJPY tested a long term trendline at 121 earlier this month, and it seems likely that the pair will remain below this level up to the end of the year. Like in January 2014, I wouldn't be surprised to see stocks correct with a yen bounce to start 2015.
Traders, Sorry for this late entry. Analysis originates from early December - Please, ignore TG-1 hit to keep it honest. Here is what I posted as a retrospective commentary on the "Predictive Analysis?Forecasting" chatroom today - I hope this makes things right by you: =============================== * * * 10 DEC 2014 * * * - H4:I thought I saved this chart...
Dollar-yen is on an amazing ride, fueled by the destructive policies set forth by the Bank of Japan. Nevertheless, the run-up since Oct. 31 has seen its share of pullbacks; and, if price action closes below the wedge ascending support, the pair will likely test minor support levels at 117.75 and 117. However, it would be constructive for dollar-yen to pullback at...
Gold has played out well on a technical basis. My previous analysis was rather spot on, as price action was leaning towards support at $1,133 from $1,170. Price found support and moved higher to resistance level one of $1,179 before profit taking today. Price action should remain within the descending channel, while a close below it will likely send gold quickly...
1) SP500 on ALL TIME HIGHS, MEGAPHONE pattern, GLOBAL RISK OFF 2) Investors confidence extremely BULLISH 3) YEN INDEX is technically EXTREMELY OVERBOUGHT, ABOVE 2 STANDARD DEVIATION BOLLINGER BANDS on daily basis 4) USD is EXTREMELY OVERBOUGHT aswell as US growth has been EXAGGERATED. Wage growth is WEAK, and INFLATION EXPECTATIONS are really WEAK, so FED...